Atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> observations and models suggest strong carbon uptake by forests in New Zealand
A regional atmospheric inversion method has been developed to determine the spatial and temporal distribution of CO<sub>2</sub> sinks and sources across New Zealand for 2011–2013. This approach infers net air–sea and air–land CO<sub>2</sub> fluxes from measurement records, us...
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Copernicus Publications
2017-01-01
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Series: | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics |
Online Access: | http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/17/47/2017/acp-17-47-2017.pdf |
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author | K. Steinkamp S. E. Mikaloff Fletcher G. Brailsford D. Smale S. Moore E. D. Keller W. T. Baisden H. Mukai B. B. Stephens |
author_facet | K. Steinkamp S. E. Mikaloff Fletcher G. Brailsford D. Smale S. Moore E. D. Keller W. T. Baisden H. Mukai B. B. Stephens |
author_sort | K. Steinkamp |
collection | DOAJ |
description | A regional atmospheric inversion method has been developed to determine the
spatial and temporal distribution of CO<sub>2</sub> sinks and sources across New
Zealand for 2011–2013. This approach infers net air–sea and air–land
CO<sub>2</sub> fluxes from measurement records, using back-trajectory simulations
from the Numerical Atmospheric dispersion Modelling Environment (NAME)
Lagrangian dispersion model, driven by meteorology from the New Zealand
Limited Area Model (NZLAM) weather prediction model. The inversion uses
in situ measurements from two fixed sites, Baring Head on the
southern tip of New Zealand's North Island (41.408° S,
174.871° E) and Lauder from the central South Island
(45.038° S, 169.684° E), and ship
board data from monthly cruises between Japan, New Zealand, and Australia. A
range of scenarios is used to assess the sensitivity of the inversion method
to underlying assumptions and to ensure robustness of the results. The
results indicate a strong seasonal cycle in terrestrial land fluxes from the
South Island of New Zealand, especially in western regions covered by
indigenous forest, suggesting higher photosynthetic and respiratory activity
than is evident in the current a priori land process model. On the
annual scale, the terrestrial biosphere in New Zealand is estimated to be a
net CO<sub>2</sub> sink, removing 98 (±37) Tg CO<sub>2</sub> yr<sup>−1</sup> from the
atmosphere on average during 2011–2013. This sink is much larger than the
reported 27 Tg CO<sub>2</sub> yr<sup>−1</sup> from the national inventory for the same
time period. The difference can be partially reconciled when factors related
to forest and agricultural management and exports, fossil fuel emission
estimates, hydrologic fluxes, and soil carbon change are considered, but
some differences are likely to remain. Baseline uncertainty, model transport
uncertainty, and limited sensitivity to the northern half of the North Island
are the main contributors to flux uncertainty. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-12T12:48:08Z |
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institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1680-7316 1680-7324 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-12T12:48:08Z |
publishDate | 2017-01-01 |
publisher | Copernicus Publications |
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series | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics |
spelling | doaj.art-43c255e6afa54273beda6cbebf1e53ca2022-12-22T03:32:33ZengCopernicus PublicationsAtmospheric Chemistry and Physics1680-73161680-73242017-01-01171477610.5194/acp-17-47-2017Atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> observations and models suggest strong carbon uptake by forests in New ZealandK. Steinkamp0S. E. Mikaloff Fletcher1G. Brailsford2D. Smale3S. Moore4E. D. Keller5W. T. Baisden6H. Mukai7B. B. Stephens8National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New ZealandNational Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New ZealandNational Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New ZealandNational Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New ZealandNational Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New ZealandGNS Science, Lower Hutt, New ZealandGNS Science, Lower Hutt, New ZealandNational Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, JapanNational Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USAA regional atmospheric inversion method has been developed to determine the spatial and temporal distribution of CO<sub>2</sub> sinks and sources across New Zealand for 2011–2013. This approach infers net air–sea and air–land CO<sub>2</sub> fluxes from measurement records, using back-trajectory simulations from the Numerical Atmospheric dispersion Modelling Environment (NAME) Lagrangian dispersion model, driven by meteorology from the New Zealand Limited Area Model (NZLAM) weather prediction model. The inversion uses in situ measurements from two fixed sites, Baring Head on the southern tip of New Zealand's North Island (41.408° S, 174.871° E) and Lauder from the central South Island (45.038° S, 169.684° E), and ship board data from monthly cruises between Japan, New Zealand, and Australia. A range of scenarios is used to assess the sensitivity of the inversion method to underlying assumptions and to ensure robustness of the results. The results indicate a strong seasonal cycle in terrestrial land fluxes from the South Island of New Zealand, especially in western regions covered by indigenous forest, suggesting higher photosynthetic and respiratory activity than is evident in the current a priori land process model. On the annual scale, the terrestrial biosphere in New Zealand is estimated to be a net CO<sub>2</sub> sink, removing 98 (±37) Tg CO<sub>2</sub> yr<sup>−1</sup> from the atmosphere on average during 2011–2013. This sink is much larger than the reported 27 Tg CO<sub>2</sub> yr<sup>−1</sup> from the national inventory for the same time period. The difference can be partially reconciled when factors related to forest and agricultural management and exports, fossil fuel emission estimates, hydrologic fluxes, and soil carbon change are considered, but some differences are likely to remain. Baseline uncertainty, model transport uncertainty, and limited sensitivity to the northern half of the North Island are the main contributors to flux uncertainty.http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/17/47/2017/acp-17-47-2017.pdf |
spellingShingle | K. Steinkamp S. E. Mikaloff Fletcher G. Brailsford D. Smale S. Moore E. D. Keller W. T. Baisden H. Mukai B. B. Stephens Atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> observations and models suggest strong carbon uptake by forests in New Zealand Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics |
title | Atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> observations and models suggest strong carbon uptake by forests in New Zealand |
title_full | Atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> observations and models suggest strong carbon uptake by forests in New Zealand |
title_fullStr | Atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> observations and models suggest strong carbon uptake by forests in New Zealand |
title_full_unstemmed | Atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> observations and models suggest strong carbon uptake by forests in New Zealand |
title_short | Atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> observations and models suggest strong carbon uptake by forests in New Zealand |
title_sort | atmospheric co sub 2 sub observations and models suggest strong carbon uptake by forests in new zealand |
url | http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/17/47/2017/acp-17-47-2017.pdf |
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