Mathematical models applied to the prediction of doping in male athletes

The compartmental model is a mathematical model (usually described by a set of differential equations) that describes how individuals from different compartments (or groups) that represent a population, interacts. The model is suitable especially for epidemic model, modeling spread of disease bu...

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Main Authors: Christine Gabriela Viscotel, Mariana Rotariu, Marius Turnea, Dragos Arotaritei, Claudiu Mereuta, Mihai Ilea, Iustina Condurache, Andrei Gheorghita
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MRE Press 2023-07-01
Series:Journal of Men's Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://oss.jomh.org/files/article/20230731-55/pdf/JOMH2023032202.pdf
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author Christine Gabriela Viscotel
Mariana Rotariu
Marius Turnea
Dragos Arotaritei
Claudiu Mereuta
Mihai Ilea
Iustina Condurache
Andrei Gheorghita
author_facet Christine Gabriela Viscotel
Mariana Rotariu
Marius Turnea
Dragos Arotaritei
Claudiu Mereuta
Mihai Ilea
Iustina Condurache
Andrei Gheorghita
author_sort Christine Gabriela Viscotel
collection DOAJ
description The compartmental model is a mathematical model (usually described by a set of differential equations) that describes how individuals from different compartments (or groups) that represent a population, interacts. The model is suitable especially for epidemic model, modeling spread of disease but also in simulation of interaction among social groups. The compartmental model has few assumptions to be feasible: “the infection/contamination rate” can be a function of many parameters (seasonality, epidemic waves, dependence of social distancing, policy of awareness, policy, and so one). The main assumption is that the population is homogeneous but, in reality, the heterogeneity of population (spatial localization, seasonal, demography) plays an important role in accuracy of models. Our approach was based on another method that has been used in the last years, the inclusion of a temporal function including heterogeneity in the influence that conduct to doping similar to rate of infection from epidemic models. In this paper, a new model is proposed for quantitative analysis of doping in a particular selected sport. Almost all the models in doping use the biological markers and effect of doping in declared by athletes involved in use of banned substances in a quantitative analysis over a group of high-performance athletes. The proposed compartmental model SEDRS (Susceptible-Exposed-Doped-Recovered-Susceptible) includes the heterogeneity shaped by awareness, due to social interaction that transmit the anti-doping policy. These measures are patterned by social interaction, especially during competitions and training, and this approach is included in system of integrodifferential equations. A heterogeneous (SEDRS) model is numerically solved and the solutions show how the social factor can contribute to decay of doping phenomenon of male athletes and the quantifiable influence in a healthier atmosphere in sport. The scope of the paper is the prediction of doping cases based on SEDRS model.
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spelling doaj.art-43d025fd17d94a5599c48266a58831e82024-02-03T14:29:43ZengMRE PressJournal of Men's Health1875-68592023-07-011979310010.22514/jomh.2023.061S1875-6867(23)00030-1Mathematical models applied to the prediction of doping in male athletesChristine Gabriela Viscotel0Mariana Rotariu1Marius Turnea2Dragos Arotaritei3Claudiu Mereuta4Mihai Ilea5Iustina Condurache6Andrei Gheorghita7Romanian National Anti-Doping Agency, 022103 Bucharest, RomaniaDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Faculty of Medical Bioengineering, University of Medicine and Pharmacy “Grigore T. Popa”, 700454 Iasi, RomaniaDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Faculty of Medical Bioengineering, University of Medicine and Pharmacy “Grigore T. Popa”, 700454 Iasi, RomaniaDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Faculty of Medical Bioengineering, University of Medicine and Pharmacy “Grigore T. Popa”, 700454 Iasi, RomaniaFaculty of Physical Education and Sport “Dunărea de Jos”, University of Galati, 800003 Galati, RomaniaDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Faculty of Medical Bioengineering, University of Medicine and Pharmacy “Grigore T. Popa”, 700454 Iasi, RomaniaDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Faculty of Medical Bioengineering, University of Medicine and Pharmacy “Grigore T. Popa”, 700454 Iasi, RomaniaDepartment of Biomedical Sciences, Faculty of Medical Bioengineering, University of Medicine and Pharmacy “Grigore T. Popa”, 700454 Iasi, RomaniaThe compartmental model is a mathematical model (usually described by a set of differential equations) that describes how individuals from different compartments (or groups) that represent a population, interacts. The model is suitable especially for epidemic model, modeling spread of disease but also in simulation of interaction among social groups. The compartmental model has few assumptions to be feasible: “the infection/contamination rate” can be a function of many parameters (seasonality, epidemic waves, dependence of social distancing, policy of awareness, policy, and so one). The main assumption is that the population is homogeneous but, in reality, the heterogeneity of population (spatial localization, seasonal, demography) plays an important role in accuracy of models. Our approach was based on another method that has been used in the last years, the inclusion of a temporal function including heterogeneity in the influence that conduct to doping similar to rate of infection from epidemic models. In this paper, a new model is proposed for quantitative analysis of doping in a particular selected sport. Almost all the models in doping use the biological markers and effect of doping in declared by athletes involved in use of banned substances in a quantitative analysis over a group of high-performance athletes. The proposed compartmental model SEDRS (Susceptible-Exposed-Doped-Recovered-Susceptible) includes the heterogeneity shaped by awareness, due to social interaction that transmit the anti-doping policy. These measures are patterned by social interaction, especially during competitions and training, and this approach is included in system of integrodifferential equations. A heterogeneous (SEDRS) model is numerically solved and the solutions show how the social factor can contribute to decay of doping phenomenon of male athletes and the quantifiable influence in a healthier atmosphere in sport. The scope of the paper is the prediction of doping cases based on SEDRS model.https://oss.jomh.org/files/article/20230731-55/pdf/JOMH2023032202.pdfanti-doping policycompartmental modelsprobability distributionheterogenous models
spellingShingle Christine Gabriela Viscotel
Mariana Rotariu
Marius Turnea
Dragos Arotaritei
Claudiu Mereuta
Mihai Ilea
Iustina Condurache
Andrei Gheorghita
Mathematical models applied to the prediction of doping in male athletes
Journal of Men's Health
anti-doping policy
compartmental models
probability distribution
heterogenous models
title Mathematical models applied to the prediction of doping in male athletes
title_full Mathematical models applied to the prediction of doping in male athletes
title_fullStr Mathematical models applied to the prediction of doping in male athletes
title_full_unstemmed Mathematical models applied to the prediction of doping in male athletes
title_short Mathematical models applied to the prediction of doping in male athletes
title_sort mathematical models applied to the prediction of doping in male athletes
topic anti-doping policy
compartmental models
probability distribution
heterogenous models
url https://oss.jomh.org/files/article/20230731-55/pdf/JOMH2023032202.pdf
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