Loan renegotiation and the long-term impact on total factor productivity

When a loan is close to becoming non-performing, banks have stronger incentives to renegotiate it in favourable conditions for the borrower (loan forbearance) rather than for recognising and resolving the non-performing loan. At the aggregated level and looking at borrowers (non-financial corporatio...

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Main Author: Antonio Sánchez Serrano
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-12-01
Series:Latin American Journal of Central Banking
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S266614382200028X
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author Antonio Sánchez Serrano
author_facet Antonio Sánchez Serrano
author_sort Antonio Sánchez Serrano
collection DOAJ
description When a loan is close to becoming non-performing, banks have stronger incentives to renegotiate it in favourable conditions for the borrower (loan forbearance) rather than for recognising and resolving the non-performing loan. At the aggregated level and looking at borrowers (non-financial corporations), the preference for loan renegotiation may affect total factor productivity and aggregate productivity growth, as new entrants, typically using technologies that are more advanced, may be crowded out from bank funding by incumbent non-financial corporations (this would particularly be the case in the absence of well-developed financial markets). The empirical analysis finds that a wider use of loan renegotiation, seen through lower values of provisions to total loans, has a negative effect on the change of total factor productivity (in addition to the influence of consumption growth). These results provide useful insights when considering the resolution of non-performing loans and the long-term consequences on the real economy.
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spelling doaj.art-44174176ba7e4adb9341065405abd9812022-12-22T02:58:56ZengElsevierLatin American Journal of Central Banking2666-14382022-12-0134100074Loan renegotiation and the long-term impact on total factor productivityAntonio Sánchez Serrano0Corresponding author: European Systemic Risk Board, Sonnemannstrasse 20, 60314 Frankfurt am Main, Germany; European Systemic Risk Board, Frankfurt am Main, GermanyWhen a loan is close to becoming non-performing, banks have stronger incentives to renegotiate it in favourable conditions for the borrower (loan forbearance) rather than for recognising and resolving the non-performing loan. At the aggregated level and looking at borrowers (non-financial corporations), the preference for loan renegotiation may affect total factor productivity and aggregate productivity growth, as new entrants, typically using technologies that are more advanced, may be crowded out from bank funding by incumbent non-financial corporations (this would particularly be the case in the absence of well-developed financial markets). The empirical analysis finds that a wider use of loan renegotiation, seen through lower values of provisions to total loans, has a negative effect on the change of total factor productivity (in addition to the influence of consumption growth). These results provide useful insights when considering the resolution of non-performing loans and the long-term consequences on the real economy.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S266614382200028XD24G21G23G32
spellingShingle Antonio Sánchez Serrano
Loan renegotiation and the long-term impact on total factor productivity
Latin American Journal of Central Banking
D24
G21
G23
G32
title Loan renegotiation and the long-term impact on total factor productivity
title_full Loan renegotiation and the long-term impact on total factor productivity
title_fullStr Loan renegotiation and the long-term impact on total factor productivity
title_full_unstemmed Loan renegotiation and the long-term impact on total factor productivity
title_short Loan renegotiation and the long-term impact on total factor productivity
title_sort loan renegotiation and the long term impact on total factor productivity
topic D24
G21
G23
G32
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S266614382200028X
work_keys_str_mv AT antoniosanchezserrano loanrenegotiationandthelongtermimpactontotalfactorproductivity