POSSIBLE OUTCOMES OF BREXIT FOR EUROPEAN UNION DEVELOPMENT

The article discusses some implications of the Brexit referendum for institutional and political development of the European Union and for relations between the EU and the UK. The most obvious consequence of the referendum is the collapse of ideology of continuous and progressing development of inte...

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Tác giả chính: N. Y. Kaveshnikov
Định dạng: Bài viết
Ngôn ngữ:English
Được phát hành: MGIMO University Press 2016-12-01
Loạt:Vestnik MGIMO-Universiteta
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Truy cập trực tuyến:https://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/635
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author N. Y. Kaveshnikov
author_facet N. Y. Kaveshnikov
author_sort N. Y. Kaveshnikov
collection DOAJ
description The article discusses some implications of the Brexit referendum for institutional and political development of the European Union and for relations between the EU and the UK. The most obvious consequence of the referendum is the collapse of ideology of continuous and progressing development of integration. Instead of endless, irreversible, a priori beneficial for everyone integration process, the European Union has become an organization that does not have a Messianic goal and obliged to prove its usefulness in everyday life. EU systemic crisis will inevitably lead to a profound transformation of its institutional and political structure. After the British referendum, only two options are possible. First of all, partial deconstruction of the European Union. The idea that European integration has gone too far lies in the basis of this strategy. According to this logic, the single market is the main EU achievement. Return to the basics - this is a pragmatic approach to integration, which should replace attempts to fix rotten projects (like Euro) or to achieve the unattainable (political Union). This option is hardly probable. Second option is transformation of the EU into the "core and periphery" system having the basis flexible integration. Over the past 20 years, flexibility transformed from temporary phenomenon into a permanent and formalized mechanism; its elements exist in many EU politics. Brexit would be able to accelerate significantly the formation of a cohesive core within the Eu. The core will not be homogeneous; it will include as governing structures: the German-French axis and a group of EU founding countries.
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spelling doaj.art-447aa2d3ecdc46c8a198d15fe1c516c82025-01-30T12:16:15ZengMGIMO University PressVestnik MGIMO-Universiteta2071-81602541-90992016-12-0106(51)243010.24833/2071-8160-2016-6-51-24-30635POSSIBLE OUTCOMES OF BREXIT FOR EUROPEAN UNION DEVELOPMENTN. Y. Kaveshnikov0Mosraw State Institute of International Relations (University); Institute of Europe RASThe article discusses some implications of the Brexit referendum for institutional and political development of the European Union and for relations between the EU and the UK. The most obvious consequence of the referendum is the collapse of ideology of continuous and progressing development of integration. Instead of endless, irreversible, a priori beneficial for everyone integration process, the European Union has become an organization that does not have a Messianic goal and obliged to prove its usefulness in everyday life. EU systemic crisis will inevitably lead to a profound transformation of its institutional and political structure. After the British referendum, only two options are possible. First of all, partial deconstruction of the European Union. The idea that European integration has gone too far lies in the basis of this strategy. According to this logic, the single market is the main EU achievement. Return to the basics - this is a pragmatic approach to integration, which should replace attempts to fix rotten projects (like Euro) or to achieve the unattainable (political Union). This option is hardly probable. Second option is transformation of the EU into the "core and periphery" system having the basis flexible integration. Over the past 20 years, flexibility transformed from temporary phenomenon into a permanent and formalized mechanism; its elements exist in many EU politics. Brexit would be able to accelerate significantly the formation of a cohesive core within the Eu. The core will not be homogeneous; it will include as governing structures: the German-French axis and a group of EU founding countries.https://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/635brexiteuropean unionbrexiteu institutional systemflexible integration
spellingShingle N. Y. Kaveshnikov
POSSIBLE OUTCOMES OF BREXIT FOR EUROPEAN UNION DEVELOPMENT
Vestnik MGIMO-Universiteta
brexit
european union
brexit
eu institutional system
flexible integration
title POSSIBLE OUTCOMES OF BREXIT FOR EUROPEAN UNION DEVELOPMENT
title_full POSSIBLE OUTCOMES OF BREXIT FOR EUROPEAN UNION DEVELOPMENT
title_fullStr POSSIBLE OUTCOMES OF BREXIT FOR EUROPEAN UNION DEVELOPMENT
title_full_unstemmed POSSIBLE OUTCOMES OF BREXIT FOR EUROPEAN UNION DEVELOPMENT
title_short POSSIBLE OUTCOMES OF BREXIT FOR EUROPEAN UNION DEVELOPMENT
title_sort possible outcomes of brexit for european union development
topic brexit
european union
brexit
eu institutional system
flexible integration
url https://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/635
work_keys_str_mv AT nykaveshnikov possibleoutcomesofbrexitforeuropeanuniondevelopment