A New Approach in Improving Traffic Accident Injury Prediction Accuracy

This paper focused on the effect of intrusion magnitude and maximum deformation location in improving the accuracy of Injury Severity Prediction (ISP) for Advanced Automatic Crash Notification (AACN) system. This study used 545-passenger vehicles involved in Car-to-Car side impact data from NASS CDS...

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Main Authors: Chinmoy Pal, Shigeru Hirayama, Narahari Sangolla, Jeyabharath Manoharan, Vimalathithan Kulothungan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Society of Automotive Engineers of Japan, Inc. 2017-10-01
Series:International Journal of Automotive Engineering
Online Access:https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/jsaeijae/8/4/8_20174110/_article/-char/ja
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author Chinmoy Pal
Shigeru Hirayama
Narahari Sangolla
Jeyabharath Manoharan
Vimalathithan Kulothungan
author_facet Chinmoy Pal
Shigeru Hirayama
Narahari Sangolla
Jeyabharath Manoharan
Vimalathithan Kulothungan
author_sort Chinmoy Pal
collection DOAJ
description This paper focused on the effect of intrusion magnitude and maximum deformation location in improving the accuracy of Injury Severity Prediction (ISP) for Advanced Automatic Crash Notification (AACN) system. This study used 545-passenger vehicles involved in Car-to-Car side impact data from NASS CDS (CY: 2004-2014). Variables mentioned in Kononen’s 2011 ISP algorithm are considered as base model. In addition to Kononen’s variables, magnitude of intrusion and maximum deformation location are added in the proposed model. As the location of maximum deformation moves away from the B pillar to end regions (front or back), the percentage of serious injury reduces drastically. Similar trend is verified in both accident analysis and FE numerical simulation results. Addition of intrusion magnitude and location of maximum deformation as additional injury predictors helped to improve the proposed model sensitivity, overall accuracy by 16%, 3.12% respectively without any change in specificity value.
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spelling doaj.art-4485829a659d4efdbffd2b8a66a5dae62024-01-12T01:09:05ZengSociety of Automotive Engineers of Japan, Inc.International Journal of Automotive Engineering2185-09922017-10-018417918510.20485/jsaeijae.8.4_179A New Approach in Improving Traffic Accident Injury Prediction AccuracyChinmoy Pal0Shigeru Hirayama1Narahari Sangolla2Jeyabharath Manoharan3Vimalathithan Kulothungan4NISSAN MotorNISSAN MotorRenault Nissan Technology Business CenterRenault Nissan Technology Business CenterRenault Nissan Technology Business CenterThis paper focused on the effect of intrusion magnitude and maximum deformation location in improving the accuracy of Injury Severity Prediction (ISP) for Advanced Automatic Crash Notification (AACN) system. This study used 545-passenger vehicles involved in Car-to-Car side impact data from NASS CDS (CY: 2004-2014). Variables mentioned in Kononen’s 2011 ISP algorithm are considered as base model. In addition to Kononen’s variables, magnitude of intrusion and maximum deformation location are added in the proposed model. As the location of maximum deformation moves away from the B pillar to end regions (front or back), the percentage of serious injury reduces drastically. Similar trend is verified in both accident analysis and FE numerical simulation results. Addition of intrusion magnitude and location of maximum deformation as additional injury predictors helped to improve the proposed model sensitivity, overall accuracy by 16%, 3.12% respectively without any change in specificity value.https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/jsaeijae/8/4/8_20174110/_article/-char/ja
spellingShingle Chinmoy Pal
Shigeru Hirayama
Narahari Sangolla
Jeyabharath Manoharan
Vimalathithan Kulothungan
A New Approach in Improving Traffic Accident Injury Prediction Accuracy
International Journal of Automotive Engineering
title A New Approach in Improving Traffic Accident Injury Prediction Accuracy
title_full A New Approach in Improving Traffic Accident Injury Prediction Accuracy
title_fullStr A New Approach in Improving Traffic Accident Injury Prediction Accuracy
title_full_unstemmed A New Approach in Improving Traffic Accident Injury Prediction Accuracy
title_short A New Approach in Improving Traffic Accident Injury Prediction Accuracy
title_sort new approach in improving traffic accident injury prediction accuracy
url https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/jsaeijae/8/4/8_20174110/_article/-char/ja
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