Using Facebook advertising data to describe the socio-economic situation of Syrian refugees in Lebanon

While the fighting in the Syrian civil war has mostly stopped, an estimated 5.6 million Syrians remain living in neighboring countries1. Of these, an estimated 1.5 million are sheltering in Lebanon. Ongoing efforts by organizations such as UNHCR to support the refugee population are often ineffectiv...

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Main Authors: Masoomali Fatehkia, Zinnya del Villar, Till Koebe, Emmanuel Letouzé, Andres Lozano, Roaa Al Feel, Fouad Mrad, Ingmar Weber
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-11-01
Series:Frontiers in Big Data
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fdata.2022.1033530/full
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author Masoomali Fatehkia
Zinnya del Villar
Till Koebe
Till Koebe
Emmanuel Letouzé
Emmanuel Letouzé
Andres Lozano
Roaa Al Feel
Fouad Mrad
Ingmar Weber
Ingmar Weber
author_facet Masoomali Fatehkia
Zinnya del Villar
Till Koebe
Till Koebe
Emmanuel Letouzé
Emmanuel Letouzé
Andres Lozano
Roaa Al Feel
Fouad Mrad
Ingmar Weber
Ingmar Weber
author_sort Masoomali Fatehkia
collection DOAJ
description While the fighting in the Syrian civil war has mostly stopped, an estimated 5.6 million Syrians remain living in neighboring countries1. Of these, an estimated 1.5 million are sheltering in Lebanon. Ongoing efforts by organizations such as UNHCR to support the refugee population are often ineffective in reaching those most in need. According to UNHCR's 2019 Vulnerability Assessment of Syrian Refugees Report (VASyR), only 44% of the Syrian refugee families eligible for multipurpose cash assistance were provided with help, as the others were not captured in the data. In this project, we are investigating the use of non-traditional data, derived from Facebook advertising data, for population level vulnerability assessment. In a nutshell, Facebook provides advertisers with an estimate of how many of its users match certain targeting criteria, e.g., how many Facebook users currently living in Beirut are “living abroad,” aged 18–34, speak Arabic, and primarily use an iOS device. We evaluate the use of such audience estimates to describe the spatial variation in the socioeconomic situation of Syrian refugees across Lebanon. Using data from VASyR as ground truth, we find that iOS device usage explains 90% of the out-of-sample variance in poverty across the Lebanese governorates. However, evaluating predictions at a smaller spatial resolution also indicate limits related to sparsity, as Facebook, for privacy reasons, does not provide audience estimates for fewer than 1,000 users. Furthermore, comparing the population distribution by age and gender of Facebook users with that of the Syrian refugees from VASyR suggests an under-representation of Syrian women on the social media platform. This work adds to growing body of literature demonstrating the value of anonymous and aggregate Facebook advertising data for analysing large-scale humanitarian crises and migration events.
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spelling doaj.art-44d73426fd6641a0954e8de9a8c9527c2022-12-22T02:45:01ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Big Data2624-909X2022-11-01510.3389/fdata.2022.10335301033530Using Facebook advertising data to describe the socio-economic situation of Syrian refugees in LebanonMasoomali Fatehkia0Zinnya del Villar1Till Koebe2Till Koebe3Emmanuel Letouzé4Emmanuel Letouzé5Andres Lozano6Roaa Al Feel7Fouad Mrad8Ingmar Weber9Ingmar Weber10Qatar Computing Research Institute, HBKU, Doha, QatarData-Pop Alliance, New York City, NY, United StatesData-Pop Alliance, New York City, NY, United StatesFreie Universität, Berlin, GermanyData-Pop Alliance, New York City, NY, United StatesDepartment of Political and Social Sciences, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, SpainData-Pop Alliance, New York City, NY, United StatesUN ESCWA, Beirut, LebanonUN ESCWA, Beirut, LebanonQatar Computing Research Institute, HBKU, Doha, QatarDepartment of Computer Science, Saarland University, Saarbrücken, GermanyWhile the fighting in the Syrian civil war has mostly stopped, an estimated 5.6 million Syrians remain living in neighboring countries1. Of these, an estimated 1.5 million are sheltering in Lebanon. Ongoing efforts by organizations such as UNHCR to support the refugee population are often ineffective in reaching those most in need. According to UNHCR's 2019 Vulnerability Assessment of Syrian Refugees Report (VASyR), only 44% of the Syrian refugee families eligible for multipurpose cash assistance were provided with help, as the others were not captured in the data. In this project, we are investigating the use of non-traditional data, derived from Facebook advertising data, for population level vulnerability assessment. In a nutshell, Facebook provides advertisers with an estimate of how many of its users match certain targeting criteria, e.g., how many Facebook users currently living in Beirut are “living abroad,” aged 18–34, speak Arabic, and primarily use an iOS device. We evaluate the use of such audience estimates to describe the spatial variation in the socioeconomic situation of Syrian refugees across Lebanon. Using data from VASyR as ground truth, we find that iOS device usage explains 90% of the out-of-sample variance in poverty across the Lebanese governorates. However, evaluating predictions at a smaller spatial resolution also indicate limits related to sparsity, as Facebook, for privacy reasons, does not provide audience estimates for fewer than 1,000 users. Furthermore, comparing the population distribution by age and gender of Facebook users with that of the Syrian refugees from VASyR suggests an under-representation of Syrian women on the social media platform. This work adds to growing body of literature demonstrating the value of anonymous and aggregate Facebook advertising data for analysing large-scale humanitarian crises and migration events.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fdata.2022.1033530/fullSyrian civil warLebanonFacebook advertising databig datavulnerability assessment
spellingShingle Masoomali Fatehkia
Zinnya del Villar
Till Koebe
Till Koebe
Emmanuel Letouzé
Emmanuel Letouzé
Andres Lozano
Roaa Al Feel
Fouad Mrad
Ingmar Weber
Ingmar Weber
Using Facebook advertising data to describe the socio-economic situation of Syrian refugees in Lebanon
Frontiers in Big Data
Syrian civil war
Lebanon
Facebook advertising data
big data
vulnerability assessment
title Using Facebook advertising data to describe the socio-economic situation of Syrian refugees in Lebanon
title_full Using Facebook advertising data to describe the socio-economic situation of Syrian refugees in Lebanon
title_fullStr Using Facebook advertising data to describe the socio-economic situation of Syrian refugees in Lebanon
title_full_unstemmed Using Facebook advertising data to describe the socio-economic situation of Syrian refugees in Lebanon
title_short Using Facebook advertising data to describe the socio-economic situation of Syrian refugees in Lebanon
title_sort using facebook advertising data to describe the socio economic situation of syrian refugees in lebanon
topic Syrian civil war
Lebanon
Facebook advertising data
big data
vulnerability assessment
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fdata.2022.1033530/full
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