Estimating the volume of dirty money in Iran

In this study, the volume of dirty money in Iran was estimated. The data belonged to the period of 1997-2019, and was taken from the Central Bank of Iran (website: https://www.cbi.ir). Fuzzy logic was used to estimate the underground economy. Fuzzy theory can mathematically formulate many variables...

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Main Authors: Anita Dowlatzadeh, Hossein Akbarifard
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2020-01-01
Series:MethodsX
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2215016120302946
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author Anita Dowlatzadeh
Hossein Akbarifard
author_facet Anita Dowlatzadeh
Hossein Akbarifard
author_sort Anita Dowlatzadeh
collection DOAJ
description In this study, the volume of dirty money in Iran was estimated. The data belonged to the period of 1997-2019, and was taken from the Central Bank of Iran (website: https://www.cbi.ir). Fuzzy logic was used to estimate the underground economy. Fuzzy theory can mathematically formulate many variables that are imprecise and ambiguous concepts. This theory is appropriate for reasoning, inference, control, and decision-making under uncertainty. This approach works in conditions of uncertainty. In cases in which the variables are inaccurate, this method is used. Fuzzy set theory is a generalization of the set theory. The underground economy is important in estimating the amount of dirty money and has a positive effect on this amount. The effect of the underground economy was investigated using the vector autoregressive (VAR) and vector error correction (VECM) models. • In this article applied the fuzzy logic, to estimate the underground economy. • The method presented in this article can be useful for Researchers and managers in the monetary trend of economics. • The fuzzy method is the best way to estimate the size of the underground economy because it is a measure of uncertainty.
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spelling doaj.art-44d972a19ae641a2b714ee9d8c04b8a92022-12-21T19:39:33ZengElsevierMethodsX2215-01612020-01-017101074Estimating the volume of dirty money in IranAnita Dowlatzadeh0Hossein Akbarifard1Department of Economics, Faculty of Management and Economics, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Kerman, IranCorresponding author.; Department of Economics, Faculty of Management and Economics, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Kerman, IranIn this study, the volume of dirty money in Iran was estimated. The data belonged to the period of 1997-2019, and was taken from the Central Bank of Iran (website: https://www.cbi.ir). Fuzzy logic was used to estimate the underground economy. Fuzzy theory can mathematically formulate many variables that are imprecise and ambiguous concepts. This theory is appropriate for reasoning, inference, control, and decision-making under uncertainty. This approach works in conditions of uncertainty. In cases in which the variables are inaccurate, this method is used. Fuzzy set theory is a generalization of the set theory. The underground economy is important in estimating the amount of dirty money and has a positive effect on this amount. The effect of the underground economy was investigated using the vector autoregressive (VAR) and vector error correction (VECM) models. • In this article applied the fuzzy logic, to estimate the underground economy. • The method presented in this article can be useful for Researchers and managers in the monetary trend of economics. • The fuzzy method is the best way to estimate the size of the underground economy because it is a measure of uncertainty.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2215016120302946Dirty moneyFuzzy logicVAR modelVECM model
spellingShingle Anita Dowlatzadeh
Hossein Akbarifard
Estimating the volume of dirty money in Iran
MethodsX
Dirty money
Fuzzy logic
VAR model
VECM model
title Estimating the volume of dirty money in Iran
title_full Estimating the volume of dirty money in Iran
title_fullStr Estimating the volume of dirty money in Iran
title_full_unstemmed Estimating the volume of dirty money in Iran
title_short Estimating the volume of dirty money in Iran
title_sort estimating the volume of dirty money in iran
topic Dirty money
Fuzzy logic
VAR model
VECM model
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2215016120302946
work_keys_str_mv AT anitadowlatzadeh estimatingthevolumeofdirtymoneyiniran
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