External Borrowing and Inflation in Turkey from 2003-14; A Simple Linear Regression Analysis

An economy using external resources can aim at several targets e.g. growth, public financing, covering a deficit in the balance of payments. However, external borrowing may result in some negative impacts such as a vicious cycle of increase in external debt, a decline in economic growth, huge budge...

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Main Author: Mehmet Behzat Ekinci
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2016-01-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Online Access:http://mail.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/903
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author Mehmet Behzat Ekinci
author_facet Mehmet Behzat Ekinci
author_sort Mehmet Behzat Ekinci
collection DOAJ
description An economy using external resources can aim at several targets e.g. growth, public financing, covering a deficit in the balance of payments. However, external borrowing may result in some negative impacts such as a vicious cycle of increase in external debt, a decline in economic growth, huge budget deficits and an imbalance of payments in addition to inflation. This study examines the influence of external debts on inflation in Turkey from 2003-14. In this context, the effect of external debt is measured by means of a simple linear regression analysis using both the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI). The general opinion with regard to the effect of external debt on inflation is that they are positively related. Here this is confirmed for Turkey for the said period. The results show that both consumers and producers are negatively affected by external debt in terms of inflation. Keywords: External debt/borrowing; foreign debt/borrowing; inflation; CPI; PPI. JEL Classifications: E31; F34; H6
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spelling doaj.art-44e6a6b0add844d190920e57e090b7c92023-02-15T16:20:03ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382016-01-0161External Borrowing and Inflation in Turkey from 2003-14; A Simple Linear Regression AnalysisMehmet Behzat Ekinci0Dept. of Economics, FEAS, Mardin Artuklu University An economy using external resources can aim at several targets e.g. growth, public financing, covering a deficit in the balance of payments. However, external borrowing may result in some negative impacts such as a vicious cycle of increase in external debt, a decline in economic growth, huge budget deficits and an imbalance of payments in addition to inflation. This study examines the influence of external debts on inflation in Turkey from 2003-14. In this context, the effect of external debt is measured by means of a simple linear regression analysis using both the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI). The general opinion with regard to the effect of external debt on inflation is that they are positively related. Here this is confirmed for Turkey for the said period. The results show that both consumers and producers are negatively affected by external debt in terms of inflation. Keywords: External debt/borrowing; foreign debt/borrowing; inflation; CPI; PPI. JEL Classifications: E31; F34; H6 http://mail.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/903
spellingShingle Mehmet Behzat Ekinci
External Borrowing and Inflation in Turkey from 2003-14; A Simple Linear Regression Analysis
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
title External Borrowing and Inflation in Turkey from 2003-14; A Simple Linear Regression Analysis
title_full External Borrowing and Inflation in Turkey from 2003-14; A Simple Linear Regression Analysis
title_fullStr External Borrowing and Inflation in Turkey from 2003-14; A Simple Linear Regression Analysis
title_full_unstemmed External Borrowing and Inflation in Turkey from 2003-14; A Simple Linear Regression Analysis
title_short External Borrowing and Inflation in Turkey from 2003-14; A Simple Linear Regression Analysis
title_sort external borrowing and inflation in turkey from 2003 14 a simple linear regression analysis
url http://mail.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/903
work_keys_str_mv AT mehmetbehzatekinci externalborrowingandinflationinturkeyfrom200314asimplelinearregressionanalysis