Univariant time series analysis applied to ozone forecasting in the city of Cali, Colombia

The modelling results of tropospheric ozone concentration in the urban area of Cali, Colombia, suitable for short term forecasting, are presented. Results were obtained by using an univariate time series analysis. The method was applied to a series of 2496 hourly ozone concentration data from one o...

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Main Authors: Mauricio Jaramillo Ayerbe, Daniel Enrique González Gómez, María Eugenia Núñez Cabrera, Gloria Esperanza Portilla, Jesús Heriberto Lucio García
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidad de Antioquia 2014-08-01
Series:Revista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/20192
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author Mauricio Jaramillo Ayerbe
Daniel Enrique González Gómez
María Eugenia Núñez Cabrera
Gloria Esperanza Portilla
Jesús Heriberto Lucio García
author_facet Mauricio Jaramillo Ayerbe
Daniel Enrique González Gómez
María Eugenia Núñez Cabrera
Gloria Esperanza Portilla
Jesús Heriberto Lucio García
author_sort Mauricio Jaramillo Ayerbe
collection DOAJ
description The modelling results of tropospheric ozone concentration in the urban area of Cali, Colombia, suitable for short term forecasting, are presented. Results were obtained by using an univariate time series analysis. The method was applied to a series of 2496 hourly ozone concentration data from one of the city’s air quality monitoring network stations. Data were collected from April to July of 2003. A total of 104 consecutive days were covered: the first 93 days were used for model estimation, and the remaining 11 days for model validation. This technique can be used to predict (up to 8 hours) in advance high-ozone levels, allowing the environmental authorities to issue alerts to the population for possible air-quality impact on health.
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spelling doaj.art-45ad0dc089e84d8594a28efb355f25c92023-03-23T12:32:08ZengUniversidad de AntioquiaRevista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia0120-62302422-28442014-08-013910.17533/udea.redin.20192Univariant time series analysis applied to ozone forecasting in the city of Cali, ColombiaMauricio Jaramillo Ayerbe0Daniel Enrique González Gómez1María Eugenia Núñez Cabrera2Gloria Esperanza Portilla3Jesús Heriberto Lucio García4Pontificia Universidad JaverianaPontificia Universidad JaverianaPontificia Universidad JaverianaPontificia Universidad JaverianaUniversidad de Burgos The modelling results of tropospheric ozone concentration in the urban area of Cali, Colombia, suitable for short term forecasting, are presented. Results were obtained by using an univariate time series analysis. The method was applied to a series of 2496 hourly ozone concentration data from one of the city’s air quality monitoring network stations. Data were collected from April to July of 2003. A total of 104 consecutive days were covered: the first 93 days were used for model estimation, and the remaining 11 days for model validation. This technique can be used to predict (up to 8 hours) in advance high-ozone levels, allowing the environmental authorities to issue alerts to the population for possible air-quality impact on health. https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/20192atmospheric pollutionair quality urban ozonetime series analysisunivariate time series analysis
spellingShingle Mauricio Jaramillo Ayerbe
Daniel Enrique González Gómez
María Eugenia Núñez Cabrera
Gloria Esperanza Portilla
Jesús Heriberto Lucio García
Univariant time series analysis applied to ozone forecasting in the city of Cali, Colombia
Revista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia
atmospheric pollution
air quality urban ozone
time series analysis
univariate time series analysis
title Univariant time series analysis applied to ozone forecasting in the city of Cali, Colombia
title_full Univariant time series analysis applied to ozone forecasting in the city of Cali, Colombia
title_fullStr Univariant time series analysis applied to ozone forecasting in the city of Cali, Colombia
title_full_unstemmed Univariant time series analysis applied to ozone forecasting in the city of Cali, Colombia
title_short Univariant time series analysis applied to ozone forecasting in the city of Cali, Colombia
title_sort univariant time series analysis applied to ozone forecasting in the city of cali colombia
topic atmospheric pollution
air quality urban ozone
time series analysis
univariate time series analysis
url https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/20192
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