Estimating Coronal Mass Ejection Mass and Kinetic Energy by Fusion of Multiple Deep-learning Models

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are massive solar eruptions, which have a significant impact on Earth. In this paper, we propose a new method, called DeepCME, to estimate two properties of CMEs, namely, CME mass and kinetic energy. Being able to estimate these properties helps better understand CME dy...

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Main Authors: Khalid A. Alobaid, Yasser Abduallah, Jason T. L. Wang, Haimin Wang, Shen Fan, Jialiang Li, Huseyin Cavus, Vasyl Yurchyshyn
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2023-01-01
Series:The Astrophysical Journal Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.3847/2041-8213/ad0c4a
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author Khalid A. Alobaid
Yasser Abduallah
Jason T. L. Wang
Haimin Wang
Shen Fan
Jialiang Li
Huseyin Cavus
Vasyl Yurchyshyn
author_facet Khalid A. Alobaid
Yasser Abduallah
Jason T. L. Wang
Haimin Wang
Shen Fan
Jialiang Li
Huseyin Cavus
Vasyl Yurchyshyn
author_sort Khalid A. Alobaid
collection DOAJ
description Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are massive solar eruptions, which have a significant impact on Earth. In this paper, we propose a new method, called DeepCME, to estimate two properties of CMEs, namely, CME mass and kinetic energy. Being able to estimate these properties helps better understand CME dynamics. Our study is based on the CME catalog maintained at the Coordinated Data Analysis Workshops Data Center, which contains all CMEs manually identified since 1996 using the Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph (LASCO) on board the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory. We use LASCO C2 data in the period between 1996 January and 2020 December to train, validate, and test DeepCME through 10-fold cross validation. The DeepCME method is a fusion of three deep-learning models, namely ResNet, InceptionNet, and InceptionResNet. Our fusion model extracts features from LASCO C2 images, effectively combining the learning capabilities of the three component models to jointly estimate the mass and kinetic energy of CMEs. Experimental results show that the fusion model yields a mean relative error (MRE) of 0.013 (0.009, respectively) compared to the MRE of 0.019 (0.017, respectively) of the best component model InceptionResNet (InceptionNet, respectively) in estimating the CME mass (kinetic energy, respectively). To our knowledge, this is the first time that deep learning has been used for CME mass and kinetic energy estimations.
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spelling doaj.art-45cefac69083427d92dca68f9a91f8c92023-11-29T15:46:55ZengIOP PublishingThe Astrophysical Journal Letters2041-82052023-01-019582L3410.3847/2041-8213/ad0c4aEstimating Coronal Mass Ejection Mass and Kinetic Energy by Fusion of Multiple Deep-learning ModelsKhalid A. Alobaid0https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4731-2772Yasser Abduallah1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0792-2270Jason T. L. Wang2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2486-1097Haimin Wang3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5233-565XShen Fan4Jialiang Li5Huseyin Cavus6https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4224-7039Vasyl Yurchyshyn7https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9982-2175Institute for Space Weather Sciences, New Jersey Institute of Technology, University Heights , Newark, NJ 07102, USA ; kaa65@njit.edu; Department of Computer Science, New Jersey Institute of Technology, University Heights , Newark, NJ 07102, USA; College of Applied Computer Sciences, King Saud University , Riyadh 11451, Saudi ArabiaInstitute for Space Weather Sciences, New Jersey Institute of Technology, University Heights , Newark, NJ 07102, USA ; kaa65@njit.edu; Department of Computer Science, New Jersey Institute of Technology, University Heights , Newark, NJ 07102, USAInstitute for Space Weather Sciences, New Jersey Institute of Technology, University Heights , Newark, NJ 07102, USA ; kaa65@njit.edu; Department of Computer Science, New Jersey Institute of Technology, University Heights , Newark, NJ 07102, USAInstitute for Space Weather Sciences, New Jersey Institute of Technology, University Heights , Newark, NJ 07102, USA ; kaa65@njit.edu; Center for Solar-Terrestrial Research, New Jersey Institute of Technology, University Heights , Newark, NJ 07102, USA; Big Bear Solar Observatory, New Jersey Institute of Technology , 40386 North Shore Lane, Big Bear City, CA 92314, USAInstitute for Space Weather Sciences, New Jersey Institute of Technology, University Heights , Newark, NJ 07102, USA ; kaa65@njit.edu; Department of Computer Science, New Jersey Institute of Technology, University Heights , Newark, NJ 07102, USAInstitute for Space Weather Sciences, New Jersey Institute of Technology, University Heights , Newark, NJ 07102, USA ; kaa65@njit.edu; Department of Computer Science, New Jersey Institute of Technology, University Heights , Newark, NJ 07102, USADepartment of Physics, Canakkale Onsekiz Mart University , 17110 Canakkale, Turkey; Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics , 60 Garden Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, USABig Bear Solar Observatory, New Jersey Institute of Technology , 40386 North Shore Lane, Big Bear City, CA 92314, USACoronal mass ejections (CMEs) are massive solar eruptions, which have a significant impact on Earth. In this paper, we propose a new method, called DeepCME, to estimate two properties of CMEs, namely, CME mass and kinetic energy. Being able to estimate these properties helps better understand CME dynamics. Our study is based on the CME catalog maintained at the Coordinated Data Analysis Workshops Data Center, which contains all CMEs manually identified since 1996 using the Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph (LASCO) on board the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory. We use LASCO C2 data in the period between 1996 January and 2020 December to train, validate, and test DeepCME through 10-fold cross validation. The DeepCME method is a fusion of three deep-learning models, namely ResNet, InceptionNet, and InceptionResNet. Our fusion model extracts features from LASCO C2 images, effectively combining the learning capabilities of the three component models to jointly estimate the mass and kinetic energy of CMEs. Experimental results show that the fusion model yields a mean relative error (MRE) of 0.013 (0.009, respectively) compared to the MRE of 0.019 (0.017, respectively) of the best component model InceptionResNet (InceptionNet, respectively) in estimating the CME mass (kinetic energy, respectively). To our knowledge, this is the first time that deep learning has been used for CME mass and kinetic energy estimations.https://doi.org/10.3847/2041-8213/ad0c4aSolar atmosphereSolar coronal mass ejectionsConvolutional neural networks
spellingShingle Khalid A. Alobaid
Yasser Abduallah
Jason T. L. Wang
Haimin Wang
Shen Fan
Jialiang Li
Huseyin Cavus
Vasyl Yurchyshyn
Estimating Coronal Mass Ejection Mass and Kinetic Energy by Fusion of Multiple Deep-learning Models
The Astrophysical Journal Letters
Solar atmosphere
Solar coronal mass ejections
Convolutional neural networks
title Estimating Coronal Mass Ejection Mass and Kinetic Energy by Fusion of Multiple Deep-learning Models
title_full Estimating Coronal Mass Ejection Mass and Kinetic Energy by Fusion of Multiple Deep-learning Models
title_fullStr Estimating Coronal Mass Ejection Mass and Kinetic Energy by Fusion of Multiple Deep-learning Models
title_full_unstemmed Estimating Coronal Mass Ejection Mass and Kinetic Energy by Fusion of Multiple Deep-learning Models
title_short Estimating Coronal Mass Ejection Mass and Kinetic Energy by Fusion of Multiple Deep-learning Models
title_sort estimating coronal mass ejection mass and kinetic energy by fusion of multiple deep learning models
topic Solar atmosphere
Solar coronal mass ejections
Convolutional neural networks
url https://doi.org/10.3847/2041-8213/ad0c4a
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