Mortality of Alzheimer’s Disease and Other Dementias in China: Past and Future Decades
Objectives: This study aimed to explore the distribution features and trends of dementia mortality in China from 2011 to 2020 and make a prediction for the next decade.Methods: Mortality-relevant data were gathered from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention’s Disease Surveillance Poi...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Frontiers Media S.A.
2023-02-01
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| Series: | International Journal of Public Health |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.ssph-journal.org/articles/10.3389/ijph.2023.1605129/full |
| _version_ | 1811173466522517504 |
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| author | Bin Lv Li Liang Anan Chen Hua Yang Xiaolan Zhang Fangfang Guo Hairong Qian Hairong Qian |
| author_facet | Bin Lv Li Liang Anan Chen Hua Yang Xiaolan Zhang Fangfang Guo Hairong Qian Hairong Qian |
| author_sort | Bin Lv |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Objectives: This study aimed to explore the distribution features and trends of dementia mortality in China from 2011 to 2020 and make a prediction for the next decade.Methods: Mortality-relevant data were gathered from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention’s Disease Surveillance Points system. Joinpoint regression was applied to evaluate the trends.Results: Crude Mortality Rate (CMR) of AD and other dementias increased from 3.7 per 100,000 to 6.2 per 100,000 in 2011–2020, with an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) of 5.3% (95% CI 4.4%–6.3%). Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (ASMR) slightly decreased from 5.0 per 100,000 to 4.1 per 100,000 in 2011–2020, with AAPC of −0.4% (95% CI −2.5%–1.8%). CMR will increase to 9.66 per 100,000 while ASMR will decline to 3.42 per 100,000 in the following decade.Conclusion: The upward trend in CMR and downward trend in ASMR suggested the further development of population aging and dementia mortality in the past and future decades. In China, there were gender, urban-rural, regional and age differences. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-10T17:48:28Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-45cf72a449894421b3adf674ff37a160 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1661-8564 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-10T17:48:28Z |
| publishDate | 2023-02-01 |
| publisher | Frontiers Media S.A. |
| record_format | Article |
| series | International Journal of Public Health |
| spelling | doaj.art-45cf72a449894421b3adf674ff37a1602023-02-03T04:11:01ZengFrontiers Media S.A.International Journal of Public Health1661-85642023-02-016810.3389/ijph.2023.16051291605129Mortality of Alzheimer’s Disease and Other Dementias in China: Past and Future DecadesBin Lv0Li Liang1Anan Chen2Hua Yang3Xiaolan Zhang4Fangfang Guo5Hairong Qian6Hairong Qian7Department of Neurology, The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, ChinaNavy Clinical College, The Fifth School of Clinical Medicine, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, ChinaDepartment of Neurology, The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, ChinaNavy Clinical College, The Fifth School of Clinical Medicine, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, ChinaDepartment of Neurology, The First Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Outpatient, No.13 Cadre Santatorium of Beijing Garrison, Beijing, ChinaNavy Clinical College, The Fifth School of Clinical Medicine, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, ChinaThe Second School of Clinical Medicine, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, ChinaObjectives: This study aimed to explore the distribution features and trends of dementia mortality in China from 2011 to 2020 and make a prediction for the next decade.Methods: Mortality-relevant data were gathered from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention’s Disease Surveillance Points system. Joinpoint regression was applied to evaluate the trends.Results: Crude Mortality Rate (CMR) of AD and other dementias increased from 3.7 per 100,000 to 6.2 per 100,000 in 2011–2020, with an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) of 5.3% (95% CI 4.4%–6.3%). Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (ASMR) slightly decreased from 5.0 per 100,000 to 4.1 per 100,000 in 2011–2020, with AAPC of −0.4% (95% CI −2.5%–1.8%). CMR will increase to 9.66 per 100,000 while ASMR will decline to 3.42 per 100,000 in the following decade.Conclusion: The upward trend in CMR and downward trend in ASMR suggested the further development of population aging and dementia mortality in the past and future decades. In China, there were gender, urban-rural, regional and age differences.https://www.ssph-journal.org/articles/10.3389/ijph.2023.1605129/fulldementiamortalityepidemiologyagingAlzheimer’s disease |
| spellingShingle | Bin Lv Li Liang Anan Chen Hua Yang Xiaolan Zhang Fangfang Guo Hairong Qian Hairong Qian Mortality of Alzheimer’s Disease and Other Dementias in China: Past and Future Decades International Journal of Public Health dementia mortality epidemiology aging Alzheimer’s disease |
| title | Mortality of Alzheimer’s Disease and Other Dementias in China: Past and Future Decades |
| title_full | Mortality of Alzheimer’s Disease and Other Dementias in China: Past and Future Decades |
| title_fullStr | Mortality of Alzheimer’s Disease and Other Dementias in China: Past and Future Decades |
| title_full_unstemmed | Mortality of Alzheimer’s Disease and Other Dementias in China: Past and Future Decades |
| title_short | Mortality of Alzheimer’s Disease and Other Dementias in China: Past and Future Decades |
| title_sort | mortality of alzheimer s disease and other dementias in china past and future decades |
| topic | dementia mortality epidemiology aging Alzheimer’s disease |
| url | https://www.ssph-journal.org/articles/10.3389/ijph.2023.1605129/full |
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