The conservation value of forests can be predicted at the scale of 1 hectare

Abstract To conserve biodiversity, it is imperative to maintain and restore sufficient amounts of functional habitat networks. Therefore, the location of the remaining forests with natural structures and processes over landscapes and large regions is a key objective. Here we integrated machine learn...

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Main Authors: Jakub W. Bubnicki, Per Angelstam, Grzegorz Mikusiński, Johan Svensson, Bengt Gunnar Jonsson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-04-01
Series:Communications Earth & Environment
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01325-7
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author Jakub W. Bubnicki
Per Angelstam
Grzegorz Mikusiński
Johan Svensson
Bengt Gunnar Jonsson
author_facet Jakub W. Bubnicki
Per Angelstam
Grzegorz Mikusiński
Johan Svensson
Bengt Gunnar Jonsson
author_sort Jakub W. Bubnicki
collection DOAJ
description Abstract To conserve biodiversity, it is imperative to maintain and restore sufficient amounts of functional habitat networks. Therefore, the location of the remaining forests with natural structures and processes over landscapes and large regions is a key objective. Here we integrated machine learning (Random Forest) and open landscape data to scan all forest landscapes in Sweden with a 1 ha spatial resolution with respect to the relative likelihood of hosting High Conservation Value Forests. Using independent spatial stand- and plot-level validation data, we confirmed that our predictions correctly represent different levels of forest naturalness, from degraded to those with high and associated biodiversity conservation values. Given ambitious national and international conservation objectives and increasingly intensive forestry, our model and the resulting wall-to-wall mapping fill an urgent gap for assessing the achievement of evidence-based conservation targets, spatial planning, and designing forest landscape restoration.
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spelling doaj.art-45e141875dac455695187e82ab9ba88e2024-04-14T11:30:22ZengNature PortfolioCommunications Earth & Environment2662-44352024-04-015111710.1038/s43247-024-01325-7The conservation value of forests can be predicted at the scale of 1 hectareJakub W. Bubnicki0Per Angelstam1Grzegorz Mikusiński2Johan Svensson3Bengt Gunnar Jonsson4Population Ecology, Mammal Research Institute, Polish Academy of SciencesDepartment of Forestry and Wildlife Management, Inland Norway University of Applied Sciences, Campus EvenstadSchool for Forest Management, Faculty of Forest Sciences, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU)Department of Wildlife, Fish and Environmental Studies, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU)Department of Wildlife, Fish and Environmental Studies, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU)Abstract To conserve biodiversity, it is imperative to maintain and restore sufficient amounts of functional habitat networks. Therefore, the location of the remaining forests with natural structures and processes over landscapes and large regions is a key objective. Here we integrated machine learning (Random Forest) and open landscape data to scan all forest landscapes in Sweden with a 1 ha spatial resolution with respect to the relative likelihood of hosting High Conservation Value Forests. Using independent spatial stand- and plot-level validation data, we confirmed that our predictions correctly represent different levels of forest naturalness, from degraded to those with high and associated biodiversity conservation values. Given ambitious national and international conservation objectives and increasingly intensive forestry, our model and the resulting wall-to-wall mapping fill an urgent gap for assessing the achievement of evidence-based conservation targets, spatial planning, and designing forest landscape restoration.https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01325-7
spellingShingle Jakub W. Bubnicki
Per Angelstam
Grzegorz Mikusiński
Johan Svensson
Bengt Gunnar Jonsson
The conservation value of forests can be predicted at the scale of 1 hectare
Communications Earth & Environment
title The conservation value of forests can be predicted at the scale of 1 hectare
title_full The conservation value of forests can be predicted at the scale of 1 hectare
title_fullStr The conservation value of forests can be predicted at the scale of 1 hectare
title_full_unstemmed The conservation value of forests can be predicted at the scale of 1 hectare
title_short The conservation value of forests can be predicted at the scale of 1 hectare
title_sort conservation value of forests can be predicted at the scale of 1 hectare
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01325-7
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