Water supply failure probability under influence of climate change - Balsillas river basin case study
This project assesses the risk of water supply failure for the agricultural sector under climate change conditions by implementing hydrological models that support decision-making for satisfying consumptive demands in times of scarcity. This project was developed using hydrological modeling tools s...
Main Authors: | , , , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Universidad de Antioquia
2020-10-01
|
Series: | Revista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/341268 |
_version_ | 1797861815867146240 |
---|---|
author | Darwin Mena Rentería Eydy Michell Espinosa Paula Carolina Soler Miguel Cañón Ramos Freddy Santiago Duarte Jordi Rafael Palacios González |
author_facet | Darwin Mena Rentería Eydy Michell Espinosa Paula Carolina Soler Miguel Cañón Ramos Freddy Santiago Duarte Jordi Rafael Palacios González |
author_sort | Darwin Mena Rentería |
collection | DOAJ |
description |
This project assesses the risk of water supply failure for the agricultural sector under climate change conditions by implementing hydrological models that support decision-making for satisfying consumptive demands in times of scarcity. This project was developed using hydrological modeling tools such as the HydroBID software and the SIMGES and SIMRISK water resource management models of AQUATOOL DSS. The flow series for a future scenario were obtained for different climate change scenarios from a Global Climate Model (GCM) and the Coordinated Regional Experiment on Climate Reduction (CORDEX) by downscaling the results from the global scale to basin-scale using a statistical method based on chaos theory. These projections show that under conditions of climate change, the agricultural sector of the Balsillas basin will not suffer significant impacts since they will be able to satisfy most demand points.
|
first_indexed | 2024-04-09T22:09:20Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-45ed0af5cf46465bbbd232bdd5f41545 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 0120-6230 2422-2844 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-09T22:09:20Z |
publishDate | 2020-10-01 |
publisher | Universidad de Antioquia |
record_format | Article |
series | Revista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia |
spelling | doaj.art-45ed0af5cf46465bbbd232bdd5f415452023-03-23T12:28:00ZengUniversidad de AntioquiaRevista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia0120-62302422-28442020-10-0110310.17533/udea.redin.20201008Water supply failure probability under influence of climate change - Balsillas river basin case studyDarwin Mena Rentería0Eydy Michell Espinosa1Paula Carolina Soler2Miguel Cañón Ramos3Freddy Santiago Duarte4Jordi Rafael Palacios González5Saint Thomas UniversitySaint Thomas UniversitySaint Thomas UniversitySaint Thomas UniversityColombian School of Engineering Julio GaravitoSergio Arboleda University This project assesses the risk of water supply failure for the agricultural sector under climate change conditions by implementing hydrological models that support decision-making for satisfying consumptive demands in times of scarcity. This project was developed using hydrological modeling tools such as the HydroBID software and the SIMGES and SIMRISK water resource management models of AQUATOOL DSS. The flow series for a future scenario were obtained for different climate change scenarios from a Global Climate Model (GCM) and the Coordinated Regional Experiment on Climate Reduction (CORDEX) by downscaling the results from the global scale to basin-scale using a statistical method based on chaos theory. These projections show that under conditions of climate change, the agricultural sector of the Balsillas basin will not suffer significant impacts since they will be able to satisfy most demand points. https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/341268agroclimatologyagricultureclimate change adaptationhydrologywater consumption |
spellingShingle | Darwin Mena Rentería Eydy Michell Espinosa Paula Carolina Soler Miguel Cañón Ramos Freddy Santiago Duarte Jordi Rafael Palacios González Water supply failure probability under influence of climate change - Balsillas river basin case study Revista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia agroclimatology agriculture climate change adaptation hydrology water consumption |
title | Water supply failure probability under influence of climate change - Balsillas river basin case study |
title_full | Water supply failure probability under influence of climate change - Balsillas river basin case study |
title_fullStr | Water supply failure probability under influence of climate change - Balsillas river basin case study |
title_full_unstemmed | Water supply failure probability under influence of climate change - Balsillas river basin case study |
title_short | Water supply failure probability under influence of climate change - Balsillas river basin case study |
title_sort | water supply failure probability under influence of climate change balsillas river basin case study |
topic | agroclimatology agriculture climate change adaptation hydrology water consumption |
url | https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/341268 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT darwinmenarenteria watersupplyfailureprobabilityunderinfluenceofclimatechangebalsillasriverbasincasestudy AT eydymichellespinosa watersupplyfailureprobabilityunderinfluenceofclimatechangebalsillasriverbasincasestudy AT paulacarolinasoler watersupplyfailureprobabilityunderinfluenceofclimatechangebalsillasriverbasincasestudy AT miguelcanonramos watersupplyfailureprobabilityunderinfluenceofclimatechangebalsillasriverbasincasestudy AT freddysantiagoduarte watersupplyfailureprobabilityunderinfluenceofclimatechangebalsillasriverbasincasestudy AT jordirafaelpalaciosgonzalez watersupplyfailureprobabilityunderinfluenceofclimatechangebalsillasriverbasincasestudy |