Water supply failure probability under influence of climate change - Balsillas river basin case study

This project assesses the risk of water supply failure for the agricultural sector under climate change conditions by implementing hydrological models that support decision-making for satisfying consumptive demands in times of scarcity. This project was developed using hydrological modeling tools s...

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Main Authors: Darwin Mena Rentería, Eydy Michell Espinosa, Paula Carolina Soler, Miguel Cañón Ramos, Freddy Santiago Duarte, Jordi Rafael Palacios González
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidad de Antioquia 2020-10-01
Series:Revista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/341268
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author Darwin Mena Rentería
Eydy Michell Espinosa
Paula Carolina Soler
Miguel Cañón Ramos
Freddy Santiago Duarte
Jordi Rafael Palacios González
author_facet Darwin Mena Rentería
Eydy Michell Espinosa
Paula Carolina Soler
Miguel Cañón Ramos
Freddy Santiago Duarte
Jordi Rafael Palacios González
author_sort Darwin Mena Rentería
collection DOAJ
description This project assesses the risk of water supply failure for the agricultural sector under climate change conditions by implementing hydrological models that support decision-making for satisfying consumptive demands in times of scarcity. This project was developed using hydrological modeling tools such as the HydroBID software and the SIMGES and SIMRISK water resource management models of AQUATOOL DSS. The flow series for a future scenario were obtained for different climate change scenarios from a Global Climate Model (GCM) and the Coordinated Regional Experiment on Climate Reduction (CORDEX) by downscaling the results from the global scale to basin-scale using a statistical method based on chaos theory. These projections show that under conditions of climate change, the agricultural sector of the Balsillas basin will not suffer significant impacts since they will be able to satisfy most demand points.
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spelling doaj.art-45ed0af5cf46465bbbd232bdd5f415452023-03-23T12:28:00ZengUniversidad de AntioquiaRevista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia0120-62302422-28442020-10-0110310.17533/udea.redin.20201008Water supply failure probability under influence of climate change - Balsillas river basin case studyDarwin Mena Rentería0Eydy Michell Espinosa1Paula Carolina Soler2Miguel Cañón Ramos3Freddy Santiago Duarte4Jordi Rafael Palacios González5Saint Thomas UniversitySaint Thomas UniversitySaint Thomas UniversitySaint Thomas UniversityColombian School of Engineering Julio GaravitoSergio Arboleda University This project assesses the risk of water supply failure for the agricultural sector under climate change conditions by implementing hydrological models that support decision-making for satisfying consumptive demands in times of scarcity. This project was developed using hydrological modeling tools such as the HydroBID software and the SIMGES and SIMRISK water resource management models of AQUATOOL DSS. The flow series for a future scenario were obtained for different climate change scenarios from a Global Climate Model (GCM) and the Coordinated Regional Experiment on Climate Reduction (CORDEX) by downscaling the results from the global scale to basin-scale using a statistical method based on chaos theory. These projections show that under conditions of climate change, the agricultural sector of the Balsillas basin will not suffer significant impacts since they will be able to satisfy most demand points. https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/341268agroclimatologyagricultureclimate change adaptationhydrologywater consumption
spellingShingle Darwin Mena Rentería
Eydy Michell Espinosa
Paula Carolina Soler
Miguel Cañón Ramos
Freddy Santiago Duarte
Jordi Rafael Palacios González
Water supply failure probability under influence of climate change - Balsillas river basin case study
Revista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia
agroclimatology
agriculture
climate change adaptation
hydrology
water consumption
title Water supply failure probability under influence of climate change - Balsillas river basin case study
title_full Water supply failure probability under influence of climate change - Balsillas river basin case study
title_fullStr Water supply failure probability under influence of climate change - Balsillas river basin case study
title_full_unstemmed Water supply failure probability under influence of climate change - Balsillas river basin case study
title_short Water supply failure probability under influence of climate change - Balsillas river basin case study
title_sort water supply failure probability under influence of climate change balsillas river basin case study
topic agroclimatology
agriculture
climate change adaptation
hydrology
water consumption
url https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/341268
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