Simulation of the impacts of a depreciation of the exchange rate on Vietnamese economy: A computable general equilibrium model

Vietnam Dong has been continuously depreciating in recent years, The State Bank of Vietnam has attempted to contol the exchange rate for macroeconomic stability, especially reducing inflation rate as a target of Vietnamese economy. This study built the computable general equilibrium model for Vietna...

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Main Author: Nguyễn Văn Ngãi
Format: Article
Language:Vietnamese
Published: TẠP CHÍ KHOA HỌC ĐẠI HỌC MỞ THÀNH PHỐ HỒ CHÍ MINH 2020-10-01
Series:Tạp chí Khoa học Đại học Mở Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh - Kinh tế và Quản trị kinh doanh
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journalofscience.ou.edu.vn/index.php/econ-vi/article/view/1086
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author Nguyễn Văn Ngãi
author_facet Nguyễn Văn Ngãi
author_sort Nguyễn Văn Ngãi
collection DOAJ
description Vietnam Dong has been continuously depreciating in recent years, The State Bank of Vietnam has attempted to contol the exchange rate for macroeconomic stability, especially reducing inflation rate as a target of Vietnamese economy. This study built the computable general equilibrium model for Vietnamese economy in order to estimate the impact of a depreciation of the exchange rate on macroeconomic indicators. The result of this study provides useful information for Vietnamese policy-makers to make decisions on the exchange rate policies. The 17% depreciation of the exchange rate will have positive impacts on Vietnamese economy in terms of growth rate (4.58%), employment rate (4.22%) and exports (15.49%); but the cost for that is 13.58% inflation. Thus, the trade-offs among macroeocnomic indicators as application of the exchange rate policy must be considered.
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spelling doaj.art-45f6bedd82a64c40842df0144521f4772022-12-21T22:09:16ZvieTẠP CHÍ KHOA HỌC ĐẠI HỌC MỞ THÀNH PHỐ HỒ CHÍ MINHTạp chí Khoa học Đại học Mở Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh - Kinh tế và Quản trị kinh doanh2734-93062734-95782020-10-01815260886Simulation of the impacts of a depreciation of the exchange rate on Vietnamese economy: A computable general equilibrium modelNguyễn Văn Ngãi0Đại học Nông LâmVietnam Dong has been continuously depreciating in recent years, The State Bank of Vietnam has attempted to contol the exchange rate for macroeconomic stability, especially reducing inflation rate as a target of Vietnamese economy. This study built the computable general equilibrium model for Vietnamese economy in order to estimate the impact of a depreciation of the exchange rate on macroeconomic indicators. The result of this study provides useful information for Vietnamese policy-makers to make decisions on the exchange rate policies. The 17% depreciation of the exchange rate will have positive impacts on Vietnamese economy in terms of growth rate (4.58%), employment rate (4.22%) and exports (15.49%); but the cost for that is 13.58% inflation. Thus, the trade-offs among macroeocnomic indicators as application of the exchange rate policy must be considered.https://journalofscience.ou.edu.vn/index.php/econ-vi/article/view/1086tỷ giá đối đoáikinh tế vĩ mô việt nammô hình cân bẳng toàn phầnmô phỏng
spellingShingle Nguyễn Văn Ngãi
Simulation of the impacts of a depreciation of the exchange rate on Vietnamese economy: A computable general equilibrium model
Tạp chí Khoa học Đại học Mở Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh - Kinh tế và Quản trị kinh doanh
tỷ giá đối đoái
kinh tế vĩ mô việt nam
mô hình cân bẳng toàn phần
mô phỏng
title Simulation of the impacts of a depreciation of the exchange rate on Vietnamese economy: A computable general equilibrium model
title_full Simulation of the impacts of a depreciation of the exchange rate on Vietnamese economy: A computable general equilibrium model
title_fullStr Simulation of the impacts of a depreciation of the exchange rate on Vietnamese economy: A computable general equilibrium model
title_full_unstemmed Simulation of the impacts of a depreciation of the exchange rate on Vietnamese economy: A computable general equilibrium model
title_short Simulation of the impacts of a depreciation of the exchange rate on Vietnamese economy: A computable general equilibrium model
title_sort simulation of the impacts of a depreciation of the exchange rate on vietnamese economy a computable general equilibrium model
topic tỷ giá đối đoái
kinh tế vĩ mô việt nam
mô hình cân bẳng toàn phần
mô phỏng
url https://journalofscience.ou.edu.vn/index.php/econ-vi/article/view/1086
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