| Summary: | Fluid pressurization within the fault zone generates increasing pore pressure and stress change which is liable to create shear and/or brittle fractures within the reservoir volumes and subsequently generating earthquakes of varying magnitudes. Here, we explored time-dependent fault weakening processes in the fault zone which are dependent on several factors, including the rate of cold-water injection, modes of injection (hydromechanical (HM) and thermo-hydro-mechanical (THM) interactions), and changing fault spatial configurations using data from Niger Delta Basin. The variation in the stability of different fault models in withstanding stresses induced by HM and THM fluid interactions is evident. Fault permeability enhancement and the behaviour of slip event under isothermal and non-isothermal conditions revealed that stress and pore pressure perturbations have a first order control on the rate of fault dilation and compression. It is observed that the progressive cooling of the reservoir induced thermal stress which induced the timing of slip by unloading the fault to earlier seismic rupture in the non-isothermal case, and accelerates the magnitude of the fault reactivation and the accompanied induced seismicity. Owing to increased tendency of shear failure during injection, fracture opening through shear dilation is more enhanced in THM simulation as the fracture permeability is significantly higher than in HM. This effect becomes increasingly more dominant with intermediate fault angle and joint orientation. Certain fault/joint configurations which were resistant to shear failure under isothermal injection had their frictional resistance broken by thermal stress. The results also indicate that there is higher pore pressure build-up in THM than in HM as the injection rate increases and reservoir temperature drops during cold injections.. This study has demonstrated the importance of fully characterizing the fracture geometries and configurations of normal faulting regime in addition to fluid injection conditions when developing fractured reservoirs to mitigate seismic risks and hazards that could result from early fault reactivation.
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