Thermal Simulation of Ice Cellars as a Basis for Food Security and Energy Sustainability of Isolated Indigenous Communities in the Arctic

Underground storage facilities dug in permafrost, or ice cellars, are a natural means of preserving food in conditions of transport isolation and total energy dependence on imported fuel. In the context of rapidly changing natural conditions, such storage facilities become unstable due to warming an...

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Main Authors: Alexey Maslakov, Ksenia Sotnikova, Gleb Gribovskii, Dmitry Evlanov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-01-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/3/972
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author Alexey Maslakov
Ksenia Sotnikova
Gleb Gribovskii
Dmitry Evlanov
author_facet Alexey Maslakov
Ksenia Sotnikova
Gleb Gribovskii
Dmitry Evlanov
author_sort Alexey Maslakov
collection DOAJ
description Underground storage facilities dug in permafrost, or ice cellars, are a natural means of preserving food in conditions of transport isolation and total energy dependence on imported fuel. In the context of rapidly changing natural conditions, such storage facilities become unstable due to warming and degradation of permafrost. Monitoring and modeling the thermal regime of permafrost soils around ice cellars will help assess the impact of predicted climatic changes and the effectiveness of engineering solutions to sustain these facilities. In this paper, we made an attempt to simulate and predict the thermal regime of permafrost around an ice cellar, located in the community of Lorino, NE Russia. We found out that by 2050 the depth of seasonal thawing of the soil above the storage facility will increase from 1.12–1.74 m to 1.19–2.53 m, while the mean annual ground temperature will increase by only 0.5 °C, regardless of the climatic scenario. Results of the predictive simulation demonstrate significant but not critical changes of the thermal state of permafrost around the ice cellar. In fact, incorrect maintenance of the facility may have higher impact to its stability than climate changes. Some recommendations on preventive measures on increasing the ice cellar stability were provided.
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spelling doaj.art-4652222c47744164bac3b7cbd82c03282023-11-23T16:23:02ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732022-01-0115397210.3390/en15030972Thermal Simulation of Ice Cellars as a Basis for Food Security and Energy Sustainability of Isolated Indigenous Communities in the ArcticAlexey Maslakov0Ksenia Sotnikova1Gleb Gribovskii2Dmitry Evlanov3Faculty of Geography, Lomonosov Moscow State University, 119991 Moscow, RussiaFaculty of Geography, Lomonosov Moscow State University, 119991 Moscow, RussiaLLC STC Simmakers, 121205 Moscow, RussiaLLC STC Simmakers, 121205 Moscow, RussiaUnderground storage facilities dug in permafrost, or ice cellars, are a natural means of preserving food in conditions of transport isolation and total energy dependence on imported fuel. In the context of rapidly changing natural conditions, such storage facilities become unstable due to warming and degradation of permafrost. Monitoring and modeling the thermal regime of permafrost soils around ice cellars will help assess the impact of predicted climatic changes and the effectiveness of engineering solutions to sustain these facilities. In this paper, we made an attempt to simulate and predict the thermal regime of permafrost around an ice cellar, located in the community of Lorino, NE Russia. We found out that by 2050 the depth of seasonal thawing of the soil above the storage facility will increase from 1.12–1.74 m to 1.19–2.53 m, while the mean annual ground temperature will increase by only 0.5 °C, regardless of the climatic scenario. Results of the predictive simulation demonstrate significant but not critical changes of the thermal state of permafrost around the ice cellar. In fact, incorrect maintenance of the facility may have higher impact to its stability than climate changes. Some recommendations on preventive measures on increasing the ice cellar stability were provided.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/3/972ice cellarfood securityenergy sustainabilityclimate change adaptationnumerical simulationpermafrost
spellingShingle Alexey Maslakov
Ksenia Sotnikova
Gleb Gribovskii
Dmitry Evlanov
Thermal Simulation of Ice Cellars as a Basis for Food Security and Energy Sustainability of Isolated Indigenous Communities in the Arctic
Energies
ice cellar
food security
energy sustainability
climate change adaptation
numerical simulation
permafrost
title Thermal Simulation of Ice Cellars as a Basis for Food Security and Energy Sustainability of Isolated Indigenous Communities in the Arctic
title_full Thermal Simulation of Ice Cellars as a Basis for Food Security and Energy Sustainability of Isolated Indigenous Communities in the Arctic
title_fullStr Thermal Simulation of Ice Cellars as a Basis for Food Security and Energy Sustainability of Isolated Indigenous Communities in the Arctic
title_full_unstemmed Thermal Simulation of Ice Cellars as a Basis for Food Security and Energy Sustainability of Isolated Indigenous Communities in the Arctic
title_short Thermal Simulation of Ice Cellars as a Basis for Food Security and Energy Sustainability of Isolated Indigenous Communities in the Arctic
title_sort thermal simulation of ice cellars as a basis for food security and energy sustainability of isolated indigenous communities in the arctic
topic ice cellar
food security
energy sustainability
climate change adaptation
numerical simulation
permafrost
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/3/972
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