A General Equilibrium Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in the People’s Republic of China
This paper examines the potential long-term impacts of global climate change on agricultural production and trade in the People’s Republic of China (PRC). Using an economy-wide, global computable general equilibrium model, this paper simulates the scenarios of global agricultural productivity change...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
World Scientific Publishing
2009-06-01
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| Series: | Asian Development Review |
| Online Access: | https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S0116110509500073 |
| _version_ | 1797793719223582720 |
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| author | Fan Zhai Tun Lin Enerelt Byambadorj |
| author_facet | Fan Zhai Tun Lin Enerelt Byambadorj |
| author_sort | Fan Zhai |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This paper examines the potential long-term impacts of global climate change on agricultural production and trade in the People’s Republic of China (PRC). Using an economy-wide, global computable general equilibrium model, this paper simulates the scenarios of global agricultural productivity change induced by climate change up to 2080. The results suggest that with the anticipated decline in agriculture share of gross domestic product, the impact of climate change on the PRC’s macro economy will be moderate. The food processing subsectors are predicted to bear the brunt of losses from the agricultural productivity changes caused by climate change. Production of some crop sectors (such as wheat), in contrast, is likely to expand due to increased demand from other regions of the world. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-13T02:51:21Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-46b1c9ac87464b7e95a0106987b88946 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 0116-1105 1996-7241 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-13T02:51:21Z |
| publishDate | 2009-06-01 |
| publisher | World Scientific Publishing |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Asian Development Review |
| spelling | doaj.art-46b1c9ac87464b7e95a0106987b889462023-06-28T10:17:26ZengWorld Scientific PublishingAsian Development Review0116-11051996-72412009-06-01260120622510.1142/S0116110509500073A General Equilibrium Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in the People’s Republic of ChinaFan ZhaiTun LinEnerelt ByambadorjThis paper examines the potential long-term impacts of global climate change on agricultural production and trade in the People’s Republic of China (PRC). Using an economy-wide, global computable general equilibrium model, this paper simulates the scenarios of global agricultural productivity change induced by climate change up to 2080. The results suggest that with the anticipated decline in agriculture share of gross domestic product, the impact of climate change on the PRC’s macro economy will be moderate. The food processing subsectors are predicted to bear the brunt of losses from the agricultural productivity changes caused by climate change. Production of some crop sectors (such as wheat), in contrast, is likely to expand due to increased demand from other regions of the world.https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S0116110509500073 |
| spellingShingle | Fan Zhai Tun Lin Enerelt Byambadorj A General Equilibrium Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in the People’s Republic of China Asian Development Review |
| title | A General Equilibrium Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in the People’s Republic of China |
| title_full | A General Equilibrium Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in the People’s Republic of China |
| title_fullStr | A General Equilibrium Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in the People’s Republic of China |
| title_full_unstemmed | A General Equilibrium Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in the People’s Republic of China |
| title_short | A General Equilibrium Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in the People’s Republic of China |
| title_sort | general equilibrium analysis of the impact of climate change on agriculture in the people s republic of china |
| url | https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S0116110509500073 |
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