Systematic review and meta-analysis of ivermectin for treatment of COVID-19: evidence beyond the hype

Abstract Background The role of ivermectin in the treatment of COVID-19 is still under debate, yet the drug has been widely used in some parts of the world, as shown by impressive market data. The available body of evidence may have changed over the last months, as studies have been retracted and “s...

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Main Authors: Milena Soriano Marcolino, Karina Cardoso Meira, Nathalia Sernizon Guimarães, Paula Perdigão Motta, Victor Schulthais Chagas, Silvana Márcia Bruschi Kelles, Laura Caetano de Sá, Reginaldo Aparecido Valacio, Patrícia Klarmann Ziegelmann
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2022-07-01
Series:BMC Infectious Diseases
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-022-07589-8
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author Milena Soriano Marcolino
Karina Cardoso Meira
Nathalia Sernizon Guimarães
Paula Perdigão Motta
Victor Schulthais Chagas
Silvana Márcia Bruschi Kelles
Laura Caetano de Sá
Reginaldo Aparecido Valacio
Patrícia Klarmann Ziegelmann
author_facet Milena Soriano Marcolino
Karina Cardoso Meira
Nathalia Sernizon Guimarães
Paula Perdigão Motta
Victor Schulthais Chagas
Silvana Márcia Bruschi Kelles
Laura Caetano de Sá
Reginaldo Aparecido Valacio
Patrícia Klarmann Ziegelmann
author_sort Milena Soriano Marcolino
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background The role of ivermectin in the treatment of COVID-19 is still under debate, yet the drug has been widely used in some parts of the world, as shown by impressive market data. The available body of evidence may have changed over the last months, as studies have been retracted and “standards of care” (SOC) used in control groups have changed with rapidly evolving knowledge on COVID-19. This review aims to summarize and critically appraise the evidence of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of ivermectin, assessing clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients. Methods RCTs evaluating the effects of ivermectin in adult patients with COVID-19 were searched through June 22, 2022, in four databases, L.OVE platform, clinical trial registries and pre-prints platforms. Primary endpoints included all-cause mortality and invasive ventilation requirement. Secondary endpoint was the occurrence of adverse events. Risk of bias was evaluated using the Cochrane Risk of Bias 2.0 tool. Meta-analysis included only studies which compared ivermectin to placebo or SOC. Random-effects were used to pool the risk ratios (RRs) of individual trials. The quality of evidence was evaluated using GRADE. The protocol was register in PROSPERO (CRD42021257471). Results Twenty-five RCTs fulfilled inclusion criteria (n = 6310). Of those, 14 compared ivermectin with placebo, in night ivermectin associated with SOC was compared to SOC and two studies compared ivermectin to an active comparator. Most RCTs had some concerns or high risk of bias, mostly due to lack of concealment of the randomization sequence and allocation, lack of blinding and high number of missing cases. Ivermectin did not show an effect in reducing mortality (RR = 0.76; 95%CI: 0.52–1.11) or mechanical ventilation (RR = 0.74; 95%CI: 0.48–1.16). This effect was consistent when comparing ivermectin vs. placebo, and ivermectin associated with SOC vs. SOC, as well as in sensitivity analysis. Additionally, there was very low quality of evidence regarding adverse effects (RR = 1.07; 95%CI: 0.84–1.35). Conclusions The evidence suggests that ivermectin does not reduce mortality risk and the risk of mechanical ventilation requirement. Although we did not observe an increase in the risk of adverse effects, the evidence is very uncertain regarding this endpoint.
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spelling doaj.art-46c7f21761714a8f822e90e3b9d50ada2022-12-22T01:30:28ZengBMCBMC Infectious Diseases1471-23342022-07-0122112510.1186/s12879-022-07589-8Systematic review and meta-analysis of ivermectin for treatment of COVID-19: evidence beyond the hypeMilena Soriano Marcolino0Karina Cardoso Meira1Nathalia Sernizon Guimarães2Paula Perdigão Motta3Victor Schulthais Chagas4Silvana Márcia Bruschi Kelles5Laura Caetano de Sá6Reginaldo Aparecido Valacio7Patrícia Klarmann Ziegelmann8Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School and Telehealth Center, University Hospital, Universidade Federal de Minas GeraisHealth School, Federal University of Rio Grande do NorteInstituto de Saúde Coletiva da Universidade Federal da BahiaFaculdade de Farmácia da Universidade Federal de Minas GeraisDepartment of Internal Medicine, Medical School and Telehealth Center, University Hospital, Universidade Federal de Minas GeraisPontifícia Universidade Católica de Minas GeraisDepartment of Internal Medicine, Medical School and Telehealth Center, University Hospital, Universidade Federal de Minas GeraisHospital Metropolitano Odilon BehrensInstitute for Health Technology Assessment (IATS/CNPq)Abstract Background The role of ivermectin in the treatment of COVID-19 is still under debate, yet the drug has been widely used in some parts of the world, as shown by impressive market data. The available body of evidence may have changed over the last months, as studies have been retracted and “standards of care” (SOC) used in control groups have changed with rapidly evolving knowledge on COVID-19. This review aims to summarize and critically appraise the evidence of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of ivermectin, assessing clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients. Methods RCTs evaluating the effects of ivermectin in adult patients with COVID-19 were searched through June 22, 2022, in four databases, L.OVE platform, clinical trial registries and pre-prints platforms. Primary endpoints included all-cause mortality and invasive ventilation requirement. Secondary endpoint was the occurrence of adverse events. Risk of bias was evaluated using the Cochrane Risk of Bias 2.0 tool. Meta-analysis included only studies which compared ivermectin to placebo or SOC. Random-effects were used to pool the risk ratios (RRs) of individual trials. The quality of evidence was evaluated using GRADE. The protocol was register in PROSPERO (CRD42021257471). Results Twenty-five RCTs fulfilled inclusion criteria (n = 6310). Of those, 14 compared ivermectin with placebo, in night ivermectin associated with SOC was compared to SOC and two studies compared ivermectin to an active comparator. Most RCTs had some concerns or high risk of bias, mostly due to lack of concealment of the randomization sequence and allocation, lack of blinding and high number of missing cases. Ivermectin did not show an effect in reducing mortality (RR = 0.76; 95%CI: 0.52–1.11) or mechanical ventilation (RR = 0.74; 95%CI: 0.48–1.16). This effect was consistent when comparing ivermectin vs. placebo, and ivermectin associated with SOC vs. SOC, as well as in sensitivity analysis. Additionally, there was very low quality of evidence regarding adverse effects (RR = 1.07; 95%CI: 0.84–1.35). Conclusions The evidence suggests that ivermectin does not reduce mortality risk and the risk of mechanical ventilation requirement. Although we did not observe an increase in the risk of adverse effects, the evidence is very uncertain regarding this endpoint.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-022-07589-8COVID-19SARS-CoV-2Novel coronavirusTherapeuticsSystematic reviewMeta-analysis
spellingShingle Milena Soriano Marcolino
Karina Cardoso Meira
Nathalia Sernizon Guimarães
Paula Perdigão Motta
Victor Schulthais Chagas
Silvana Márcia Bruschi Kelles
Laura Caetano de Sá
Reginaldo Aparecido Valacio
Patrícia Klarmann Ziegelmann
Systematic review and meta-analysis of ivermectin for treatment of COVID-19: evidence beyond the hype
BMC Infectious Diseases
COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2
Novel coronavirus
Therapeutics
Systematic review
Meta-analysis
title Systematic review and meta-analysis of ivermectin for treatment of COVID-19: evidence beyond the hype
title_full Systematic review and meta-analysis of ivermectin for treatment of COVID-19: evidence beyond the hype
title_fullStr Systematic review and meta-analysis of ivermectin for treatment of COVID-19: evidence beyond the hype
title_full_unstemmed Systematic review and meta-analysis of ivermectin for treatment of COVID-19: evidence beyond the hype
title_short Systematic review and meta-analysis of ivermectin for treatment of COVID-19: evidence beyond the hype
title_sort systematic review and meta analysis of ivermectin for treatment of covid 19 evidence beyond the hype
topic COVID-19
SARS-CoV-2
Novel coronavirus
Therapeutics
Systematic review
Meta-analysis
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-022-07589-8
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