A terapia da recessão virtual

The lack of a secure signaling for the prices evolution in inflationary processes (both high and moderate) tends to make agents adoptindexation by pastinflation as the main compass for it. Stabilization is, in this context, the process of changing this pattern, making an anchor the only compass for...

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Main Author: Andre Lunardelli
Format: Article
Language:Portuguese
Published: Universidade de São Paulo 1997-06-01
Series:Economia Aplicada
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/217638
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author Andre Lunardelli
author_facet Andre Lunardelli
author_sort Andre Lunardelli
collection DOAJ
description The lack of a secure signaling for the prices evolution in inflationary processes (both high and moderate) tends to make agents adoptindexation by pastinflation as the main compass for it. Stabilization is, in this context, the process of changing this pattern, making an anchor the only compass for inflation expectation. During this transition there is, usually, a raise in uncertainty, related with the unknown of how other agents will behave and with changes in relative prices. This is the main reason for the usual costs in terms ofproduct and unemployment (but when previous scenery is very uncertain - as in many high inflations -, stabilization may bring immediately more predictability, leading to a boom). To deal with this, we suggest that the well known alternative of an income policy can be complemented by a new tool: the "amplified anchor" - that intends, through a virtual recession, to lower (or even avoid) the real one.
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spelling doaj.art-47265aa38b81418ba39336078e353df12023-10-25T04:18:07ZporUniversidade de São PauloEconomia Aplicada1413-80501980-53301997-06-0114A terapia da recessão virtualAndre Lunardelli0Sem Registro de Afiliação The lack of a secure signaling for the prices evolution in inflationary processes (both high and moderate) tends to make agents adoptindexation by pastinflation as the main compass for it. Stabilization is, in this context, the process of changing this pattern, making an anchor the only compass for inflation expectation. During this transition there is, usually, a raise in uncertainty, related with the unknown of how other agents will behave and with changes in relative prices. This is the main reason for the usual costs in terms ofproduct and unemployment (but when previous scenery is very uncertain - as in many high inflations -, stabilization may bring immediately more predictability, leading to a boom). To deal with this, we suggest that the well known alternative of an income policy can be complemented by a new tool: the "amplified anchor" - that intends, through a virtual recession, to lower (or even avoid) the real one. https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/217638compassuncertaintyamplified anchorvirtual recession
spellingShingle Andre Lunardelli
A terapia da recessão virtual
Economia Aplicada
compass
uncertainty
amplified anchor
virtual recession
title A terapia da recessão virtual
title_full A terapia da recessão virtual
title_fullStr A terapia da recessão virtual
title_full_unstemmed A terapia da recessão virtual
title_short A terapia da recessão virtual
title_sort terapia da recessao virtual
topic compass
uncertainty
amplified anchor
virtual recession
url https://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/217638
work_keys_str_mv AT andrelunardelli aterapiadarecessaovirtual
AT andrelunardelli terapiadarecessaovirtual