Reforming the Federal Fiscal Stabilization Program

The federal Fiscal Stabilization Program is meant to provide financial support for provinces that suffer extraordinary declines in revenues. However, the program only provided $248 million payment to Alberta in 2015-16 in the face of a $8.8 billion decline in revenues, and no support for Saskatchewa...

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Main Author: Bev Dahlby
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Calgary 2019-06-01
Series:The School of Public Policy Publications
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.policyschool.ca/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Fiscal-Stabilization-Dahlby-final2.pdf
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author Bev Dahlby
author_facet Bev Dahlby
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description The federal Fiscal Stabilization Program is meant to provide financial support for provinces that suffer extraordinary declines in revenues. However, the program only provided $248 million payment to Alberta in 2015-16 in the face of a $8.8 billion decline in revenues, and no support for Saskatchewan and Newfoundland and Labrador that have also suffered significant revenue reductions in recent years. We discuss the rationale for a Fiscal Stabilization Program, and three principles that should be adopted in re-designing it: · Payments should be based on declines in a province’s own-source revenues from an average of its past years’ own-source revenues · The program should preserve incentives for provinces to maintain prudent fiscal policies by only covering losses that exceed some percentage of “normal” own-source revenues (a deductible) and then only covering a fraction of eligible losses (co-insurance). · Formulas determining payments should be simple and transparent with no adjustment for changes in provincial tax policies that may affect own-source revenues. We propose some alternative formulas, consistent with these principles, for calculating the fiscal insurance payments and show the support levels that they would have provided to the provinces since the mid-1980s.
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spelling doaj.art-476abc88e0494575afeb3f59993db02d2022-12-22T03:09:10ZengUniversity of CalgaryThe School of Public Policy Publications2560-83122560-83202019-06-01121812010.11575/sppp.v12i0.68076Reforming the Federal Fiscal Stabilization ProgramBev Dahlby0University of CalgaryThe federal Fiscal Stabilization Program is meant to provide financial support for provinces that suffer extraordinary declines in revenues. However, the program only provided $248 million payment to Alberta in 2015-16 in the face of a $8.8 billion decline in revenues, and no support for Saskatchewan and Newfoundland and Labrador that have also suffered significant revenue reductions in recent years. We discuss the rationale for a Fiscal Stabilization Program, and three principles that should be adopted in re-designing it: · Payments should be based on declines in a province’s own-source revenues from an average of its past years’ own-source revenues · The program should preserve incentives for provinces to maintain prudent fiscal policies by only covering losses that exceed some percentage of “normal” own-source revenues (a deductible) and then only covering a fraction of eligible losses (co-insurance). · Formulas determining payments should be simple and transparent with no adjustment for changes in provincial tax policies that may affect own-source revenues. We propose some alternative formulas, consistent with these principles, for calculating the fiscal insurance payments and show the support levels that they would have provided to the provinces since the mid-1980s.https://www.policyschool.ca/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Fiscal-Stabilization-Dahlby-final2.pdffiscal insurancefiscal stabilizationequalizationintergovernmental transfers
spellingShingle Bev Dahlby
Reforming the Federal Fiscal Stabilization Program
The School of Public Policy Publications
fiscal insurance
fiscal stabilization
equalization
intergovernmental transfers
title Reforming the Federal Fiscal Stabilization Program
title_full Reforming the Federal Fiscal Stabilization Program
title_fullStr Reforming the Federal Fiscal Stabilization Program
title_full_unstemmed Reforming the Federal Fiscal Stabilization Program
title_short Reforming the Federal Fiscal Stabilization Program
title_sort reforming the federal fiscal stabilization program
topic fiscal insurance
fiscal stabilization
equalization
intergovernmental transfers
url https://www.policyschool.ca/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Fiscal-Stabilization-Dahlby-final2.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT bevdahlby reformingthefederalfiscalstabilizationprogram