Systemic Inflammatory Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality in COVID-19 Patients: A Retrospective Study

The purpose of this study was to investigate whether routine blood tests and clinical characteristics can predict in-hospital mortality in COVID-19. Clinical data of 285 patients aged 59.7 ± 10.3 yrs. (males <i>n</i> = 189, females <i>n</i> = 96) were retrospectively collecte...

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Main Authors: Bartosz Kudlinski, Dominika Zgoła, Marta Stolińska, Magdalena Murkos, Jagoda Kania, Pawel Nowak, Anna Noga, Magdalena Wojciech, Gabriel Zaborniak, Agnieszka Zembron-Lacny
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-03-01
Series:Diagnostics
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4418/12/4/859
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author Bartosz Kudlinski
Dominika Zgoła
Marta Stolińska
Magdalena Murkos
Jagoda Kania
Pawel Nowak
Anna Noga
Magdalena Wojciech
Gabriel Zaborniak
Agnieszka Zembron-Lacny
author_facet Bartosz Kudlinski
Dominika Zgoła
Marta Stolińska
Magdalena Murkos
Jagoda Kania
Pawel Nowak
Anna Noga
Magdalena Wojciech
Gabriel Zaborniak
Agnieszka Zembron-Lacny
author_sort Bartosz Kudlinski
collection DOAJ
description The purpose of this study was to investigate whether routine blood tests and clinical characteristics can predict in-hospital mortality in COVID-19. Clinical data of 285 patients aged 59.7 ± 10.3 yrs. (males <i>n</i> = 189, females <i>n</i> = 96) were retrospectively collected from December 2020 to June 2021. Routine blood tests were recorded within the 1st hour of admission to hospital. The inflammatory variables, such as C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), neutrophils–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the systemic inflammatory index (SII), exceeded the reference values in all patients and were significantly higher in deceased patients (<i>n</i> = 108) compared to survivors (<i>n</i> = 177). The log-rank test for comparing two survival curves showed that patients aged ≥60.5 years, with PCT ≥ 0.188 ng/mL or NLR ≥ 11.57 10<sup>3</sup>/µL were at a greater risk of death. NLR demonstrated a high impact on the COVID-19 mortality (HR 1.317; 95%CI 1.004–1.728; <i>p</i> < 0.05), whereas CRP and SII showed no effect (HR 1.000; 95%CI 1.000–1.004; <i>p</i> = 0.085 and HR 1.078; 95%CI 0.865–1.344; <i>p</i> = 0.503, respectively). In the first Polish study including COVID-19 patients, we demonstrated that age in relation to simple parameters derived from complete blood cell count has prognostic implications in the course of COVID-19 and can identify the patients at a higher risk of in-hospital mortality.
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spelling doaj.art-478d735d487f40bd8fa6884a704515482023-12-01T01:31:50ZengMDPI AGDiagnostics2075-44182022-03-0112485910.3390/diagnostics12040859Systemic Inflammatory Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality in COVID-19 Patients: A Retrospective StudyBartosz Kudlinski0Dominika Zgoła1Marta Stolińska2Magdalena Murkos3Jagoda Kania4Pawel Nowak5Anna Noga6Magdalena Wojciech7Gabriel Zaborniak8Agnieszka Zembron-Lacny9Department of Anaesthesiology, Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine, Collegium Medicum University of Zielona Góra, 65-417 Zielona Gora, PolandDepartment of Anaesthesiology, Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine, Collegium Medicum University of Zielona Góra, 65-417 Zielona Gora, PolandDepartment of Anaesthesiology, Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine, Collegium Medicum University of Zielona Góra, 65-417 Zielona Gora, PolandDepartment of Anaesthesiology, Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine, Collegium Medicum University of Zielona Góra, 65-417 Zielona Gora, PolandDepartment of Anaesthesiology, Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine, Collegium Medicum University of Zielona Góra, 65-417 Zielona Gora, PolandStudent Research Group, University of Zielona Gora, 65-417 Zielona Gora, PolandStudent Research Group, University of Zielona Gora, 65-417 Zielona Gora, PolandDepartment of Mathematical Statistics and Econometrics, Faculty of Mathematics, Computer Science and Econometrics, University of Zielona Góra, 65-516 Zielona Gora, PolandDepartment of Mathematical Statistics and Econometrics, Faculty of Mathematics, Computer Science and Econometrics, University of Zielona Góra, 65-516 Zielona Gora, PolandDepartment of Applied and Clinical Physiology, Collegium Medicum University of Zielona Gora, 28 Zyty Str., 65-417 Zielona Gora, PolandThe purpose of this study was to investigate whether routine blood tests and clinical characteristics can predict in-hospital mortality in COVID-19. Clinical data of 285 patients aged 59.7 ± 10.3 yrs. (males <i>n</i> = 189, females <i>n</i> = 96) were retrospectively collected from December 2020 to June 2021. Routine blood tests were recorded within the 1st hour of admission to hospital. The inflammatory variables, such as C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), neutrophils–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the systemic inflammatory index (SII), exceeded the reference values in all patients and were significantly higher in deceased patients (<i>n</i> = 108) compared to survivors (<i>n</i> = 177). The log-rank test for comparing two survival curves showed that patients aged ≥60.5 years, with PCT ≥ 0.188 ng/mL or NLR ≥ 11.57 10<sup>3</sup>/µL were at a greater risk of death. NLR demonstrated a high impact on the COVID-19 mortality (HR 1.317; 95%CI 1.004–1.728; <i>p</i> < 0.05), whereas CRP and SII showed no effect (HR 1.000; 95%CI 1.000–1.004; <i>p</i> = 0.085 and HR 1.078; 95%CI 0.865–1.344; <i>p</i> = 0.503, respectively). In the first Polish study including COVID-19 patients, we demonstrated that age in relation to simple parameters derived from complete blood cell count has prognostic implications in the course of COVID-19 and can identify the patients at a higher risk of in-hospital mortality.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4418/12/4/859agecomorbiditieslymphocytesneutrophilssurvival analysis
spellingShingle Bartosz Kudlinski
Dominika Zgoła
Marta Stolińska
Magdalena Murkos
Jagoda Kania
Pawel Nowak
Anna Noga
Magdalena Wojciech
Gabriel Zaborniak
Agnieszka Zembron-Lacny
Systemic Inflammatory Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality in COVID-19 Patients: A Retrospective Study
Diagnostics
age
comorbidities
lymphocytes
neutrophils
survival analysis
title Systemic Inflammatory Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality in COVID-19 Patients: A Retrospective Study
title_full Systemic Inflammatory Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality in COVID-19 Patients: A Retrospective Study
title_fullStr Systemic Inflammatory Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality in COVID-19 Patients: A Retrospective Study
title_full_unstemmed Systemic Inflammatory Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality in COVID-19 Patients: A Retrospective Study
title_short Systemic Inflammatory Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality in COVID-19 Patients: A Retrospective Study
title_sort systemic inflammatory predictors of in hospital mortality in covid 19 patients a retrospective study
topic age
comorbidities
lymphocytes
neutrophils
survival analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4418/12/4/859
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