Coupled coordination of water resources–economy–ecosystem complex in the Henan section of the Yellow River basin
This study investigates the coordination of factors in the three coupled systems of water resources, economy and ecosystem. The study data were economic, social, environmental and water resource indicators of the Henan section of the Yellow River basin from 2000 to 2019. Data were analyzed using a m...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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IWA Publishing
2022-12-01
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Series: | Water Supply |
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Online Access: | http://ws.iwaponline.com/content/22/12/8835 |
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author | Shunsheng Wang Jinyue Yang Aili Wang Yongfang Yan Tengfei Liu |
author_facet | Shunsheng Wang Jinyue Yang Aili Wang Yongfang Yan Tengfei Liu |
author_sort | Shunsheng Wang |
collection | DOAJ |
description | This study investigates the coordination of factors in the three coupled systems of water resources, economy and ecosystem. The study data were economic, social, environmental and water resource indicators of the Henan section of the Yellow River basin from 2000 to 2019. Data were analyzed using a model of coupling coordination, grey relational analysis and a combined sparrow search algorithm–back propagation (SSA-BP) prediction model. Evaluation, analysis and prediction of the water resources–economy–ecosystem complex were undertaken. The results show that: (1) the degree of coupling coordination of the water resources–economy–ecosystem complex in the Henan section of the Yellow River basin showed an increasing trend that reached 0.8105 in 2019, which indicates good coordination; (2) the water resources subsystem had the greatest influence on the overall degree of coupling coordination, followed by the economic and natural environment subsystems; and (3) the SSA-BP model predicted that the degree of coupling coordination would remain good for the next six years and reach 0.8333 in 2025. To ensure the sustainability of expected rapid economic development, Henan Province must increase the utilization efficiency of water resources, strengthen environmental protection, and coordinate development in the region.
HIGHLIGHTS
An evaluation model of the coupled water resources–economy–ecosystem development of the Henan section of the Yellow River basin was established.;
A new method for future forecasting of regional coupling coordination is proposed.;
The main factors affecting the degree of coordinated water resources–economy–ecosystem development in the Henan section of the Yellow River basin were identified.; |
first_indexed | 2024-04-10T09:37:26Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-47ce247484a94b1a9c4399f179ec06c3 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1606-9749 1607-0798 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-10T09:37:26Z |
publishDate | 2022-12-01 |
publisher | IWA Publishing |
record_format | Article |
series | Water Supply |
spelling | doaj.art-47ce247484a94b1a9c4399f179ec06c32023-02-17T17:05:01ZengIWA PublishingWater Supply1606-97491607-07982022-12-0122128835884810.2166/ws.2022.410410Coupled coordination of water resources–economy–ecosystem complex in the Henan section of the Yellow River basinShunsheng Wang0Jinyue Yang1Aili Wang2Yongfang Yan3Tengfei Liu4 Collaborative Innovation Center for Efficient Utilization of Water Resources, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou, China School of Water Conservancy, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou, China School of Water Conservancy, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou, China Henan Vocational College of Water Conservancy and Environment, Zhengzhou, China School of Water Conservancy, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou, China This study investigates the coordination of factors in the three coupled systems of water resources, economy and ecosystem. The study data were economic, social, environmental and water resource indicators of the Henan section of the Yellow River basin from 2000 to 2019. Data were analyzed using a model of coupling coordination, grey relational analysis and a combined sparrow search algorithm–back propagation (SSA-BP) prediction model. Evaluation, analysis and prediction of the water resources–economy–ecosystem complex were undertaken. The results show that: (1) the degree of coupling coordination of the water resources–economy–ecosystem complex in the Henan section of the Yellow River basin showed an increasing trend that reached 0.8105 in 2019, which indicates good coordination; (2) the water resources subsystem had the greatest influence on the overall degree of coupling coordination, followed by the economic and natural environment subsystems; and (3) the SSA-BP model predicted that the degree of coupling coordination would remain good for the next six years and reach 0.8333 in 2025. To ensure the sustainability of expected rapid economic development, Henan Province must increase the utilization efficiency of water resources, strengthen environmental protection, and coordinate development in the region. HIGHLIGHTS An evaluation model of the coupled water resources–economy–ecosystem development of the Henan section of the Yellow River basin was established.; A new method for future forecasting of regional coupling coordination is proposed.; The main factors affecting the degree of coordinated water resources–economy–ecosystem development in the Henan section of the Yellow River basin were identified.;http://ws.iwaponline.com/content/22/12/8835comprehensive evaluationcoupling coordination degreegrey relational analysishenan section of the yellow river basinssa-bp combined model |
spellingShingle | Shunsheng Wang Jinyue Yang Aili Wang Yongfang Yan Tengfei Liu Coupled coordination of water resources–economy–ecosystem complex in the Henan section of the Yellow River basin Water Supply comprehensive evaluation coupling coordination degree grey relational analysis henan section of the yellow river basin ssa-bp combined model |
title | Coupled coordination of water resources–economy–ecosystem complex in the Henan section of the Yellow River basin |
title_full | Coupled coordination of water resources–economy–ecosystem complex in the Henan section of the Yellow River basin |
title_fullStr | Coupled coordination of water resources–economy–ecosystem complex in the Henan section of the Yellow River basin |
title_full_unstemmed | Coupled coordination of water resources–economy–ecosystem complex in the Henan section of the Yellow River basin |
title_short | Coupled coordination of water resources–economy–ecosystem complex in the Henan section of the Yellow River basin |
title_sort | coupled coordination of water resources economy ecosystem complex in the henan section of the yellow river basin |
topic | comprehensive evaluation coupling coordination degree grey relational analysis henan section of the yellow river basin ssa-bp combined model |
url | http://ws.iwaponline.com/content/22/12/8835 |
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