Influence of wind power production on electricity market price

The study looks for a correlation between the share of wind power and electricity wholesale prices in the selected regions of the Nordic Baltic power market “Nord Pool Spot”. The aim is to see if and how strong an impact of wind power production has on power market prices. This information would hel...

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Main Authors: Valdmanis Gunars, Bazbauers Gatis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2020-01-01
Series:Environmental and Climate Technologies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2020-0029
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author Valdmanis Gunars
Bazbauers Gatis
author_facet Valdmanis Gunars
Bazbauers Gatis
author_sort Valdmanis Gunars
collection DOAJ
description The study looks for a correlation between the share of wind power and electricity wholesale prices in the selected regions of the Nordic Baltic power market “Nord Pool Spot”. The aim is to see if and how strong an impact of wind power production has on power market prices. This information would help to perform long-term energy system analysis considering growing wind energy penetration. The actual hourly wind production and power consumption data as well as electricity prices from the year 2019 were used in the analysis. Results of the study revealed that in the analysed dataset there is no correlation between the share of wind power and the power prices, i.e. R-squared value is 0.003 for the Baltic region and 0.0064 for both trading areas of Denmark. In contrast, the R-squared value was almost 0.6 for a positive correlation between power demand and prices. The results mean that expected loss of interest to invest due to falling power prices, as a share of renewable power increases, should be examined more carefully and may not fulfil forecasts of policy makers and industry experts.
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spelling doaj.art-48076b7e8cdf46b79259fe08a3d034062022-12-21T21:34:34ZengSciendoEnvironmental and Climate Technologies2255-88372020-01-0124147248210.2478/rtuect-2020-0029rtuect-2020-0029Influence of wind power production on electricity market priceValdmanis Gunars0Bazbauers Gatis1Riga Technical University, Institute of Energy Systems and Environment, Āzenes iela 12-K1, Riga, LV-1048, LatviaRiga Technical University, Institute of Energy Systems and Environment, Āzenes iela 12-K1, Riga, LV-1048, LatviaThe study looks for a correlation between the share of wind power and electricity wholesale prices in the selected regions of the Nordic Baltic power market “Nord Pool Spot”. The aim is to see if and how strong an impact of wind power production has on power market prices. This information would help to perform long-term energy system analysis considering growing wind energy penetration. The actual hourly wind production and power consumption data as well as electricity prices from the year 2019 were used in the analysis. Results of the study revealed that in the analysed dataset there is no correlation between the share of wind power and the power prices, i.e. R-squared value is 0.003 for the Baltic region and 0.0064 for both trading areas of Denmark. In contrast, the R-squared value was almost 0.6 for a positive correlation between power demand and prices. The results mean that expected loss of interest to invest due to falling power prices, as a share of renewable power increases, should be examined more carefully and may not fulfil forecasts of policy makers and industry experts.https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2020-0029electricity marketelectricity pricesrenewable energy sourceswind power
spellingShingle Valdmanis Gunars
Bazbauers Gatis
Influence of wind power production on electricity market price
Environmental and Climate Technologies
electricity market
electricity prices
renewable energy sources
wind power
title Influence of wind power production on electricity market price
title_full Influence of wind power production on electricity market price
title_fullStr Influence of wind power production on electricity market price
title_full_unstemmed Influence of wind power production on electricity market price
title_short Influence of wind power production on electricity market price
title_sort influence of wind power production on electricity market price
topic electricity market
electricity prices
renewable energy sources
wind power
url https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2020-0029
work_keys_str_mv AT valdmanisgunars influenceofwindpowerproductiononelectricitymarketprice
AT bazbauersgatis influenceofwindpowerproductiononelectricitymarketprice