Decoding the hundred-year water level changes of the largest Saline Lake in China: A joint lake-basin modeling study based on a revised SWAT+

Study region: Qinghai Lake Basin (QLB), the largest saline lake in China and its collecting basin Study focus: Climate change has caused clear shrinkage or dramatic water level fluctuation of lakes in arid and semi-arid regions, while the underlain mechanisms remain unclear. The joint lake-basin inv...

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Main Authors: Zichun Zhu, Congsheng Fu, Huawu Wu, Haohao Wu, Yang Cao, Ye Xia
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-10-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581823002082
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author Zichun Zhu
Congsheng Fu
Huawu Wu
Haohao Wu
Yang Cao
Ye Xia
author_facet Zichun Zhu
Congsheng Fu
Huawu Wu
Haohao Wu
Yang Cao
Ye Xia
author_sort Zichun Zhu
collection DOAJ
description Study region: Qinghai Lake Basin (QLB), the largest saline lake in China and its collecting basin Study focus: Climate change has caused clear shrinkage or dramatic water level fluctuation of lakes in arid and semi-arid regions, while the underlain mechanisms remain unclear. The joint lake-basin investigations (spatial) and long-term studies (temporal) are urgently needed. This study developed SWAT+ to jointly simulate the water cycle of QLB and investigated how the hydrological regime of QLB changed at the hundred-year scale. New hydrological insights for the region: The modeling framework consisted of the revised SWAT+ , reanalysis data, and reconstructed water level based on lake gravity core performed quite well (NSE > 0.9 for lake water level) in simulating the hydrological processes of QLB at the hundred-year scale (1910 – 2018). Temporally, decadal variations of hydrological components in QLB decreased in sequence of precipitation (46.33 mm), lateral flow (26.85 mm), evapotranspiration (16.03 mm), snowmelt (10.44 mm), groundwater flow (5.66 mm), and overland flow (1.18 mm). Spatially, precipitation, water yield, lateral flow, and groundwater flow in upstream regions of QLB, where the precipitation amount was small, were most sensitive to climate change. The long-term water level decrease of Qinghai Lake during 1928 – 2003 was mainly driven by variations of river runoff and lake surface evaporation; the clear water level increase since 2004 was dominated by river runoff changes.
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spelling doaj.art-4861ff2994e34393a958683209e8a9752023-09-11T04:17:17ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182023-10-0149101521Decoding the hundred-year water level changes of the largest Saline Lake in China: A joint lake-basin modeling study based on a revised SWAT+Zichun Zhu0Congsheng Fu1Huawu Wu2Haohao Wu3Yang Cao4Ye Xia5Key Laboratory of Watershed Geographic Sciences, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, ChinaKey Laboratory of Watershed Geographic Sciences, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, China; Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters (CIC-FEMD), Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China; Corresponding author at: Key Laboratory of Watershed Geographic Sciences, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, China.Key Laboratory of Watershed Geographic Sciences, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, China; Corresponding author.Key Laboratory of Watershed Geographic Sciences, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, ChinaKey Laboratory of Watershed Geographic Sciences, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, ChinaKey Laboratory of Watershed Geographic Sciences, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing 210008, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, ChinaStudy region: Qinghai Lake Basin (QLB), the largest saline lake in China and its collecting basin Study focus: Climate change has caused clear shrinkage or dramatic water level fluctuation of lakes in arid and semi-arid regions, while the underlain mechanisms remain unclear. The joint lake-basin investigations (spatial) and long-term studies (temporal) are urgently needed. This study developed SWAT+ to jointly simulate the water cycle of QLB and investigated how the hydrological regime of QLB changed at the hundred-year scale. New hydrological insights for the region: The modeling framework consisted of the revised SWAT+ , reanalysis data, and reconstructed water level based on lake gravity core performed quite well (NSE > 0.9 for lake water level) in simulating the hydrological processes of QLB at the hundred-year scale (1910 – 2018). Temporally, decadal variations of hydrological components in QLB decreased in sequence of precipitation (46.33 mm), lateral flow (26.85 mm), evapotranspiration (16.03 mm), snowmelt (10.44 mm), groundwater flow (5.66 mm), and overland flow (1.18 mm). Spatially, precipitation, water yield, lateral flow, and groundwater flow in upstream regions of QLB, where the precipitation amount was small, were most sensitive to climate change. The long-term water level decrease of Qinghai Lake during 1928 – 2003 was mainly driven by variations of river runoff and lake surface evaporation; the clear water level increase since 2004 was dominated by river runoff changes.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581823002082SWAT+Climate changeCentennial water cycleQinghai Lake BasinLake water levelHydrological component
spellingShingle Zichun Zhu
Congsheng Fu
Huawu Wu
Haohao Wu
Yang Cao
Ye Xia
Decoding the hundred-year water level changes of the largest Saline Lake in China: A joint lake-basin modeling study based on a revised SWAT+
Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
SWAT+
Climate change
Centennial water cycle
Qinghai Lake Basin
Lake water level
Hydrological component
title Decoding the hundred-year water level changes of the largest Saline Lake in China: A joint lake-basin modeling study based on a revised SWAT+
title_full Decoding the hundred-year water level changes of the largest Saline Lake in China: A joint lake-basin modeling study based on a revised SWAT+
title_fullStr Decoding the hundred-year water level changes of the largest Saline Lake in China: A joint lake-basin modeling study based on a revised SWAT+
title_full_unstemmed Decoding the hundred-year water level changes of the largest Saline Lake in China: A joint lake-basin modeling study based on a revised SWAT+
title_short Decoding the hundred-year water level changes of the largest Saline Lake in China: A joint lake-basin modeling study based on a revised SWAT+
title_sort decoding the hundred year water level changes of the largest saline lake in china a joint lake basin modeling study based on a revised swat
topic SWAT+
Climate change
Centennial water cycle
Qinghai Lake Basin
Lake water level
Hydrological component
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581823002082
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