A field guide for aging passerine nestlings using growth data and predictive modeling

Abstract Background Accurate nestling age is valuable for studies on nesting strategies, productivity, and impacts on reproductive success. Most aging guides consist of descriptions and photographs that are time consuming to read and subjective to interpret. The Western Bluebird (Sialia mexicana) is...

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Main Authors: Audrey A. Sanchez, Andrew W. Bartlow, Allison M. Chan, Jeanne M. Fair, Aaron A. Skinner, Kelly Hutchins, Maria A. Musgrave, Emily M. Phillips, Brent E. Thompson, Charles D. Hathcock
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2021-06-01
Series:Avian Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40657-021-00258-5
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author Audrey A. Sanchez
Andrew W. Bartlow
Allison M. Chan
Jeanne M. Fair
Aaron A. Skinner
Kelly Hutchins
Maria A. Musgrave
Emily M. Phillips
Brent E. Thompson
Charles D. Hathcock
author_facet Audrey A. Sanchez
Andrew W. Bartlow
Allison M. Chan
Jeanne M. Fair
Aaron A. Skinner
Kelly Hutchins
Maria A. Musgrave
Emily M. Phillips
Brent E. Thompson
Charles D. Hathcock
author_sort Audrey A. Sanchez
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Accurate nestling age is valuable for studies on nesting strategies, productivity, and impacts on reproductive success. Most aging guides consist of descriptions and photographs that are time consuming to read and subjective to interpret. The Western Bluebird (Sialia mexicana) is a secondary cavity-nesting passerine that nests in coniferous and open deciduous forests. Nest box programs for cavity-nesting species have provided suitable nesting locations and opportunities for data collection on nestling growth and development. Methods We developed models for predicting the age of Western Bluebird nestlings from morphometric measurements using model training and validation. These were developed for mass, tarsus, and two different culmen measurements. Results Our models were accurate to within less than a day, and each model worked best for a specific age range. The mass and tarsus models can be used to estimate the ages of Western Bluebird nestlings 0–10 days old and were accurate to within 0.5 days for mass and 0.7 days for tarsus. The culmen models can be used to estimate ages of nestlings 0–15 days old and were also accurate to within less than a day. The daily mean, minimum, and maximum values of each morphometric measurement are provided and can be used in the field for accurate nestling age estimations in real time. Conclusions The model training and validation procedures used here demonstrate that this method can create aging models that are highly accurate. The methods can be applied to any passerine species provided sufficient nestling morphometric data are available.
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spelling doaj.art-4891d2ceb19b47b289c7f1941ee7ec172023-01-03T05:20:38ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.Avian Research2053-71662021-06-011211910.1186/s40657-021-00258-5A field guide for aging passerine nestlings using growth data and predictive modelingAudrey A. Sanchez0Andrew W. Bartlow1Allison M. Chan2Jeanne M. Fair3Aaron A. Skinner4Kelly Hutchins5Maria A. Musgrave6Emily M. Phillips7Brent E. Thompson8Charles D. Hathcock9Environmental Stewardship, Los Alamos National LaboratoryBiosecurity and Public Health, Los Alamos National LaboratoryWater Program, N3BBiosecurity and Public Health, Los Alamos National LaboratoryEnvironmental Stewardship, Los Alamos National LaboratoryEnvironmental Stewardship, Los Alamos National LaboratoryEnvironmental Stewardship, Los Alamos National LaboratoryEnvironmental Stewardship, Los Alamos National LaboratoryEnvironmental Stewardship, Los Alamos National LaboratoryEnvironmental Stewardship, Los Alamos National LaboratoryAbstract Background Accurate nestling age is valuable for studies on nesting strategies, productivity, and impacts on reproductive success. Most aging guides consist of descriptions and photographs that are time consuming to read and subjective to interpret. The Western Bluebird (Sialia mexicana) is a secondary cavity-nesting passerine that nests in coniferous and open deciduous forests. Nest box programs for cavity-nesting species have provided suitable nesting locations and opportunities for data collection on nestling growth and development. Methods We developed models for predicting the age of Western Bluebird nestlings from morphometric measurements using model training and validation. These were developed for mass, tarsus, and two different culmen measurements. Results Our models were accurate to within less than a day, and each model worked best for a specific age range. The mass and tarsus models can be used to estimate the ages of Western Bluebird nestlings 0–10 days old and were accurate to within 0.5 days for mass and 0.7 days for tarsus. The culmen models can be used to estimate ages of nestlings 0–15 days old and were also accurate to within less than a day. The daily mean, minimum, and maximum values of each morphometric measurement are provided and can be used in the field for accurate nestling age estimations in real time. Conclusions The model training and validation procedures used here demonstrate that this method can create aging models that are highly accurate. The methods can be applied to any passerine species provided sufficient nestling morphometric data are available.https://doi.org/10.1186/s40657-021-00258-5Cavity-nestingNest boxesNestling developmentPredictive modelsWestern Bluebird
spellingShingle Audrey A. Sanchez
Andrew W. Bartlow
Allison M. Chan
Jeanne M. Fair
Aaron A. Skinner
Kelly Hutchins
Maria A. Musgrave
Emily M. Phillips
Brent E. Thompson
Charles D. Hathcock
A field guide for aging passerine nestlings using growth data and predictive modeling
Avian Research
Cavity-nesting
Nest boxes
Nestling development
Predictive models
Western Bluebird
title A field guide for aging passerine nestlings using growth data and predictive modeling
title_full A field guide for aging passerine nestlings using growth data and predictive modeling
title_fullStr A field guide for aging passerine nestlings using growth data and predictive modeling
title_full_unstemmed A field guide for aging passerine nestlings using growth data and predictive modeling
title_short A field guide for aging passerine nestlings using growth data and predictive modeling
title_sort field guide for aging passerine nestlings using growth data and predictive modeling
topic Cavity-nesting
Nest boxes
Nestling development
Predictive models
Western Bluebird
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40657-021-00258-5
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