On the Estimation of the Initial Stock in the Problem of Resource Extraction

We consider a differential game of non-renewable resource extraction, in which the players do not know the precise value of the resource stock and, thus, have to make an estimate. We define the value of information about the initial stock and give recommendations for the choice of the estimate depen...

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Main Authors: Anna Tur, Ekaterina Gromova, Dmitry Gromov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-12-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/9/23/3099
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author Anna Tur
Ekaterina Gromova
Dmitry Gromov
author_facet Anna Tur
Ekaterina Gromova
Dmitry Gromov
author_sort Anna Tur
collection DOAJ
description We consider a differential game of non-renewable resource extraction, in which the players do not know the precise value of the resource stock and, thus, have to make an estimate. We define the value of information about the initial stock and give recommendations for the choice of the estimate depending on the parameters of the problem. Further, we consider the situation where the players only know the bounds for the stock of the resource and solve the problem of computing the optimal estimate, such that it minimizes the players’ losses in the worst-case scenario. The analysis allows us to give a simple rule for the choice of the optimal estimate of the resource stock.
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spelling doaj.art-489facdc8bf94a5297509758f4b214aa2023-11-23T02:46:02ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902021-12-01923309910.3390/math9233099On the Estimation of the Initial Stock in the Problem of Resource ExtractionAnna Tur0Ekaterina Gromova1Dmitry Gromov2Faculty of Applied Mathematics and Control Processes, St Petersburg State University, University Emb. 7/9, 199034 St. Petersburg, RussiaFaculty of Applied Mathematics and Control Processes, St Petersburg State University, University Emb. 7/9, 199034 St. Petersburg, RussiaFaculty of Applied Mathematics and Control Processes, St Petersburg State University, University Emb. 7/9, 199034 St. Petersburg, RussiaWe consider a differential game of non-renewable resource extraction, in which the players do not know the precise value of the resource stock and, thus, have to make an estimate. We define the value of information about the initial stock and give recommendations for the choice of the estimate depending on the parameters of the problem. Further, we consider the situation where the players only know the bounds for the stock of the resource and solve the problem of computing the optimal estimate, such that it minimizes the players’ losses in the worst-case scenario. The analysis allows us to give a simple rule for the choice of the optimal estimate of the resource stock.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/9/23/3099differential gamecooperative solutionimperfect informationvalue of informationnon-renewable resource extraction
spellingShingle Anna Tur
Ekaterina Gromova
Dmitry Gromov
On the Estimation of the Initial Stock in the Problem of Resource Extraction
Mathematics
differential game
cooperative solution
imperfect information
value of information
non-renewable resource extraction
title On the Estimation of the Initial Stock in the Problem of Resource Extraction
title_full On the Estimation of the Initial Stock in the Problem of Resource Extraction
title_fullStr On the Estimation of the Initial Stock in the Problem of Resource Extraction
title_full_unstemmed On the Estimation of the Initial Stock in the Problem of Resource Extraction
title_short On the Estimation of the Initial Stock in the Problem of Resource Extraction
title_sort on the estimation of the initial stock in the problem of resource extraction
topic differential game
cooperative solution
imperfect information
value of information
non-renewable resource extraction
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/9/23/3099
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