High-Risk Regions of African Swine Fever Infection in Mozambique

African swine fever (ASF) is a transboundary infectious disease that can infect wild and domestic swine and requires enhanced surveillance between countries. In Mozambique, ASF has been reported across the country, spreading between provinces, mainly through the movement of pigs and their by-product...

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Main Authors: Azido Ribeiro Mataca, Francisco Alyson Silva Oliveira, Ângelo André Lampeão, José Pereira Mendonça, Maria Aparecida Scatamburlo Moreira, Rinaldo Aparecido Mota, Wagnner José Nascimento Porto, David Germano Gonçalves Schwarz, Abelardo Silva-Júnior
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-04-01
Series:Viruses
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/15/4/1010
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author Azido Ribeiro Mataca
Francisco Alyson Silva Oliveira
Ângelo André Lampeão
José Pereira Mendonça
Maria Aparecida Scatamburlo Moreira
Rinaldo Aparecido Mota
Wagnner José Nascimento Porto
David Germano Gonçalves Schwarz
Abelardo Silva-Júnior
author_facet Azido Ribeiro Mataca
Francisco Alyson Silva Oliveira
Ângelo André Lampeão
José Pereira Mendonça
Maria Aparecida Scatamburlo Moreira
Rinaldo Aparecido Mota
Wagnner José Nascimento Porto
David Germano Gonçalves Schwarz
Abelardo Silva-Júnior
author_sort Azido Ribeiro Mataca
collection DOAJ
description African swine fever (ASF) is a transboundary infectious disease that can infect wild and domestic swine and requires enhanced surveillance between countries. In Mozambique, ASF has been reported across the country, spreading between provinces, mainly through the movement of pigs and their by-products. Subsequently, pigs from bordering countries were at risk of exposure. This study evaluated the spatiotemporal distribution and temporal trends of ASF in swine in Mozambique between 2000 and 2020. During this period, 28,624 cases of ASF were reported across three regions of the country. In total, the northern, central, and southern regions presented 64.9, 17.8, and 17.3% of the total cases, respectively. When analyzing the incidence risk (IR) of ASF per 100,000 pigs, the Cabo Delgado province had the highest IR (17,301.1), followed by the Maputo province (8868.6). In the space-time analysis, three clusters were formed in each region: (i) Cluster A involved the provinces of Cabo Delgado and Nampula (north), (ii) Cluster B involved the province of Maputo and the city of Maputo (south), and (iii) Cluster C consisted of the provinces of Manica and Sofala (central) in 2006. However, when analyzing the temporal trend in the provinces, most were found to be decreasing, except for Sofala, Inhambane, and Maputo, which had a stationary trend. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to evaluate the spatial distribution of ASF in Mozambique. These findings will contribute to increasing official ASF control programs by identifying high-risk areas and raising awareness of the importance of controlling the borders between provinces and countries to prevent their spread to other regions of the world.
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spelling doaj.art-49096a195c56469088f69c0883ef42f72023-11-17T21:46:55ZengMDPI AGViruses1999-49152023-04-01154101010.3390/v15041010High-Risk Regions of African Swine Fever Infection in MozambiqueAzido Ribeiro Mataca0Francisco Alyson Silva Oliveira1Ângelo André Lampeão2José Pereira Mendonça3Maria Aparecida Scatamburlo Moreira4Rinaldo Aparecido Mota5Wagnner José Nascimento Porto6David Germano Gonçalves Schwarz7Abelardo Silva-Júnior8Departamento de Veterinária, Universidade Federal de Viçosa, Viçosa 36570-900, BrazilHospital Veterinário Universitário, Universidade Federal do Piauí, Bom Jesus 64900-000, BrazilEscola Superior de Desenvolvimento Rural, Universidade Eduardo Mondlane, Maputo 257, MozambiqueInstituto de Investigação Agrária de Moçambique (IIAM), Maputo 2698, MozambiqueDepartamento de Veterinária, Universidade Federal de Viçosa, Viçosa 36570-900, BrazilDepartamento de Medicina Veterinária, Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco (UFRPE), Recife 52171-900, BrazilCentro de Ciências Agroveterinárias, Universidade do Estado de Santa Catarina (UDESC), Lages 88.520-000, BrazilCentro de Ciências Agroveterinárias, Universidade do Estado de Santa Catarina (UDESC), Lages 88.520-000, BrazilInstituto de Ciências Biológicas e da Saúde, Universidade Federal de Alagoas, Maceió 57072-900, BrazilAfrican swine fever (ASF) is a transboundary infectious disease that can infect wild and domestic swine and requires enhanced surveillance between countries. In Mozambique, ASF has been reported across the country, spreading between provinces, mainly through the movement of pigs and their by-products. Subsequently, pigs from bordering countries were at risk of exposure. This study evaluated the spatiotemporal distribution and temporal trends of ASF in swine in Mozambique between 2000 and 2020. During this period, 28,624 cases of ASF were reported across three regions of the country. In total, the northern, central, and southern regions presented 64.9, 17.8, and 17.3% of the total cases, respectively. When analyzing the incidence risk (IR) of ASF per 100,000 pigs, the Cabo Delgado province had the highest IR (17,301.1), followed by the Maputo province (8868.6). In the space-time analysis, three clusters were formed in each region: (i) Cluster A involved the provinces of Cabo Delgado and Nampula (north), (ii) Cluster B involved the province of Maputo and the city of Maputo (south), and (iii) Cluster C consisted of the provinces of Manica and Sofala (central) in 2006. However, when analyzing the temporal trend in the provinces, most were found to be decreasing, except for Sofala, Inhambane, and Maputo, which had a stationary trend. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to evaluate the spatial distribution of ASF in Mozambique. These findings will contribute to increasing official ASF control programs by identifying high-risk areas and raising awareness of the importance of controlling the borders between provinces and countries to prevent their spread to other regions of the world.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/15/4/1010geographic surveillanceanimal health defensetrendscluster
spellingShingle Azido Ribeiro Mataca
Francisco Alyson Silva Oliveira
Ângelo André Lampeão
José Pereira Mendonça
Maria Aparecida Scatamburlo Moreira
Rinaldo Aparecido Mota
Wagnner José Nascimento Porto
David Germano Gonçalves Schwarz
Abelardo Silva-Júnior
High-Risk Regions of African Swine Fever Infection in Mozambique
Viruses
geographic surveillance
animal health defense
trends
cluster
title High-Risk Regions of African Swine Fever Infection in Mozambique
title_full High-Risk Regions of African Swine Fever Infection in Mozambique
title_fullStr High-Risk Regions of African Swine Fever Infection in Mozambique
title_full_unstemmed High-Risk Regions of African Swine Fever Infection in Mozambique
title_short High-Risk Regions of African Swine Fever Infection in Mozambique
title_sort high risk regions of african swine fever infection in mozambique
topic geographic surveillance
animal health defense
trends
cluster
url https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/15/4/1010
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