Early prediction of long-term survival of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma by multi-parameter MRI radiomics

Purpose: The objective is to create a comprehensive model that integrates clinical, semantic, and radiomics features to forecast the 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) of individuals diagnosed with non-distant metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma (NPC). Methods: In a retrospective analysis, we in...

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Main Authors: Yuzhen Xi, Hao Dong, Mengze Wang, Shiyu Chen, Jing Han, Miao Liu, Feng Jiang, Zhongxiang Ding
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2024-06-01
Series:European Journal of Radiology Open
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352047723000692
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author Yuzhen Xi
Hao Dong
Mengze Wang
Shiyu Chen
Jing Han
Miao Liu
Feng Jiang
Zhongxiang Ding
author_facet Yuzhen Xi
Hao Dong
Mengze Wang
Shiyu Chen
Jing Han
Miao Liu
Feng Jiang
Zhongxiang Ding
author_sort Yuzhen Xi
collection DOAJ
description Purpose: The objective is to create a comprehensive model that integrates clinical, semantic, and radiomics features to forecast the 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) of individuals diagnosed with non-distant metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma (NPC). Methods: In a retrospective analysis, we included clinical and MRI data from 313 patients diagnosed with primary NPC. Patient classification into progressive and non-progressive categories relied on the occurrence of recurrence or distant metastasis within a 5-year timeframe. Initial screening comprised clinical features and statistically significant image semantic features. Subsequently, MRI radiomics features were extracted from all patients, and optimal features were selected to formulate the Rad-Score.Combining Rad-Score, image semantic features, and clinical features to establish a combined model Evaluation of predictive efficacy was conducted using ROC curves and nomogram specific to NPC progression. Lastly, employing the optimal ROC cutoff value from the combined model, patients were dichotomized into high-risk and low-risk groups, facilitating a comparison of 10-year overall survival (OS) between the groups. Results: The combined model showcased superior predictive performance for NPC progression, reflected by AUC values of 0.84, an accuracy rate of 81.60%, sensitivity at 0.77, and specificity at 0.81 within the training group. In the test set, the AUC value reached 0.81, with an accuracy of 74.6%, sensitivity at 0.82, and specificity at 0.66. Conclusion: The amalgamation of Rad-Score, clinical, and imaging semantic features from multi-parameter MRI exhibited significant promise in prognosticating 5-year PFS for non-distant metastatic NPC patients. The combined model provided quantifiable data for informed and personalized diagnosis and treatment planning.
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spelling doaj.art-493b5156709c4b89bb2552314ed5893a2024-01-04T04:39:36ZengElsevierEuropean Journal of Radiology Open2352-04772024-06-0112100543Early prediction of long-term survival of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma by multi-parameter MRI radiomicsYuzhen Xi0Hao Dong1Mengze Wang2Shiyu Chen3Jing Han4Miao Liu5Feng Jiang6Zhongxiang Ding7Department of Radiology, 903th RD Hospital of PLA, Hangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, The First People's Hospital of Xiaoshan District, Xiaoshan Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, 903th RD Hospital of PLA, Hangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, Zhejiang KangJing Hospital, Hangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Radiology, 903th RD Hospital of PLA, Hangzhou, China; Corresponding authors.Department of Radiology, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou, China; Corresponding authors.Department of Radiology, Key Laboratory of Clinical Cancer Pharmacology and Toxicology Research of Zhejiang Province, Affiliated Hangzhou First People's Hospital, Cancer Center, Hangzhou, China; Correspondence to: Affiliated Hangzhou First People’s Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, No.261, Huansha Road, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.Purpose: The objective is to create a comprehensive model that integrates clinical, semantic, and radiomics features to forecast the 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) of individuals diagnosed with non-distant metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma (NPC). Methods: In a retrospective analysis, we included clinical and MRI data from 313 patients diagnosed with primary NPC. Patient classification into progressive and non-progressive categories relied on the occurrence of recurrence or distant metastasis within a 5-year timeframe. Initial screening comprised clinical features and statistically significant image semantic features. Subsequently, MRI radiomics features were extracted from all patients, and optimal features were selected to formulate the Rad-Score.Combining Rad-Score, image semantic features, and clinical features to establish a combined model Evaluation of predictive efficacy was conducted using ROC curves and nomogram specific to NPC progression. Lastly, employing the optimal ROC cutoff value from the combined model, patients were dichotomized into high-risk and low-risk groups, facilitating a comparison of 10-year overall survival (OS) between the groups. Results: The combined model showcased superior predictive performance for NPC progression, reflected by AUC values of 0.84, an accuracy rate of 81.60%, sensitivity at 0.77, and specificity at 0.81 within the training group. In the test set, the AUC value reached 0.81, with an accuracy of 74.6%, sensitivity at 0.82, and specificity at 0.66. Conclusion: The amalgamation of Rad-Score, clinical, and imaging semantic features from multi-parameter MRI exhibited significant promise in prognosticating 5-year PFS for non-distant metastatic NPC patients. The combined model provided quantifiable data for informed and personalized diagnosis and treatment planning.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352047723000692Nasopharyngeal carcinomaMRIMachine learningNomogramLong-term
spellingShingle Yuzhen Xi
Hao Dong
Mengze Wang
Shiyu Chen
Jing Han
Miao Liu
Feng Jiang
Zhongxiang Ding
Early prediction of long-term survival of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma by multi-parameter MRI radiomics
European Journal of Radiology Open
Nasopharyngeal carcinoma
MRI
Machine learning
Nomogram
Long-term
title Early prediction of long-term survival of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma by multi-parameter MRI radiomics
title_full Early prediction of long-term survival of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma by multi-parameter MRI radiomics
title_fullStr Early prediction of long-term survival of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma by multi-parameter MRI radiomics
title_full_unstemmed Early prediction of long-term survival of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma by multi-parameter MRI radiomics
title_short Early prediction of long-term survival of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma by multi-parameter MRI radiomics
title_sort early prediction of long term survival of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma by multi parameter mri radiomics
topic Nasopharyngeal carcinoma
MRI
Machine learning
Nomogram
Long-term
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352047723000692
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