A new scoring system to stratify risk in unstable angina

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>We performed this study to develop a new scoring system to stratify different levels of risk in patients admitted to hospital with a diagnosis of unstable angina (UA), which is a complex syndrome that encompasses different outcomes....

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Main Authors: Salzberg Simón, Fuselli Juan, Guetta Javier, Gagliardi Juan A, Piombo Alfredo C, Fairman Enrique, Bertolasi Carlos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2003-08-01
Series:BMC Cardiovascular Disorders
Online Access:http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2261/3/8
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author Salzberg Simón
Fuselli Juan
Guetta Javier
Gagliardi Juan A
Piombo Alfredo C
Fairman Enrique
Bertolasi Carlos
author_facet Salzberg Simón
Fuselli Juan
Guetta Javier
Gagliardi Juan A
Piombo Alfredo C
Fairman Enrique
Bertolasi Carlos
author_sort Salzberg Simón
collection DOAJ
description <p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>We performed this study to develop a new scoring system to stratify different levels of risk in patients admitted to hospital with a diagnosis of unstable angina (UA), which is a complex syndrome that encompasses different outcomes. Many prognostic variables have been described but few efforts have been made to group them in order to enhance their individual predictive power.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>In a first phase, 473 patients were prospectively analyzed to determine which factors were significantly associated with the in-hospital occurrence of refractory ischemia, acute myocardial infarction (AMI) or death. A risk score ranging from 0 to 10 points was developed using a multivariate analysis. In a second phase, such score was validated in a new sample of 242 patients and it was finally applied to the entire population (n = 715).</p> <p>Results</p> <p>ST-segment deviation on the electrocardiogram, age ≥ 70 years, previous bypass surgery and troponin T ≥ 0.1 ng/mL were found as independent prognostic variables. A clear distinction was shown among categories of low, intermediate and high risk, defined according to the risk score. The incidence of the triple end-point was 6 %, 19.2 % and 44.7 % respectively, and the figures for AMI or death were 2 %, 11.4 % and 27.6 % respectively (p < 0.001).</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>This new scoring system is simple and easy to achieve. It allows a very good stratification of risk in patients having a clinical diagnosis of UA. They may be divided in three categories, which could be of help in the decision-making process.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-493bdee2dab94c21b11bee92376421ce2022-12-22T03:07:12ZengBMCBMC Cardiovascular Disorders1471-22612003-08-0131810.1186/1471-2261-3-8A new scoring system to stratify risk in unstable anginaSalzberg SimónFuselli JuanGuetta JavierGagliardi Juan APiombo Alfredo CFairman EnriqueBertolasi Carlos<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>We performed this study to develop a new scoring system to stratify different levels of risk in patients admitted to hospital with a diagnosis of unstable angina (UA), which is a complex syndrome that encompasses different outcomes. Many prognostic variables have been described but few efforts have been made to group them in order to enhance their individual predictive power.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>In a first phase, 473 patients were prospectively analyzed to determine which factors were significantly associated with the in-hospital occurrence of refractory ischemia, acute myocardial infarction (AMI) or death. A risk score ranging from 0 to 10 points was developed using a multivariate analysis. In a second phase, such score was validated in a new sample of 242 patients and it was finally applied to the entire population (n = 715).</p> <p>Results</p> <p>ST-segment deviation on the electrocardiogram, age ≥ 70 years, previous bypass surgery and troponin T ≥ 0.1 ng/mL were found as independent prognostic variables. A clear distinction was shown among categories of low, intermediate and high risk, defined according to the risk score. The incidence of the triple end-point was 6 %, 19.2 % and 44.7 % respectively, and the figures for AMI or death were 2 %, 11.4 % and 27.6 % respectively (p < 0.001).</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>This new scoring system is simple and easy to achieve. It allows a very good stratification of risk in patients having a clinical diagnosis of UA. They may be divided in three categories, which could be of help in the decision-making process.</p>http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2261/3/8
spellingShingle Salzberg Simón
Fuselli Juan
Guetta Javier
Gagliardi Juan A
Piombo Alfredo C
Fairman Enrique
Bertolasi Carlos
A new scoring system to stratify risk in unstable angina
BMC Cardiovascular Disorders
title A new scoring system to stratify risk in unstable angina
title_full A new scoring system to stratify risk in unstable angina
title_fullStr A new scoring system to stratify risk in unstable angina
title_full_unstemmed A new scoring system to stratify risk in unstable angina
title_short A new scoring system to stratify risk in unstable angina
title_sort new scoring system to stratify risk in unstable angina
url http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2261/3/8
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