Artificial intelligence for political decision-making in the European Union: Effects on citizens’ perceptions of input, throughput, and output legitimacy

A lack of political legitimacy undermines the ability of the European Union (EU) to resolve major crises and threatens the stability of the system as a whole. By integrating digital data into political processes, the EU seeks to base decision-making increasingly on sound empirical evidence. In parti...

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Main Authors: Christopher Starke, Marco Lünich
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2020-01-01
Series:Data & Policy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S263232492000019X/type/journal_article
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author Christopher Starke
Marco Lünich
author_facet Christopher Starke
Marco Lünich
author_sort Christopher Starke
collection DOAJ
description A lack of political legitimacy undermines the ability of the European Union (EU) to resolve major crises and threatens the stability of the system as a whole. By integrating digital data into political processes, the EU seeks to base decision-making increasingly on sound empirical evidence. In particular, artificial intelligence (AI) systems have the potential to increase political legitimacy by identifying pressing societal issues, forecasting potential policy outcomes, and evaluating policy effectiveness. This paper investigates how citizens’ perceptions of EU input, throughput, and output legitimacy are influenced by three distinct decision-making arrangements: (a) independent human decision-making by EU politicians; (b) independent algorithmic decision-making (ADM) by AI-based systems; and (c) hybrid decision-making (HyDM) by EU politicians and AI-based systems together. The results of a preregistered online experiment (n = 572) suggest that existing EU decision-making arrangements are still perceived as the most participatory and accessible for citizens (input legitimacy). However, regarding the decision-making process itself (throughput legitimacy) and its policy outcomes (output legitimacy), no difference was observed between the status quo and HyDM. Respondents tend to perceive ADM systems as the sole decision-maker to be illegitimate. The paper discusses the implications of these findings for (a) EU legitimacy and (b) data-driven policy-making and outlines (c) avenues for future research.
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spelling doaj.art-49586151a9664aba976cccc50c50f6a92023-03-09T12:31:28ZengCambridge University PressData & Policy2632-32492020-01-01210.1017/dap.2020.19Artificial intelligence for political decision-making in the European Union: Effects on citizens’ perceptions of input, throughput, and output legitimacyChristopher Starke0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7899-6029Marco Lünich1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0553-7291Department of Social Sciences, University of Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf, GermanyDepartment of Social Sciences, University of Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf, GermanyA lack of political legitimacy undermines the ability of the European Union (EU) to resolve major crises and threatens the stability of the system as a whole. By integrating digital data into political processes, the EU seeks to base decision-making increasingly on sound empirical evidence. In particular, artificial intelligence (AI) systems have the potential to increase political legitimacy by identifying pressing societal issues, forecasting potential policy outcomes, and evaluating policy effectiveness. This paper investigates how citizens’ perceptions of EU input, throughput, and output legitimacy are influenced by three distinct decision-making arrangements: (a) independent human decision-making by EU politicians; (b) independent algorithmic decision-making (ADM) by AI-based systems; and (c) hybrid decision-making (HyDM) by EU politicians and AI-based systems together. The results of a preregistered online experiment (n = 572) suggest that existing EU decision-making arrangements are still perceived as the most participatory and accessible for citizens (input legitimacy). However, regarding the decision-making process itself (throughput legitimacy) and its policy outcomes (output legitimacy), no difference was observed between the status quo and HyDM. Respondents tend to perceive ADM systems as the sole decision-maker to be illegitimate. The paper discusses the implications of these findings for (a) EU legitimacy and (b) data-driven policy-making and outlines (c) avenues for future research.https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S263232492000019X/type/journal_articlealgorithmic decision-makingartificial intelligencedata-driven policy-makingpolitical legitimacystructured means modeling
spellingShingle Christopher Starke
Marco Lünich
Artificial intelligence for political decision-making in the European Union: Effects on citizens’ perceptions of input, throughput, and output legitimacy
Data & Policy
algorithmic decision-making
artificial intelligence
data-driven policy-making
political legitimacy
structured means modeling
title Artificial intelligence for political decision-making in the European Union: Effects on citizens’ perceptions of input, throughput, and output legitimacy
title_full Artificial intelligence for political decision-making in the European Union: Effects on citizens’ perceptions of input, throughput, and output legitimacy
title_fullStr Artificial intelligence for political decision-making in the European Union: Effects on citizens’ perceptions of input, throughput, and output legitimacy
title_full_unstemmed Artificial intelligence for political decision-making in the European Union: Effects on citizens’ perceptions of input, throughput, and output legitimacy
title_short Artificial intelligence for political decision-making in the European Union: Effects on citizens’ perceptions of input, throughput, and output legitimacy
title_sort artificial intelligence for political decision making in the european union effects on citizens perceptions of input throughput and output legitimacy
topic algorithmic decision-making
artificial intelligence
data-driven policy-making
political legitimacy
structured means modeling
url https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S263232492000019X/type/journal_article
work_keys_str_mv AT christopherstarke artificialintelligenceforpoliticaldecisionmakingintheeuropeanunioneffectsoncitizensperceptionsofinputthroughputandoutputlegitimacy
AT marcolunich artificialintelligenceforpoliticaldecisionmakingintheeuropeanunioneffectsoncitizensperceptionsofinputthroughputandoutputlegitimacy