Reconciling food security and biodiversity conservation: participatory scenario planning in southwestern Ethiopia

Social-ecological systems are complex and involve uncertainties emerging from interactions between biophysical and social system components. In the face of growing complexity and uncertainty, stakeholder engagement with the future is important to proactively manoeuvre toward desirable outcomes. Focu...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Tolera S. Jiren, Jan Hanspach, Jannik Schultner, Joern Fischer, Arvid Bergsten, Feyera Senbeta, Kristoffer Hylander, Ine Dorresteijn
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Resilience Alliance 2020-09-01
Series:Ecology and Society
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol25/iss3/art24/
_version_ 1818431917994803200
author Tolera S. Jiren
Jan Hanspach
Jannik Schultner
Joern Fischer
Arvid Bergsten
Feyera Senbeta
Kristoffer Hylander
Ine Dorresteijn
author_facet Tolera S. Jiren
Jan Hanspach
Jannik Schultner
Joern Fischer
Arvid Bergsten
Feyera Senbeta
Kristoffer Hylander
Ine Dorresteijn
author_sort Tolera S. Jiren
collection DOAJ
description Social-ecological systems are complex and involve uncertainties emerging from interactions between biophysical and social system components. In the face of growing complexity and uncertainty, stakeholder engagement with the future is important to proactively manoeuvre toward desirable outcomes. Focusing on the interrelated challenges of food security and biodiversity conservation, we conducted a participatory scenario planning exercise in a rural landscape in southwestern Ethiopia. We involved 35 stakeholder organizations in multiple workshops to construct causal loop diagrams, elicit critical uncertainties, and draft scenario narratives. Jointly, we developed four plausible future scenarios for the studied landscape: (1) gain over grain: local cash crops; (2) mining green gold: coffee investors; (3) coffee and conservation: a biosphere reserve; and (4) food first: intensive farming and forest protection. These scenarios differ with respect to their main social-economic dynamics as well as their food security and biodiversity outcomes. Importantly, three of the four scenarios, i.e., all except "coffee and conservation: a biosphere reserve," focused on increasing efficiency in agricultural production through intensification, specialization, and market integration. In contrast, "coffee and conservation: a biosphere reserve" was driven by agroecological production methods that support diversified livelihoods, a multifunctional landscape, maintenance of natural capital, a governance system that supports local people, and social-ecological resilience. Similar agroecological trajectories have been advocated as desirable for sustainable development in numerous other smallholder farming systems worldwide. Given fewer trade-offs and better equity outcomes, it appears that an agroecological development pathway stands a good chance of generating synergies between food security and biodiversity conservation. Pathways prioritizing agricultural efficiency, in contrast, are more likely to degrade natural capital and cause social inequity.
first_indexed 2024-12-14T15:56:56Z
format Article
id doaj.art-49a5802954ab47879a7e495ba0dfe237
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1708-3087
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-14T15:56:56Z
publishDate 2020-09-01
publisher Resilience Alliance
record_format Article
series Ecology and Society
spelling doaj.art-49a5802954ab47879a7e495ba0dfe2372022-12-21T22:55:14ZengResilience AllianceEcology and Society1708-30872020-09-012532410.5751/ES-11681-25032411681Reconciling food security and biodiversity conservation: participatory scenario planning in southwestern EthiopiaTolera S. Jiren0Jan Hanspach1Jannik Schultner2Joern Fischer3Arvid Bergsten4Feyera Senbeta5Kristoffer Hylander6Ine Dorresteijn7Faculty of Sustainability, Leuphana University Lueneburg, Lueneburg, GermanyFaculty of Sustainability, Leuphana University Lueneburg, Lueneburg, GermanyFaculty of Sustainability, Leuphana University Lueneburg, Lueneburg, GermanyFaculty of Sustainability, Leuphana University Lueneburg, Lueneburg, GermanyFaculty of Sustainability, Leuphana University Lueneburg, Lueneburg, GermanyCenter for Environment and Development Studies, College of Development Studies, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, EthiopiaDepartment of Ecology, Environment and Plant Sciences, Stockholm University, Stockholm, SwedenCopernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The NetherlandsSocial-ecological systems are complex and involve uncertainties emerging from interactions between biophysical and social system components. In the face of growing complexity and uncertainty, stakeholder engagement with the future is important to proactively manoeuvre toward desirable outcomes. Focusing on the interrelated challenges of food security and biodiversity conservation, we conducted a participatory scenario planning exercise in a rural landscape in southwestern Ethiopia. We involved 35 stakeholder organizations in multiple workshops to construct causal loop diagrams, elicit critical uncertainties, and draft scenario narratives. Jointly, we developed four plausible future scenarios for the studied landscape: (1) gain over grain: local cash crops; (2) mining green gold: coffee investors; (3) coffee and conservation: a biosphere reserve; and (4) food first: intensive farming and forest protection. These scenarios differ with respect to their main social-economic dynamics as well as their food security and biodiversity outcomes. Importantly, three of the four scenarios, i.e., all except "coffee and conservation: a biosphere reserve," focused on increasing efficiency in agricultural production through intensification, specialization, and market integration. In contrast, "coffee and conservation: a biosphere reserve" was driven by agroecological production methods that support diversified livelihoods, a multifunctional landscape, maintenance of natural capital, a governance system that supports local people, and social-ecological resilience. Similar agroecological trajectories have been advocated as desirable for sustainable development in numerous other smallholder farming systems worldwide. Given fewer trade-offs and better equity outcomes, it appears that an agroecological development pathway stands a good chance of generating synergies between food security and biodiversity conservation. Pathways prioritizing agricultural efficiency, in contrast, are more likely to degrade natural capital and cause social inequity.https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol25/iss3/art24/agroecologydrivers of changefuture scenariosintensificationrural landscapessocial-ecological systemstakeholder participation
spellingShingle Tolera S. Jiren
Jan Hanspach
Jannik Schultner
Joern Fischer
Arvid Bergsten
Feyera Senbeta
Kristoffer Hylander
Ine Dorresteijn
Reconciling food security and biodiversity conservation: participatory scenario planning in southwestern Ethiopia
Ecology and Society
agroecology
drivers of change
future scenarios
intensification
rural landscapes
social-ecological system
stakeholder participation
title Reconciling food security and biodiversity conservation: participatory scenario planning in southwestern Ethiopia
title_full Reconciling food security and biodiversity conservation: participatory scenario planning in southwestern Ethiopia
title_fullStr Reconciling food security and biodiversity conservation: participatory scenario planning in southwestern Ethiopia
title_full_unstemmed Reconciling food security and biodiversity conservation: participatory scenario planning in southwestern Ethiopia
title_short Reconciling food security and biodiversity conservation: participatory scenario planning in southwestern Ethiopia
title_sort reconciling food security and biodiversity conservation participatory scenario planning in southwestern ethiopia
topic agroecology
drivers of change
future scenarios
intensification
rural landscapes
social-ecological system
stakeholder participation
url https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol25/iss3/art24/
work_keys_str_mv AT tolerasjiren reconcilingfoodsecurityandbiodiversityconservationparticipatoryscenarioplanninginsouthwesternethiopia
AT janhanspach reconcilingfoodsecurityandbiodiversityconservationparticipatoryscenarioplanninginsouthwesternethiopia
AT jannikschultner reconcilingfoodsecurityandbiodiversityconservationparticipatoryscenarioplanninginsouthwesternethiopia
AT joernfischer reconcilingfoodsecurityandbiodiversityconservationparticipatoryscenarioplanninginsouthwesternethiopia
AT arvidbergsten reconcilingfoodsecurityandbiodiversityconservationparticipatoryscenarioplanninginsouthwesternethiopia
AT feyerasenbeta reconcilingfoodsecurityandbiodiversityconservationparticipatoryscenarioplanninginsouthwesternethiopia
AT kristofferhylander reconcilingfoodsecurityandbiodiversityconservationparticipatoryscenarioplanninginsouthwesternethiopia
AT inedorresteijn reconcilingfoodsecurityandbiodiversityconservationparticipatoryscenarioplanninginsouthwesternethiopia