TRUMP’S ELECTED SHOCK EFFECT IN INDONESIAN STOCK MARKET

It is inevitable that the presidential election in the United States can caused stock market fluctuations both in the United States alone as well as in other countries, for example Indonesia. Using regression method and chow test this study aimed at the effects before and after the election of Donal...

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Main Author: Vietha Devia Sagita
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Brawijaya 2017-05-01
Series:Journal of Indonesian Applied Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://jiae.ub.ac.id/index.php/jiae/article/view/199
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author Vietha Devia Sagita
author_facet Vietha Devia Sagita
author_sort Vietha Devia Sagita
collection DOAJ
description It is inevitable that the presidential election in the United States can caused stock market fluctuations both in the United States alone as well as in other countries, for example Indonesia. Using regression method and chow test this study aimed at the effects before and after the election of Donald Trump as president of the United States on November 8, 2016. Using the data series shares the value of DJIA and ICI, this study analyzes the emergence of shock due to the change of president in United Staten share prices at the stock market in Indonesia. Based on the chow test result, the election of Donald Trump can provide a shock effect on ICI as well as DJIA, because the value of 6.917956 F count is larger than the value of 3,93 F table. DJIA positive influence on the value of ICI shares due to the election of Donald Trump is significantly below 5% at 1855.782. Meanwhile, before the election of Donald Trump DJIA has a negative influence on the ICI for - 1407.59. Based on that we can conclude that the election of Donald Trump bring a good impact on the growth of the Indonesian stock market.
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spelling doaj.art-49b7ae7a5d114a9895a62e5a1951c3d02023-09-03T10:14:18ZengUniversity of BrawijayaJournal of Indonesian Applied Economics1907-79472541-53952017-05-0171718310.21776/ub.jiae.2017.007.01.5174TRUMP’S ELECTED SHOCK EFFECT IN INDONESIAN STOCK MARKETVietha Devia Sagita0brawijaya universityIt is inevitable that the presidential election in the United States can caused stock market fluctuations both in the United States alone as well as in other countries, for example Indonesia. Using regression method and chow test this study aimed at the effects before and after the election of Donald Trump as president of the United States on November 8, 2016. Using the data series shares the value of DJIA and ICI, this study analyzes the emergence of shock due to the change of president in United Staten share prices at the stock market in Indonesia. Based on the chow test result, the election of Donald Trump can provide a shock effect on ICI as well as DJIA, because the value of 6.917956 F count is larger than the value of 3,93 F table. DJIA positive influence on the value of ICI shares due to the election of Donald Trump is significantly below 5% at 1855.782. Meanwhile, before the election of Donald Trump DJIA has a negative influence on the ICI for - 1407.59. Based on that we can conclude that the election of Donald Trump bring a good impact on the growth of the Indonesian stock market.http://jiae.ub.ac.id/index.php/jiae/article/view/199DJIA, ICI, Stock Market, American Presidential Election
spellingShingle Vietha Devia Sagita
TRUMP’S ELECTED SHOCK EFFECT IN INDONESIAN STOCK MARKET
Journal of Indonesian Applied Economics
DJIA, ICI, Stock Market, American Presidential Election
title TRUMP’S ELECTED SHOCK EFFECT IN INDONESIAN STOCK MARKET
title_full TRUMP’S ELECTED SHOCK EFFECT IN INDONESIAN STOCK MARKET
title_fullStr TRUMP’S ELECTED SHOCK EFFECT IN INDONESIAN STOCK MARKET
title_full_unstemmed TRUMP’S ELECTED SHOCK EFFECT IN INDONESIAN STOCK MARKET
title_short TRUMP’S ELECTED SHOCK EFFECT IN INDONESIAN STOCK MARKET
title_sort trump s elected shock effect in indonesian stock market
topic DJIA, ICI, Stock Market, American Presidential Election
url http://jiae.ub.ac.id/index.php/jiae/article/view/199
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