A comparative assessment of the statistical methods based on urban population density estimation

Population density is important spatial information for addressing the use and access to land resources in cities under the Sustainable Development Goals. This is because the spatial data support appropriate spatial policies at the spatial scale and predicts how much land will be consumed in the fut...

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Main Author: Merve Yılmaz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2023-12-01
Series:Geocarto International
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2022.2152494
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author Merve Yılmaz
author_facet Merve Yılmaz
author_sort Merve Yılmaz
collection DOAJ
description Population density is important spatial information for addressing the use and access to land resources in cities under the Sustainable Development Goals. This is because the spatial data support appropriate spatial policies at the spatial scale and predicts how much land will be consumed in the future. The study aims to compare and evaluate the regression tools in the context of estimating the population density difference. The three analysis tools used are Random Forest-Based Classification, Multiple Linear Regression, and Geographically Weighted Regression. The sampling area covers cities around Türkiye. Comparative results showed that the two most important descriptive variables in the Random Forest-Based Classification model are the density difference of the new developed area and the connectivity. The three main explanatory variables of the Multiple Linear Regression model are centrality, vehicle ownership, and accessibility. The results of the Multiple Linear Regression model (a non-spatial model) and the Geographically Weighted Regression model (a spatial model), were found to be quite similar. The importance of accessibility and connectivity is more evident in the Multiple Linear Regression model when the Random Forest-Based Classification model highlights the density values in the new development areas.
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spelling doaj.art-4a0e11a26fd84a4db479046b67c899d42023-09-19T09:13:17ZengTaylor & Francis GroupGeocarto International1010-60491752-07622023-12-0138110.1080/10106049.2022.21524942152494A comparative assessment of the statistical methods based on urban population density estimationMerve Yılmaz0Independent ResearcherPopulation density is important spatial information for addressing the use and access to land resources in cities under the Sustainable Development Goals. This is because the spatial data support appropriate spatial policies at the spatial scale and predicts how much land will be consumed in the future. The study aims to compare and evaluate the regression tools in the context of estimating the population density difference. The three analysis tools used are Random Forest-Based Classification, Multiple Linear Regression, and Geographically Weighted Regression. The sampling area covers cities around Türkiye. Comparative results showed that the two most important descriptive variables in the Random Forest-Based Classification model are the density difference of the new developed area and the connectivity. The three main explanatory variables of the Multiple Linear Regression model are centrality, vehicle ownership, and accessibility. The results of the Multiple Linear Regression model (a non-spatial model) and the Geographically Weighted Regression model (a spatial model), were found to be quite similar. The importance of accessibility and connectivity is more evident in the Multiple Linear Regression model when the Random Forest-Based Classification model highlights the density values in the new development areas.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2022.2152494forest-based classificationmultiple linear regressiongeographically weighted regressionestimation modelspopulation densitydensity allocation
spellingShingle Merve Yılmaz
A comparative assessment of the statistical methods based on urban population density estimation
Geocarto International
forest-based classification
multiple linear regression
geographically weighted regression
estimation models
population density
density allocation
title A comparative assessment of the statistical methods based on urban population density estimation
title_full A comparative assessment of the statistical methods based on urban population density estimation
title_fullStr A comparative assessment of the statistical methods based on urban population density estimation
title_full_unstemmed A comparative assessment of the statistical methods based on urban population density estimation
title_short A comparative assessment of the statistical methods based on urban population density estimation
title_sort comparative assessment of the statistical methods based on urban population density estimation
topic forest-based classification
multiple linear regression
geographically weighted regression
estimation models
population density
density allocation
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2022.2152494
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