Using the Data of Geocryological Monitoring and Geocryological Forecast for Risk Assessment and Adaptation to Climate Change
Permafrost monitoring should be organized in different ways within undisturbed landscapes and in areas with technogenic impacts. The state and dynamics of permafrost are described by special indicators. It helps to characterize seasonal and long-term tendencies and link them with permafrost hazards...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
MDPI AG
2022-01-01
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| Series: | Energies |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/3/879 |
| _version_ | 1797488101391597568 |
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| author | Victor Osipov Oleg Aksyutin Dmitrii Sergeev Gennadii Tipenko Alexandre Ishkov |
| author_facet | Victor Osipov Oleg Aksyutin Dmitrii Sergeev Gennadii Tipenko Alexandre Ishkov |
| author_sort | Victor Osipov |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Permafrost monitoring should be organized in different ways within undisturbed landscapes and in areas with technogenic impacts. The state and dynamics of permafrost are described by special indicators. It helps to characterize seasonal and long-term tendencies and link them with permafrost hazards estimation. The risk is determined by the hazard probability and the vulnerability of infrastructure elements. The hazard does not have integral indicators, but is determined by separate spatial and temporal characteristics. The spatial characteristics include the ground’s physical and cryolithological features that are linked with the history of the permafrost. The temporal characteristics are associated with the future evolution of the climate and anthropogenic pressures. The geocryological monitoring content and geocryological forecasting are interdependent and should be implemented together. The adaptation recommendations are based on the analytical algorithms and use the results of permafrost monitoring and permafrost state forecasting. The development of an adaptation program is a recognition of the company’s responsibility for the sustainable development of resource management territories. Risk management uses the methods of the flexible ground temperature regime management. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-09T23:58:15Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-4a12cc492f614bd58c9275bbe3c1479d |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1996-1073 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-09T23:58:15Z |
| publishDate | 2022-01-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Energies |
| spelling | doaj.art-4a12cc492f614bd58c9275bbe3c1479d2023-11-23T16:21:26ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732022-01-0115387910.3390/en15030879Using the Data of Geocryological Monitoring and Geocryological Forecast for Risk Assessment and Adaptation to Climate ChangeVictor Osipov0Oleg Aksyutin1Dmitrii Sergeev2Gennadii Tipenko3Alexandre Ishkov4Sergeev Institute of Environmental Geoscience RAS, IEG RAS, 101000 Moscow, RussiaGazprom, 190900 St. Petersburg, RussiaSergeev Institute of Environmental Geoscience RAS, IEG RAS, 101000 Moscow, RussiaSergeev Institute of Environmental Geoscience RAS, IEG RAS, 101000 Moscow, RussiaGazprom, 190900 St. Petersburg, RussiaPermafrost monitoring should be organized in different ways within undisturbed landscapes and in areas with technogenic impacts. The state and dynamics of permafrost are described by special indicators. It helps to characterize seasonal and long-term tendencies and link them with permafrost hazards estimation. The risk is determined by the hazard probability and the vulnerability of infrastructure elements. The hazard does not have integral indicators, but is determined by separate spatial and temporal characteristics. The spatial characteristics include the ground’s physical and cryolithological features that are linked with the history of the permafrost. The temporal characteristics are associated with the future evolution of the climate and anthropogenic pressures. The geocryological monitoring content and geocryological forecasting are interdependent and should be implemented together. The adaptation recommendations are based on the analytical algorithms and use the results of permafrost monitoring and permafrost state forecasting. The development of an adaptation program is a recognition of the company’s responsibility for the sustainable development of resource management territories. Risk management uses the methods of the flexible ground temperature regime management.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/3/879permafrost statepermafrost dynamicsgeohazardsclimate change adaptationinfrastructure stability |
| spellingShingle | Victor Osipov Oleg Aksyutin Dmitrii Sergeev Gennadii Tipenko Alexandre Ishkov Using the Data of Geocryological Monitoring and Geocryological Forecast for Risk Assessment and Adaptation to Climate Change Energies permafrost state permafrost dynamics geohazards climate change adaptation infrastructure stability |
| title | Using the Data of Geocryological Monitoring and Geocryological Forecast for Risk Assessment and Adaptation to Climate Change |
| title_full | Using the Data of Geocryological Monitoring and Geocryological Forecast for Risk Assessment and Adaptation to Climate Change |
| title_fullStr | Using the Data of Geocryological Monitoring and Geocryological Forecast for Risk Assessment and Adaptation to Climate Change |
| title_full_unstemmed | Using the Data of Geocryological Monitoring and Geocryological Forecast for Risk Assessment and Adaptation to Climate Change |
| title_short | Using the Data of Geocryological Monitoring and Geocryological Forecast for Risk Assessment and Adaptation to Climate Change |
| title_sort | using the data of geocryological monitoring and geocryological forecast for risk assessment and adaptation to climate change |
| topic | permafrost state permafrost dynamics geohazards climate change adaptation infrastructure stability |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/3/879 |
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