Model Multinomial Bayesian Network pada Data Simulasi Curah Hujan

Bayesian Networks is one of simple Probabilistic Graphical Models are built from theory of bayes probability and graph theory. Probability theory Is directly related to data while graph theory directly related to the form representation to be obtained. Multinomial Bayesian Network method is one meth...

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Main Authors: Nanda Arista Rizki, Syaripuddin Syaripuddin, Sri Wahyuningsih
Format: Article
Language:Indonesian
Published: Universitas Islam Bandung 2012-11-01
Series:Statistika
Online Access:http://ejournal.unisba.ac.id/index.php/statistika/article/view/1062
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author Nanda Arista Rizki
Syaripuddin Syaripuddin
Sri Wahyuningsih
author_facet Nanda Arista Rizki
Syaripuddin Syaripuddin
Sri Wahyuningsih
author_sort Nanda Arista Rizki
collection DOAJ
description Bayesian Networks is one of simple Probabilistic Graphical Models are built from theory of bayes probability and graph theory. Probability theory Is directly related to data while graph theory directly related to the form representation to be obtained. Multinomial Bayesian Network method is one method that involves the influence of spatial linkages suggest a link between rainfall observation stations. The objective of this study was seek the result of the model probabilistic a graph Multinomial Bayesian Network and apply it in forecasting with Oldeman classification based on one or two rainfall stations are known. This research uses simulated data for 14 stations respectively each 300 sets of data. The data generated is normal distribution of data based on parameters that have been determined and classified using the classification Oldeman. Bayesian Network structure constructed using the K2 algorithm. Markov chain transition matrix is formed based on the Bayesian of the nodes are directional. Model of Multinomial Bayesian Network was established based on Markov transition matrices. The result of probability model can predict the probability of rainfall in some stations based on one or two rainfall stations are known, which is a model graph with 14 nodes and 13 arcs.
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spelling doaj.art-4a157ad8e6d247c7bfdfdb8ecb32906c2022-12-21T23:24:10ZindUniversitas Islam BandungStatistika1411-58912012-11-01122826Model Multinomial Bayesian Network pada Data Simulasi Curah HujanNanda Arista RizkiSyaripuddin SyaripuddinSri WahyuningsihBayesian Networks is one of simple Probabilistic Graphical Models are built from theory of bayes probability and graph theory. Probability theory Is directly related to data while graph theory directly related to the form representation to be obtained. Multinomial Bayesian Network method is one method that involves the influence of spatial linkages suggest a link between rainfall observation stations. The objective of this study was seek the result of the model probabilistic a graph Multinomial Bayesian Network and apply it in forecasting with Oldeman classification based on one or two rainfall stations are known. This research uses simulated data for 14 stations respectively each 300 sets of data. The data generated is normal distribution of data based on parameters that have been determined and classified using the classification Oldeman. Bayesian Network structure constructed using the K2 algorithm. Markov chain transition matrix is formed based on the Bayesian of the nodes are directional. Model of Multinomial Bayesian Network was established based on Markov transition matrices. The result of probability model can predict the probability of rainfall in some stations based on one or two rainfall stations are known, which is a model graph with 14 nodes and 13 arcs.http://ejournal.unisba.ac.id/index.php/statistika/article/view/1062
spellingShingle Nanda Arista Rizki
Syaripuddin Syaripuddin
Sri Wahyuningsih
Model Multinomial Bayesian Network pada Data Simulasi Curah Hujan
Statistika
title Model Multinomial Bayesian Network pada Data Simulasi Curah Hujan
title_full Model Multinomial Bayesian Network pada Data Simulasi Curah Hujan
title_fullStr Model Multinomial Bayesian Network pada Data Simulasi Curah Hujan
title_full_unstemmed Model Multinomial Bayesian Network pada Data Simulasi Curah Hujan
title_short Model Multinomial Bayesian Network pada Data Simulasi Curah Hujan
title_sort model multinomial bayesian network pada data simulasi curah hujan
url http://ejournal.unisba.ac.id/index.php/statistika/article/view/1062
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AT syaripuddinsyaripuddin modelmultinomialbayesiannetworkpadadatasimulasicurahhujan
AT sriwahyuningsih modelmultinomialbayesiannetworkpadadatasimulasicurahhujan