The future relevance of electricity balancing markets in Europe - A 2030 case study

In the context of an increasing share of variable renewable electricity in the European generation mix the question arises to what extent electricity balancing markets will gain importance in the future. On the one hand, forecast errors of variable renewable electricity drive demand for balancing. O...

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Main Authors: André Ortner, Gerhard Totschnig
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2019-04-01
Series:Energy Strategy Reviews
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X19300021
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author André Ortner
Gerhard Totschnig
author_facet André Ortner
Gerhard Totschnig
author_sort André Ortner
collection DOAJ
description In the context of an increasing share of variable renewable electricity in the European generation mix the question arises to what extent electricity balancing markets will gain importance in the future. On the one hand, forecast errors of variable renewable electricity drive demand for balancing. On the other hand, transmission system operators across Europe progressively coordinate their actions in order to increase efficiency of balancing markets and thus mitigate the rise of imbalances. Against the background of uncertain future framework conditions, i.e. market design and the level of market integration, this paper aims to assess the relevance of electricity balancing markets across Europe for a set of scenarios in a 2030 context. We apply an established large-scale electricity market model of Europe to derive quantitative insights on market shares and revenues from day-ahead, intra-day and balancing markets. The results show that although the amount of balancing energy is expected to increase in the mid-term, the monetary volume of electricity balancing markets will still lay in the range of a few percent of day-ahead market volumes. The results also confirm that the relevance of this market segment is considerably impacted by the development of framework conditions, which also have distinct impacts on different countries and technologies. Keywords: Electricity balancing, Market analysis, Forecast error time series, Variable renewable electricity, Case study
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spelling doaj.art-4a2d2af9b13c4b70a40f13a8250ba4022022-12-22T02:02:40ZengElsevierEnergy Strategy Reviews2211-467X2019-04-0124111120The future relevance of electricity balancing markets in Europe - A 2030 case studyAndré Ortner0Gerhard Totschnig1Corresponding author.; Technische Universität Wien, Energy Economics Group, Gusshausstrasse 25-29/370-3, 1040, Wien, AustriaTechnische Universität Wien, Energy Economics Group, Gusshausstrasse 25-29/370-3, 1040, Wien, AustriaIn the context of an increasing share of variable renewable electricity in the European generation mix the question arises to what extent electricity balancing markets will gain importance in the future. On the one hand, forecast errors of variable renewable electricity drive demand for balancing. On the other hand, transmission system operators across Europe progressively coordinate their actions in order to increase efficiency of balancing markets and thus mitigate the rise of imbalances. Against the background of uncertain future framework conditions, i.e. market design and the level of market integration, this paper aims to assess the relevance of electricity balancing markets across Europe for a set of scenarios in a 2030 context. We apply an established large-scale electricity market model of Europe to derive quantitative insights on market shares and revenues from day-ahead, intra-day and balancing markets. The results show that although the amount of balancing energy is expected to increase in the mid-term, the monetary volume of electricity balancing markets will still lay in the range of a few percent of day-ahead market volumes. The results also confirm that the relevance of this market segment is considerably impacted by the development of framework conditions, which also have distinct impacts on different countries and technologies. Keywords: Electricity balancing, Market analysis, Forecast error time series, Variable renewable electricity, Case studyhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X19300021
spellingShingle André Ortner
Gerhard Totschnig
The future relevance of electricity balancing markets in Europe - A 2030 case study
Energy Strategy Reviews
title The future relevance of electricity balancing markets in Europe - A 2030 case study
title_full The future relevance of electricity balancing markets in Europe - A 2030 case study
title_fullStr The future relevance of electricity balancing markets in Europe - A 2030 case study
title_full_unstemmed The future relevance of electricity balancing markets in Europe - A 2030 case study
title_short The future relevance of electricity balancing markets in Europe - A 2030 case study
title_sort future relevance of electricity balancing markets in europe a 2030 case study
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X19300021
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