Norway Spruce Survival Rate in Two Forested Landscapes, 1975–2016

The increasing frequency and severity of natural disturbances (e.g., storms and insect outbreaks) due to climate change are expected to reduce the abundance of Norway spruce stands in the European forests. Under such conditions, the assessment of <i>status quo</i> on focusing on survival...

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Main Authors: Endijs Bāders, Oskars Krišāns, Jānis Donis, Didzis Elferts, Ieva Jaunslaviete, Āris Jansons
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-07-01
Series:Forests
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/11/7/745
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author Endijs Bāders
Oskars Krišāns
Jānis Donis
Didzis Elferts
Ieva Jaunslaviete
Āris Jansons
author_facet Endijs Bāders
Oskars Krišāns
Jānis Donis
Didzis Elferts
Ieva Jaunslaviete
Āris Jansons
author_sort Endijs Bāders
collection DOAJ
description The increasing frequency and severity of natural disturbances (e.g., storms and insect outbreaks) due to climate change are expected to reduce the abundance of Norway spruce stands in the European forests. Under such conditions, the assessment of <i>status quo</i> on focusing on survival of Norway spruce stands are essential for the agility of forest management strategies. The dynamics (mortality rate) of Norway spruce stands in hemiboreal forests based on forest inventories for the period from 1975 to 2016 (inventories of 1975, 1985, 1999, 2011 and 2016) were analyzed in two forest landscapes in the western and eastern parts of Latvia (Vane and Dviete, respectively). The spatiotemporal changes in age-dependent mortality differing by abundance of Norway spruce and disturbance regime were assessed, focusing on the transitions of stands between age groups (inventories). The age-related changes in probability of stands transitioning into the next age group contrasted (<i>p</i> < 0.001) between sites. In Vane, the survival of stands between inventories was constant (ca. 90%), while in Dviete, it decreased sharply from 85.7% during 1985–1999 inventories to 49.3% in 2011–2016. Age-related decreases in stand survival showed local dependencies between both landscapes, namely, in Vane, notable decreases started from 61 years, while in Dviete, the downward trends started already from 31 years, probably due to different disturbance regimes. This suggests that, in forest management planning, the different outcomes for mortality patterns between both landscapes must be considered and should not be generalized for a whole country.
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spelling doaj.art-4a3ba8523b714e86b1c4a1000f7823e42023-11-20T06:15:19ZengMDPI AGForests1999-49072020-07-0111774510.3390/f11070745Norway Spruce Survival Rate in Two Forested Landscapes, 1975–2016Endijs Bāders0Oskars Krišāns1Jānis Donis2Didzis Elferts3Ieva Jaunslaviete4Āris Jansons5Latvian State Forest Research Institute ‘Silava’, Rigas 111, LV–2169 Salaspils, LatviaLatvian State Forest Research Institute ‘Silava’, Rigas 111, LV–2169 Salaspils, LatviaLatvian State Forest Research Institute ‘Silava’, Rigas 111, LV–2169 Salaspils, LatviaLatvian State Forest Research Institute ‘Silava’, Rigas 111, LV–2169 Salaspils, LatviaLatvian State Forest Research Institute ‘Silava’, Rigas 111, LV–2169 Salaspils, LatviaLatvian State Forest Research Institute ‘Silava’, Rigas 111, LV–2169 Salaspils, LatviaThe increasing frequency and severity of natural disturbances (e.g., storms and insect outbreaks) due to climate change are expected to reduce the abundance of Norway spruce stands in the European forests. Under such conditions, the assessment of <i>status quo</i> on focusing on survival of Norway spruce stands are essential for the agility of forest management strategies. The dynamics (mortality rate) of Norway spruce stands in hemiboreal forests based on forest inventories for the period from 1975 to 2016 (inventories of 1975, 1985, 1999, 2011 and 2016) were analyzed in two forest landscapes in the western and eastern parts of Latvia (Vane and Dviete, respectively). The spatiotemporal changes in age-dependent mortality differing by abundance of Norway spruce and disturbance regime were assessed, focusing on the transitions of stands between age groups (inventories). The age-related changes in probability of stands transitioning into the next age group contrasted (<i>p</i> < 0.001) between sites. In Vane, the survival of stands between inventories was constant (ca. 90%), while in Dviete, it decreased sharply from 85.7% during 1985–1999 inventories to 49.3% in 2011–2016. Age-related decreases in stand survival showed local dependencies between both landscapes, namely, in Vane, notable decreases started from 61 years, while in Dviete, the downward trends started already from 31 years, probably due to different disturbance regimes. This suggests that, in forest management planning, the different outcomes for mortality patterns between both landscapes must be considered and should not be generalized for a whole country.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/11/7/745landscapestand dynamicsforest inventorymortalitysurvival rate
spellingShingle Endijs Bāders
Oskars Krišāns
Jānis Donis
Didzis Elferts
Ieva Jaunslaviete
Āris Jansons
Norway Spruce Survival Rate in Two Forested Landscapes, 1975–2016
Forests
landscape
stand dynamics
forest inventory
mortality
survival rate
title Norway Spruce Survival Rate in Two Forested Landscapes, 1975–2016
title_full Norway Spruce Survival Rate in Two Forested Landscapes, 1975–2016
title_fullStr Norway Spruce Survival Rate in Two Forested Landscapes, 1975–2016
title_full_unstemmed Norway Spruce Survival Rate in Two Forested Landscapes, 1975–2016
title_short Norway Spruce Survival Rate in Two Forested Landscapes, 1975–2016
title_sort norway spruce survival rate in two forested landscapes 1975 2016
topic landscape
stand dynamics
forest inventory
mortality
survival rate
url https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/11/7/745
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