Simulated African Swine Fever (ASF) virus detection in Italy: average numbers of farms and pigs under restriction
African swine fever is a devastating contagious viral disease of kept and wild porcine animals that will challenge the Veterinary Services involved in its eradication. Nowadays, ASF represents one of the biggest challenges for the pig sector at a global level. Following a number of simulated virus...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale dell'Abruzzo e del Molise G. Caporale
2023-05-01
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| Series: | Veterinaria Italiana |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.veterinariaitaliana.izs.it/index.php/VetIt/article/view/2651 |
| _version_ | 1797821690444513280 |
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| author | Giorgia Baiocchi Andrea Marcon Olivia Bessi Luigi Ruocco Vittorio Guberti |
| author_facet | Giorgia Baiocchi Andrea Marcon Olivia Bessi Luigi Ruocco Vittorio Guberti |
| author_sort | Giorgia Baiocchi |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description |
African swine fever is a devastating contagious viral disease of kept and wild porcine animals that will challenge the Veterinary Services involved in its eradication. Nowadays, ASF represents one of the biggest challenges for the pig sector at a global level. Following a number of simulated virus random introductions, the paper estimates the average number of farms (including their type) and animals that will be under restriction, and finally the average distance of infected farms from the nearest rendering plant. The study includes data referring to 101,032 farms with 9,322,819 pigs which are available in the Italian National Database (BDN). The simulations consider 5 different biogeographic regions with their own domestic pig distribution, breeding systems, and wild boar presence. Following an index case in a farm, and in the worst‑case scenario, in the 10 km radius of the restriction area, there will be: 2,636 farms in South Italy; 470,216 animals in Po Valley; 147 km in Central Italy is the longest mean distance from the infected farm to the nearest rendering plant.
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| first_indexed | 2024-03-13T09:56:31Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-4a651974b193465596921114be9ad53f |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 0505-401X 1828-1427 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-13T09:56:31Z |
| publishDate | 2023-05-01 |
| publisher | Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale dell'Abruzzo e del Molise G. Caporale |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Veterinaria Italiana |
| spelling | doaj.art-4a651974b193465596921114be9ad53f2023-05-23T15:49:46ZengIstituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale dell'Abruzzo e del Molise G. CaporaleVeterinaria Italiana0505-401X1828-14272023-05-0158310.12834/VetIt.2651.16696.2Simulated African Swine Fever (ASF) virus detection in Italy: average numbers of farms and pigs under restrictionGiorgia Baiocchi0Andrea Marcon1Olivia Bessi2Luigi Ruocco3Vittorio Guberti4Dipartimento di fauna selvatica, Istituto Superiore per la Protezione e la Ricerca Ambientale (ISPRA), Ozzano dell’Emilia (BO), Italia.Dipartimento di fauna selvatica, Istituto Superiore per la Protezione e la Ricerca Ambientale (ISPRA), Ozzano dell’Emilia (BO), Italia.Direzione Generale sanità animale e farmaci veterinari, Ufficio 3 - Sanità animale e gestione operativa del Centro Nazionale di lotta ed emergenza contro le malattie animali e Unità Centrale di Crisi del Ministero della Salute, Roma (RM), Italia.Direzione Generale sanità animale e farmaci veterinari, Ufficio 3 - Sanità animale e gestione operativa del Centro Nazionale di lotta ed emergenza contro le malattie animali e Unità Centrale di Crisi del Ministero della Salute, Roma (RM), Italia.Dipartimento di fauna selvatica, Istituto Superiore per la Protezione e la Ricerca Ambientale (ISPRA), Ozzano dell’Emilia (BO), Italia. African swine fever is a devastating contagious viral disease of kept and wild porcine animals that will challenge the Veterinary Services involved in its eradication. Nowadays, ASF represents one of the biggest challenges for the pig sector at a global level. Following a number of simulated virus random introductions, the paper estimates the average number of farms (including their type) and animals that will be under restriction, and finally the average distance of infected farms from the nearest rendering plant. The study includes data referring to 101,032 farms with 9,322,819 pigs which are available in the Italian National Database (BDN). The simulations consider 5 different biogeographic regions with their own domestic pig distribution, breeding systems, and wild boar presence. Following an index case in a farm, and in the worst‑case scenario, in the 10 km radius of the restriction area, there will be: 2,636 farms in South Italy; 470,216 animals in Po Valley; 147 km in Central Italy is the longest mean distance from the infected farm to the nearest rendering plant. https://www.veterinariaitaliana.izs.it/index.php/VetIt/article/view/2651African Swine FeverFarms under restrictionKept and wild pigsSimulation |
| spellingShingle | Giorgia Baiocchi Andrea Marcon Olivia Bessi Luigi Ruocco Vittorio Guberti Simulated African Swine Fever (ASF) virus detection in Italy: average numbers of farms and pigs under restriction Veterinaria Italiana African Swine Fever Farms under restriction Kept and wild pigs Simulation |
| title | Simulated African Swine Fever (ASF) virus detection in Italy: average numbers of farms and pigs under restriction |
| title_full | Simulated African Swine Fever (ASF) virus detection in Italy: average numbers of farms and pigs under restriction |
| title_fullStr | Simulated African Swine Fever (ASF) virus detection in Italy: average numbers of farms and pigs under restriction |
| title_full_unstemmed | Simulated African Swine Fever (ASF) virus detection in Italy: average numbers of farms and pigs under restriction |
| title_short | Simulated African Swine Fever (ASF) virus detection in Italy: average numbers of farms and pigs under restriction |
| title_sort | simulated african swine fever asf virus detection in italy average numbers of farms and pigs under restriction |
| topic | African Swine Fever Farms under restriction Kept and wild pigs Simulation |
| url | https://www.veterinariaitaliana.izs.it/index.php/VetIt/article/view/2651 |
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