Goodness-of-fit tests for multi-dimensional copulas: Expanding application to historical drought data

The question of how to choose a copula model that best fits a given dataset is a predominant limitation of the copula approach, and the present study aims to investigate the techniques of goodness-of-fit tests for multi-dimensional copulas. A goodness-of-fit test based on Rosenblatt's transform...

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Main Authors: Ming-wei Ma, Li-liang Ren, Song-bai Song, Jia-li Song, Shan-hu Jiang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2013-01-01
Series:Water Science and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674237015302222
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author Ming-wei Ma
Li-liang Ren
Song-bai Song
Jia-li Song
Shan-hu Jiang
author_facet Ming-wei Ma
Li-liang Ren
Song-bai Song
Jia-li Song
Shan-hu Jiang
author_sort Ming-wei Ma
collection DOAJ
description The question of how to choose a copula model that best fits a given dataset is a predominant limitation of the copula approach, and the present study aims to investigate the techniques of goodness-of-fit tests for multi-dimensional copulas. A goodness-of-fit test based on Rosenblatt's transformation was mathematically expanded from two dimensions to three dimensions and procedures of a bootstrap version of the test were provided. Through stochastic copula simulation, an empirical application of historical drought data at the Lintong Gauge Station shows that the goodness-of-fit tests perform well, revealing that both trivariate Gaussian and Student t copulas are acceptable for modeling the dependence structures of the observed drought duration, severity, and peak. The goodness-of-fit tests for multi-dimensional copulas can provide further support and help a lot in the potential applications of a wider range of copulas to describe the associations of correlated hydrological variables. However, for the application of copulas with the number of dimensions larger than three, more complicated computational efforts as well as exploration and parameterization of corresponding copulas are required.
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spelling doaj.art-4a70ce84a53743ea825bb235b4547d0d2022-12-22T02:44:40ZengElsevierWater Science and Engineering1674-23702013-01-0161183010.3882/j.issn.1674-2370.2013.01.002Goodness-of-fit tests for multi-dimensional copulas: Expanding application to historical drought dataMing-wei Ma0Li-liang Ren1Song-bai Song2Jia-li Song3Shan-hu Jiang4State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, P. R. ChinaState Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, P. R. ChinaCollege of Water Resources and Architectural Engineering, Northwest A&F University, Yangling 712100, P. R. ChinaBusiness School, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, P. R. ChinaState Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, P. R. ChinaThe question of how to choose a copula model that best fits a given dataset is a predominant limitation of the copula approach, and the present study aims to investigate the techniques of goodness-of-fit tests for multi-dimensional copulas. A goodness-of-fit test based on Rosenblatt's transformation was mathematically expanded from two dimensions to three dimensions and procedures of a bootstrap version of the test were provided. Through stochastic copula simulation, an empirical application of historical drought data at the Lintong Gauge Station shows that the goodness-of-fit tests perform well, revealing that both trivariate Gaussian and Student t copulas are acceptable for modeling the dependence structures of the observed drought duration, severity, and peak. The goodness-of-fit tests for multi-dimensional copulas can provide further support and help a lot in the potential applications of a wider range of copulas to describe the associations of correlated hydrological variables. However, for the application of copulas with the number of dimensions larger than three, more complicated computational efforts as well as exploration and parameterization of corresponding copulas are required.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674237015302222goodness-of-fit testmulti-dimensional copulasstochastic simulationRosenblatt's transformationbootstrap approachdrought data
spellingShingle Ming-wei Ma
Li-liang Ren
Song-bai Song
Jia-li Song
Shan-hu Jiang
Goodness-of-fit tests for multi-dimensional copulas: Expanding application to historical drought data
Water Science and Engineering
goodness-of-fit test
multi-dimensional copulas
stochastic simulation
Rosenblatt's transformation
bootstrap approach
drought data
title Goodness-of-fit tests for multi-dimensional copulas: Expanding application to historical drought data
title_full Goodness-of-fit tests for multi-dimensional copulas: Expanding application to historical drought data
title_fullStr Goodness-of-fit tests for multi-dimensional copulas: Expanding application to historical drought data
title_full_unstemmed Goodness-of-fit tests for multi-dimensional copulas: Expanding application to historical drought data
title_short Goodness-of-fit tests for multi-dimensional copulas: Expanding application to historical drought data
title_sort goodness of fit tests for multi dimensional copulas expanding application to historical drought data
topic goodness-of-fit test
multi-dimensional copulas
stochastic simulation
Rosenblatt's transformation
bootstrap approach
drought data
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674237015302222
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AT songbaisong goodnessoffittestsformultidimensionalcopulasexpandingapplicationtohistoricaldroughtdata
AT jialisong goodnessoffittestsformultidimensionalcopulasexpandingapplicationtohistoricaldroughtdata
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