Dynamic association of mortality hazard with body shape.

<h4>Background</h4>A Body Shape Index (ABSI) had been derived from a study of the United States National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2004 mortality data to quantify the risk associated with abdominal obesity (as indicated by a wide waist relative to height and b...

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Main Authors: Nir Y Krakauer, Jesse C Krakauer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2014-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/24586394/?tool=EBI
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author Nir Y Krakauer
Jesse C Krakauer
author_facet Nir Y Krakauer
Jesse C Krakauer
author_sort Nir Y Krakauer
collection DOAJ
description <h4>Background</h4>A Body Shape Index (ABSI) had been derived from a study of the United States National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2004 mortality data to quantify the risk associated with abdominal obesity (as indicated by a wide waist relative to height and body mass index). A national survey with longer follow-up, the British Health and Lifestyle Survey (HALS), provides another opportunity to assess the predictive power for mortality of ABSI. HALS also includes repeat observations, allowing estimation of the implications of changes in ABSI.<h4>Methods and findings</h4>We evaluate ABSI z score relative to population normals as a predictor of all-cause mortality over 24 years of follow-up to HALS. We found that ABSI is a strong indicator of mortality hazard in this population, with death rates increasing by a factor of 1.13 (95% confidence interval, 1.09-1.16) per standard deviation increase in ABSI and a hazard ratio of 1.61 (1.40-1.86) for those with ABSI in the top 20% of the population compared to those with ABSI in the bottom 20%. Using the NHANES normals to compute ABSI z scores gave similar results to using z scores derived specifically from the HALS sample. ABSI outperformed as a predictor of mortality hazard other measures of abdominal obesity such as waist circumference, waist to height ratio, and waist to hip ratio. Moreover, it was a consistent predictor of mortality hazard over at least 20 years of follow-up. Change in ABSI between two HALS examinations 7 years apart also predicted mortality hazard: individuals with a given initial ABSI who had rising ABSI were at greater risk than those with falling ABSI.<h4>Conclusions</h4>ABSI is a readily computed dynamic indicator of health whose correlation with lifestyle and with other risk factors and health outcomes warrants further investigation.
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spelling doaj.art-4a7388a4912d438e980db188553227f32022-12-21T21:43:35ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032014-01-0192e8879310.1371/journal.pone.0088793Dynamic association of mortality hazard with body shape.Nir Y KrakauerJesse C Krakauer<h4>Background</h4>A Body Shape Index (ABSI) had been derived from a study of the United States National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2004 mortality data to quantify the risk associated with abdominal obesity (as indicated by a wide waist relative to height and body mass index). A national survey with longer follow-up, the British Health and Lifestyle Survey (HALS), provides another opportunity to assess the predictive power for mortality of ABSI. HALS also includes repeat observations, allowing estimation of the implications of changes in ABSI.<h4>Methods and findings</h4>We evaluate ABSI z score relative to population normals as a predictor of all-cause mortality over 24 years of follow-up to HALS. We found that ABSI is a strong indicator of mortality hazard in this population, with death rates increasing by a factor of 1.13 (95% confidence interval, 1.09-1.16) per standard deviation increase in ABSI and a hazard ratio of 1.61 (1.40-1.86) for those with ABSI in the top 20% of the population compared to those with ABSI in the bottom 20%. Using the NHANES normals to compute ABSI z scores gave similar results to using z scores derived specifically from the HALS sample. ABSI outperformed as a predictor of mortality hazard other measures of abdominal obesity such as waist circumference, waist to height ratio, and waist to hip ratio. Moreover, it was a consistent predictor of mortality hazard over at least 20 years of follow-up. Change in ABSI between two HALS examinations 7 years apart also predicted mortality hazard: individuals with a given initial ABSI who had rising ABSI were at greater risk than those with falling ABSI.<h4>Conclusions</h4>ABSI is a readily computed dynamic indicator of health whose correlation with lifestyle and with other risk factors and health outcomes warrants further investigation.https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/24586394/?tool=EBI
spellingShingle Nir Y Krakauer
Jesse C Krakauer
Dynamic association of mortality hazard with body shape.
PLoS ONE
title Dynamic association of mortality hazard with body shape.
title_full Dynamic association of mortality hazard with body shape.
title_fullStr Dynamic association of mortality hazard with body shape.
title_full_unstemmed Dynamic association of mortality hazard with body shape.
title_short Dynamic association of mortality hazard with body shape.
title_sort dynamic association of mortality hazard with body shape
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/24586394/?tool=EBI
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