Properties of restricted randomization with implications for experimental design

Recently, there has been increasing interest in the use of heavily restricted randomization designs which enforce balance on observed covariates in randomized controlled trials. However, when restrictions are strict, there is a risk that the treatment effect estimator will have a very high mean squa...

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Main Authors: Nordin Mattias, Schultzberg Mårten
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: De Gruyter 2022-09-01
Series:Journal of Causal Inference
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1515/jci-2021-0057
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author Nordin Mattias
Schultzberg Mårten
author_facet Nordin Mattias
Schultzberg Mårten
author_sort Nordin Mattias
collection DOAJ
description Recently, there has been increasing interest in the use of heavily restricted randomization designs which enforce balance on observed covariates in randomized controlled trials. However, when restrictions are strict, there is a risk that the treatment effect estimator will have a very high mean squared error (MSE). In this article, we formalize this risk and propose a novel combinatoric-based approach to describe and address this issue. First, we validate our new approach by re-proving some known properties of complete randomization and restricted randomization. Second, we propose a novel diagnostic measure for restricted designs that only use the information embedded in the combinatorics of the design. Third, we show that the variance of the MSE of the difference-in-means estimator in a randomized experiment is a linear function of this diagnostic measure. Finally, we identify situations in which restricted designs can lead to an increased risk of getting a high MSE and discuss how our diagnostic measure can be used to detect such designs. Our results have implications for any restricted randomization design and can be used to evaluate the trade-off between enforcing balance on observed covariates and avoiding too restrictive designs.
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spelling doaj.art-4b2dada8450442feb3ef69690c098c182022-12-22T02:01:42ZengDe GruyterJournal of Causal Inference2193-36852022-09-0110122724510.1515/jci-2021-0057Properties of restricted randomization with implications for experimental designNordin Mattias0Schultzberg Mårten1Department of Statistics, Uppsala Center for Fiscal Studies (UCFS) and Urban Lab, Uppsala University, Uppsala, SwedenSpotify and Department of Statistics, Uppsala University, Uppsala, SwedenRecently, there has been increasing interest in the use of heavily restricted randomization designs which enforce balance on observed covariates in randomized controlled trials. However, when restrictions are strict, there is a risk that the treatment effect estimator will have a very high mean squared error (MSE). In this article, we formalize this risk and propose a novel combinatoric-based approach to describe and address this issue. First, we validate our new approach by re-proving some known properties of complete randomization and restricted randomization. Second, we propose a novel diagnostic measure for restricted designs that only use the information embedded in the combinatorics of the design. Third, we show that the variance of the MSE of the difference-in-means estimator in a randomized experiment is a linear function of this diagnostic measure. Finally, we identify situations in which restricted designs can lead to an increased risk of getting a high MSE and discuss how our diagnostic measure can be used to detect such designs. Our results have implications for any restricted randomization design and can be used to evaluate the trade-off between enforcing balance on observed covariates and avoiding too restrictive designs.https://doi.org/10.1515/jci-2021-0057experimental designrestricted randomizationrerandomizationcomputationally intensive methods62c2062k1062k99
spellingShingle Nordin Mattias
Schultzberg Mårten
Properties of restricted randomization with implications for experimental design
Journal of Causal Inference
experimental design
restricted randomization
rerandomization
computationally intensive methods
62c20
62k10
62k99
title Properties of restricted randomization with implications for experimental design
title_full Properties of restricted randomization with implications for experimental design
title_fullStr Properties of restricted randomization with implications for experimental design
title_full_unstemmed Properties of restricted randomization with implications for experimental design
title_short Properties of restricted randomization with implications for experimental design
title_sort properties of restricted randomization with implications for experimental design
topic experimental design
restricted randomization
rerandomization
computationally intensive methods
62c20
62k10
62k99
url https://doi.org/10.1515/jci-2021-0057
work_keys_str_mv AT nordinmattias propertiesofrestrictedrandomizationwithimplicationsforexperimentaldesign
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