Integrating Point Process Models, Evolutionary Ecology and Traditional Knowledge Improves Landscape Archaeology—A Case from Southwest Madagascar

Landscape archaeology has a long history of using predictive models to improve our knowledge of extant archaeological features around the world. Important advancements in spatial statistics, however, have been slow to enter archaeological predictive modeling. Point process models (PPMs), in particul...

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Main Authors: Dylan S. Davis, Robert J. DiNapoli, Kristina Douglass
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-07-01
Series:Geosciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3263/10/8/287
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author Dylan S. Davis
Robert J. DiNapoli
Kristina Douglass
author_facet Dylan S. Davis
Robert J. DiNapoli
Kristina Douglass
author_sort Dylan S. Davis
collection DOAJ
description Landscape archaeology has a long history of using predictive models to improve our knowledge of extant archaeological features around the world. Important advancements in spatial statistics, however, have been slow to enter archaeological predictive modeling. Point process models (PPMs), in particular, offer a powerful solution to explicitly model both first- and second-order properties of a point pattern. Here, we use PPMs to refine a recently developed remote sensing-based predictive algorithm applied to the archaeological record of Madagascar’s southwestern coast. This initial remote sensing model resulted in an 80% true positive rate, rapidly expanding our understanding of the archaeological record of this region. Despite the model’s success rate, it yielded a substantial number (~20%) of false positive results. In this paper, we develop a series of PPMs to improve the accuracy of this model in predicting the location of archaeological deposits in southwest Madagascar. We illustrate how PPMs, traditional ecological knowledge, remote sensing, and fieldwork can be used iteratively to improve the accuracy of predictive models and enhance interpretations of the archaeological record. We use an explicit behavioral ecology theoretical framework to formulate and test hypotheses utilizing spatial modeling methods. Our modeling process can be replicated by archaeologists around the world to assist in fieldwork logistics and planning.
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spelling doaj.art-4b562f27d95949178d1adb5de219b6932023-11-20T08:21:02ZengMDPI AGGeosciences2076-32632020-07-0110828710.3390/geosciences10080287Integrating Point Process Models, Evolutionary Ecology and Traditional Knowledge Improves Landscape Archaeology—A Case from Southwest MadagascarDylan S. Davis0Robert J. DiNapoli1Kristina Douglass2Department of Anthropology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USADepartment of Anthropology, University of Oregon, Eugene, OR 97403, USADepartment of Anthropology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USALandscape archaeology has a long history of using predictive models to improve our knowledge of extant archaeological features around the world. Important advancements in spatial statistics, however, have been slow to enter archaeological predictive modeling. Point process models (PPMs), in particular, offer a powerful solution to explicitly model both first- and second-order properties of a point pattern. Here, we use PPMs to refine a recently developed remote sensing-based predictive algorithm applied to the archaeological record of Madagascar’s southwestern coast. This initial remote sensing model resulted in an 80% true positive rate, rapidly expanding our understanding of the archaeological record of this region. Despite the model’s success rate, it yielded a substantial number (~20%) of false positive results. In this paper, we develop a series of PPMs to improve the accuracy of this model in predicting the location of archaeological deposits in southwest Madagascar. We illustrate how PPMs, traditional ecological knowledge, remote sensing, and fieldwork can be used iteratively to improve the accuracy of predictive models and enhance interpretations of the archaeological record. We use an explicit behavioral ecology theoretical framework to formulate and test hypotheses utilizing spatial modeling methods. Our modeling process can be replicated by archaeologists around the world to assist in fieldwork logistics and planning.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3263/10/8/287point process modelspredictive modelingarchaeologyspatial statisticsGISlandscape
spellingShingle Dylan S. Davis
Robert J. DiNapoli
Kristina Douglass
Integrating Point Process Models, Evolutionary Ecology and Traditional Knowledge Improves Landscape Archaeology—A Case from Southwest Madagascar
Geosciences
point process models
predictive modeling
archaeology
spatial statistics
GIS
landscape
title Integrating Point Process Models, Evolutionary Ecology and Traditional Knowledge Improves Landscape Archaeology—A Case from Southwest Madagascar
title_full Integrating Point Process Models, Evolutionary Ecology and Traditional Knowledge Improves Landscape Archaeology—A Case from Southwest Madagascar
title_fullStr Integrating Point Process Models, Evolutionary Ecology and Traditional Knowledge Improves Landscape Archaeology—A Case from Southwest Madagascar
title_full_unstemmed Integrating Point Process Models, Evolutionary Ecology and Traditional Knowledge Improves Landscape Archaeology—A Case from Southwest Madagascar
title_short Integrating Point Process Models, Evolutionary Ecology and Traditional Knowledge Improves Landscape Archaeology—A Case from Southwest Madagascar
title_sort integrating point process models evolutionary ecology and traditional knowledge improves landscape archaeology a case from southwest madagascar
topic point process models
predictive modeling
archaeology
spatial statistics
GIS
landscape
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3263/10/8/287
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