Assessing and predicting changes of ecosystem service values in response to land use/land cover dynamics in Ibb City, Yemen: a three-decade analysis and future outlook
ABSTRACTAssessing ecosystem services values (ESV) within land use/land cover (LULC) changes is crucial for promoting human well-being and sustainable development of regional ecosystems. Yet, the spatial relationship between LULC changes and ecosystem services is still unclear in Yemen. This study ai...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Taylor & Francis Group
2024-12-01
|
| Series: | International Journal of Digital Earth |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/17538947.2024.2323174 |
| _version_ | 1797266073194594304 |
|---|---|
| author | Abdulkarem Qasem Dammag Jian Dai Guo Cong Basema Qasim Derhem Hafiza Zara Latif |
| author_facet | Abdulkarem Qasem Dammag Jian Dai Guo Cong Basema Qasim Derhem Hafiza Zara Latif |
| author_sort | Abdulkarem Qasem Dammag |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | ABSTRACTAssessing ecosystem services values (ESV) within land use/land cover (LULC) changes is crucial for promoting human well-being and sustainable development of regional ecosystems. Yet, the spatial relationship between LULC changes and ecosystem services is still unclear in Yemen. This study aimed to assess the impacts of LULC changes on ESV in Ibb City, over three decades (1990–2020), and to predict the ESV changes in 2050. The hybrid land use classification technique for classifying Landsat images, the CA-Markov model for LULC prediction, and the benefit transfer method (BTM) for assessment ESV were employed. Our findings revealed that there was a continuous increase in built-up areas and barren land, with a decrease in cultivated land and grassland, which are predicted to continue for the next 30 years. Consequently, the total ESV has decreased from US$ 68.5 × 106 in 1990 to US$ 65.2 × 106 in 2020 and is expected to further reduce to US$ 61.2 × 106 by 2050, reflecting the impact of urban expansion and socio-economic activities on ESV. The study provides insights for future ESV monitoring, which will contribute to the formulation of effective land-use strategies for more sustainable ecosystem services, particularly in rapidly urbanizing data-limited regions. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-25T00:54:53Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-4b58466dd15b4afa98f8f25eae9e5b9c |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1753-8947 1753-8955 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-25T00:54:53Z |
| publishDate | 2024-12-01 |
| publisher | Taylor & Francis Group |
| record_format | Article |
| series | International Journal of Digital Earth |
| spelling | doaj.art-4b58466dd15b4afa98f8f25eae9e5b9c2024-03-11T11:22:53ZengTaylor & Francis GroupInternational Journal of Digital Earth1753-89471753-89552024-12-0117110.1080/17538947.2024.2323174Assessing and predicting changes of ecosystem service values in response to land use/land cover dynamics in Ibb City, Yemen: a three-decade analysis and future outlookAbdulkarem Qasem Dammag0Jian Dai1Guo Cong2Basema Qasim Derhem3Hafiza Zara Latif4Department of Architecture & Urban Planning, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, People’s Republic of ChinaDepartment of Architecture & Urban Planning, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, People’s Republic of ChinaDepartment of Architecture & Urban Planning, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, People’s Republic of ChinaDepartment of Engineering and Architecture, Ibb University, Ibb, YemenDepartment of Architecture & Urban Planning, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, People’s Republic of ChinaABSTRACTAssessing ecosystem services values (ESV) within land use/land cover (LULC) changes is crucial for promoting human well-being and sustainable development of regional ecosystems. Yet, the spatial relationship between LULC changes and ecosystem services is still unclear in Yemen. This study aimed to assess the impacts of LULC changes on ESV in Ibb City, over three decades (1990–2020), and to predict the ESV changes in 2050. The hybrid land use classification technique for classifying Landsat images, the CA-Markov model for LULC prediction, and the benefit transfer method (BTM) for assessment ESV were employed. Our findings revealed that there was a continuous increase in built-up areas and barren land, with a decrease in cultivated land and grassland, which are predicted to continue for the next 30 years. Consequently, the total ESV has decreased from US$ 68.5 × 106 in 1990 to US$ 65.2 × 106 in 2020 and is expected to further reduce to US$ 61.2 × 106 by 2050, reflecting the impact of urban expansion and socio-economic activities on ESV. The study provides insights for future ESV monitoring, which will contribute to the formulation of effective land-use strategies for more sustainable ecosystem services, particularly in rapidly urbanizing data-limited regions.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/17538947.2024.2323174LULC ChangesCA-Markovcoefficient of elasticityecosystem service values (ESV)ecosystem services functions |
| spellingShingle | Abdulkarem Qasem Dammag Jian Dai Guo Cong Basema Qasim Derhem Hafiza Zara Latif Assessing and predicting changes of ecosystem service values in response to land use/land cover dynamics in Ibb City, Yemen: a three-decade analysis and future outlook International Journal of Digital Earth LULC Changes CA-Markov coefficient of elasticity ecosystem service values (ESV) ecosystem services functions |
| title | Assessing and predicting changes of ecosystem service values in response to land use/land cover dynamics in Ibb City, Yemen: a three-decade analysis and future outlook |
| title_full | Assessing and predicting changes of ecosystem service values in response to land use/land cover dynamics in Ibb City, Yemen: a three-decade analysis and future outlook |
| title_fullStr | Assessing and predicting changes of ecosystem service values in response to land use/land cover dynamics in Ibb City, Yemen: a three-decade analysis and future outlook |
| title_full_unstemmed | Assessing and predicting changes of ecosystem service values in response to land use/land cover dynamics in Ibb City, Yemen: a three-decade analysis and future outlook |
| title_short | Assessing and predicting changes of ecosystem service values in response to land use/land cover dynamics in Ibb City, Yemen: a three-decade analysis and future outlook |
| title_sort | assessing and predicting changes of ecosystem service values in response to land use land cover dynamics in ibb city yemen a three decade analysis and future outlook |
| topic | LULC Changes CA-Markov coefficient of elasticity ecosystem service values (ESV) ecosystem services functions |
| url | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/17538947.2024.2323174 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT abdulkaremqasemdammag assessingandpredictingchangesofecosystemservicevaluesinresponsetolanduselandcoverdynamicsinibbcityyemenathreedecadeanalysisandfutureoutlook AT jiandai assessingandpredictingchangesofecosystemservicevaluesinresponsetolanduselandcoverdynamicsinibbcityyemenathreedecadeanalysisandfutureoutlook AT guocong assessingandpredictingchangesofecosystemservicevaluesinresponsetolanduselandcoverdynamicsinibbcityyemenathreedecadeanalysisandfutureoutlook AT basemaqasimderhem assessingandpredictingchangesofecosystemservicevaluesinresponsetolanduselandcoverdynamicsinibbcityyemenathreedecadeanalysisandfutureoutlook AT hafizazaralatif assessingandpredictingchangesofecosystemservicevaluesinresponsetolanduselandcoverdynamicsinibbcityyemenathreedecadeanalysisandfutureoutlook |