The DL Advocate: playing the devil’s advocate with hidden systematic uncertainties

Abstract We propose a new method based on machine learning to play the devil’s advocate and investigate the impact of unknown systematic effects in a quantitative way. This method proceeds by reversing the measurement process and using the physics results to interpret systematic effects under the St...

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Main Authors: Andrei Golutvin, Aleksandr Iniukhin, Andrea Mauri, Patrick Owen, Nicola Serra, Andrey Ustyuzhanin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2023-09-01
Series:European Physical Journal C: Particles and Fields
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1140/epjc/s10052-023-11925-w
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author Andrei Golutvin
Aleksandr Iniukhin
Andrea Mauri
Patrick Owen
Nicola Serra
Andrey Ustyuzhanin
author_facet Andrei Golutvin
Aleksandr Iniukhin
Andrea Mauri
Patrick Owen
Nicola Serra
Andrey Ustyuzhanin
author_sort Andrei Golutvin
collection DOAJ
description Abstract We propose a new method based on machine learning to play the devil’s advocate and investigate the impact of unknown systematic effects in a quantitative way. This method proceeds by reversing the measurement process and using the physics results to interpret systematic effects under the Standard Model hypothesis. We explore this idea with two alternative approaches: the first one relies on a combination of gradient descent and optimisation techniques, its application and potentiality is illustrated with an example that studies the branching fraction measurement of a heavy-flavour decay. The second method employs reinforcement learning and it is applied to the determination of the $$P_{5}^{'}$$ P 5 ′ angular observable in $$B^0 \rightarrow K^{*0} {\mu ^+\mu ^-}$$ B 0 → K ∗ 0 μ + μ - decays. We find that for the former, the size of a hypothetical hidden systematic uncertainty strongly depends on the kinematic overlap between the signal and normalisation channel, while the latter is very robust against possible mismodellings of the efficiency.
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spelling doaj.art-4ba260b0064f480ca12235f558061c552023-10-29T12:33:29ZengSpringerOpenEuropean Physical Journal C: Particles and Fields1434-60522023-09-0183911610.1140/epjc/s10052-023-11925-wThe DL Advocate: playing the devil’s advocate with hidden systematic uncertaintiesAndrei Golutvin0Aleksandr Iniukhin1Andrea Mauri2Patrick Owen3Nicola Serra4Andrey Ustyuzhanin5Imperial College of LondonYandex School of Data AnalysisImperial College of LondonPhysik-Institut, Universität ZürichPhysik-Institut, Universität ZürichConstructor University, Campus Ring 1Abstract We propose a new method based on machine learning to play the devil’s advocate and investigate the impact of unknown systematic effects in a quantitative way. This method proceeds by reversing the measurement process and using the physics results to interpret systematic effects under the Standard Model hypothesis. We explore this idea with two alternative approaches: the first one relies on a combination of gradient descent and optimisation techniques, its application and potentiality is illustrated with an example that studies the branching fraction measurement of a heavy-flavour decay. The second method employs reinforcement learning and it is applied to the determination of the $$P_{5}^{'}$$ P 5 ′ angular observable in $$B^0 \rightarrow K^{*0} {\mu ^+\mu ^-}$$ B 0 → K ∗ 0 μ + μ - decays. We find that for the former, the size of a hypothetical hidden systematic uncertainty strongly depends on the kinematic overlap between the signal and normalisation channel, while the latter is very robust against possible mismodellings of the efficiency.https://doi.org/10.1140/epjc/s10052-023-11925-w
spellingShingle Andrei Golutvin
Aleksandr Iniukhin
Andrea Mauri
Patrick Owen
Nicola Serra
Andrey Ustyuzhanin
The DL Advocate: playing the devil’s advocate with hidden systematic uncertainties
European Physical Journal C: Particles and Fields
title The DL Advocate: playing the devil’s advocate with hidden systematic uncertainties
title_full The DL Advocate: playing the devil’s advocate with hidden systematic uncertainties
title_fullStr The DL Advocate: playing the devil’s advocate with hidden systematic uncertainties
title_full_unstemmed The DL Advocate: playing the devil’s advocate with hidden systematic uncertainties
title_short The DL Advocate: playing the devil’s advocate with hidden systematic uncertainties
title_sort dl advocate playing the devil s advocate with hidden systematic uncertainties
url https://doi.org/10.1140/epjc/s10052-023-11925-w
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