Post-error recklessness and the hot hand

Although post-error slowing and the ``hot hand'' (streaks of good performance) are both types of sequential dependencies arising from the differential influence of success and failure, they have not previously been studied together. We bring together these two streams of research in a task...

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Main Authors: Paul Williams, Andrew Heathcote, Keith Nesbitt, Ami Eidels
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2016-03-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.sjdm.org/15/15914a/jdm15914a.pdf
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author Paul Williams
Andrew Heathcote
Keith Nesbitt
Ami Eidels
author_facet Paul Williams
Andrew Heathcote
Keith Nesbitt
Ami Eidels
author_sort Paul Williams
collection DOAJ
description Although post-error slowing and the ``hot hand'' (streaks of good performance) are both types of sequential dependencies arising from the differential influence of success and failure, they have not previously been studied together. We bring together these two streams of research in a task where difficulty can be controlled by participants delaying their decisions, and where responses required a degree deliberation, and so are relatively slow. We compared performance of unpaid participants against paid participants who were rewarded differentially, with higher reward for better performance. In contrast to most previous results, we found no post-error slowing for paid or unpaid participants. For the unpaid group, we found post-error speeding and a hot hand, even though the hot hand is typically considered a fallacy. Our results suggest that the effect of success and failure on subsequent performance may differ substantially with task characteristics and demands. We also found payment affected post-error performance; financially rewarding successful performance led to a more cautious approach following errors, whereas unrewarded performance led to recklessness following errors.
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spelling doaj.art-4bbdf99192994763a830bef2550d515d2023-09-03T06:14:30ZengCambridge University PressJudgment and Decision Making1930-29752016-03-01112174184Post-error recklessness and the hot handPaul WilliamsAndrew HeathcoteKeith NesbittAmi EidelsAlthough post-error slowing and the ``hot hand'' (streaks of good performance) are both types of sequential dependencies arising from the differential influence of success and failure, they have not previously been studied together. We bring together these two streams of research in a task where difficulty can be controlled by participants delaying their decisions, and where responses required a degree deliberation, and so are relatively slow. We compared performance of unpaid participants against paid participants who were rewarded differentially, with higher reward for better performance. In contrast to most previous results, we found no post-error slowing for paid or unpaid participants. For the unpaid group, we found post-error speeding and a hot hand, even though the hot hand is typically considered a fallacy. Our results suggest that the effect of success and failure on subsequent performance may differ substantially with task characteristics and demands. We also found payment affected post-error performance; financially rewarding successful performance led to a more cautious approach following errors, whereas unrewarded performance led to recklessness following errors.http://journal.sjdm.org/15/15914a/jdm15914a.pdfpost-error slowing hot hand cognitive control financial incentivesNAKeywords
spellingShingle Paul Williams
Andrew Heathcote
Keith Nesbitt
Ami Eidels
Post-error recklessness and the hot hand
Judgment and Decision Making
post-error slowing
hot hand
cognitive control
financial incentivesNAKeywords
title Post-error recklessness and the hot hand
title_full Post-error recklessness and the hot hand
title_fullStr Post-error recklessness and the hot hand
title_full_unstemmed Post-error recklessness and the hot hand
title_short Post-error recklessness and the hot hand
title_sort post error recklessness and the hot hand
topic post-error slowing
hot hand
cognitive control
financial incentivesNAKeywords
url http://journal.sjdm.org/15/15914a/jdm15914a.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT paulwilliams posterrorrecklessnessandthehothand
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AT keithnesbitt posterrorrecklessnessandthehothand
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