Comparing COVID-19 and the 1918–19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom

We compared the COVID-19 and 1918–19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom. We found that the ongoing COVID-19 wave of infection matched the major wave of the 1918–19 influenza pandemic surprisingly well, with both reaching similar magnitudes (in terms of estimated weekly new infections) and spe...

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Main Authors: Daihai He, Shi Zhao, Yingke Li, Peihua Cao, Daozhou Gao, Yijun Lou, Lin Yang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2020-09-01
Series:International Journal of Infectious Diseases
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1201971220305117
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author Daihai He
Shi Zhao
Yingke Li
Peihua Cao
Daozhou Gao
Yijun Lou
Lin Yang
author_facet Daihai He
Shi Zhao
Yingke Li
Peihua Cao
Daozhou Gao
Yijun Lou
Lin Yang
author_sort Daihai He
collection DOAJ
description We compared the COVID-19 and 1918–19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom. We found that the ongoing COVID-19 wave of infection matched the major wave of the 1918–19 influenza pandemic surprisingly well, with both reaching similar magnitudes (in terms of estimated weekly new infections) and spending the same duration with over five cases per 1000 inhabitants over the previous two months. We also discussed the similarities in epidemiological characteristics between these two pandemics.
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spelling doaj.art-4bc31325a3bd4f2681f0519b043335f62022-12-21T23:47:28ZengElsevierInternational Journal of Infectious Diseases1201-97122020-09-01986770Comparing COVID-19 and the 1918–19 influenza pandemics in the United KingdomDaihai He0Shi Zhao1Yingke Li2Peihua Cao3Daozhou Gao4Yijun Lou5Lin Yang6Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China; Corresponding authors.JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; CUHK Shenzhen Research Institute, Shenzhen, ChinaCollege of Mathematics and Physics, Xinjiang Agriculture University, Urumqi, ChinaClinical Research Center, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, ChinaCollege of Mathematics and Science, Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai, ChinaDepartment of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, ChinaSchool of Nursing, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China; Corresponding authors.We compared the COVID-19 and 1918–19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom. We found that the ongoing COVID-19 wave of infection matched the major wave of the 1918–19 influenza pandemic surprisingly well, with both reaching similar magnitudes (in terms of estimated weekly new infections) and spending the same duration with over five cases per 1000 inhabitants over the previous two months. We also discussed the similarities in epidemiological characteristics between these two pandemics.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1201971220305117COVID-191918–19 influenzaUnited KingdomMultiple wavesYears of life lost
spellingShingle Daihai He
Shi Zhao
Yingke Li
Peihua Cao
Daozhou Gao
Yijun Lou
Lin Yang
Comparing COVID-19 and the 1918–19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom
International Journal of Infectious Diseases
COVID-19
1918–19 influenza
United Kingdom
Multiple waves
Years of life lost
title Comparing COVID-19 and the 1918–19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom
title_full Comparing COVID-19 and the 1918–19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom
title_fullStr Comparing COVID-19 and the 1918–19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom
title_full_unstemmed Comparing COVID-19 and the 1918–19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom
title_short Comparing COVID-19 and the 1918–19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom
title_sort comparing covid 19 and the 1918 19 influenza pandemics in the united kingdom
topic COVID-19
1918–19 influenza
United Kingdom
Multiple waves
Years of life lost
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1201971220305117
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