Evaluation of age-specific causes of death in the context of the Italian longevity transition

Abstract In many low-mortality countries, life expectancy at birth increased steadily over the last century. In particular, both Italian females and males benefited from faster improvements in mortality compared to other high-income countries, especially from the 1960s, leading to an exceptional inc...

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Main Authors: Andrea Nigri, José Manuel Aburto, Ugofilippo Basellini, Marco Bonetti
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2022-12-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-26907-3
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author Andrea Nigri
José Manuel Aburto
Ugofilippo Basellini
Marco Bonetti
author_facet Andrea Nigri
José Manuel Aburto
Ugofilippo Basellini
Marco Bonetti
author_sort Andrea Nigri
collection DOAJ
description Abstract In many low-mortality countries, life expectancy at birth increased steadily over the last century. In particular, both Italian females and males benefited from faster improvements in mortality compared to other high-income countries, especially from the 1960s, leading to an exceptional increase in life expectancy. However, Italy has not become the leader in longevity. Here, we investigate life expectancy trends in Italy during the period 1960–2015 for both sexes. Additionally, we contribute to the existing literature by complementing life expectancy with an indicator of dispersion in ages at death, also known as lifespan inequality. Lifespan inequality underlies heterogeneity over age in populating health improvements and is a marker of uncertainty in the timing of death. We further quantify the contributions of different age groups and causes of death to recent trends in life expectancy and lifespan inequality. Our findings highlight the contributions of cardiovascular diseases and neoplasms to the recent increase in life expectancy but not necessarily to the decrease in lifespan inequality. Our results also uncover a more recent challenge across Italy: worsening mortality from infectious diseases and mortality at older age.
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spelling doaj.art-4c2605e2146843638958f5477cfe53312023-01-01T12:18:41ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222022-12-0112111010.1038/s41598-022-26907-3Evaluation of age-specific causes of death in the context of the Italian longevity transitionAndrea Nigri0José Manuel Aburto1Ugofilippo Basellini2Marco Bonetti3Department of Economics, Management and Territory, University of FoggiaLeverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Nuffield College, University of OxfordMax Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR)Department of Social and Political Sciences, Bocconi UniversityAbstract In many low-mortality countries, life expectancy at birth increased steadily over the last century. In particular, both Italian females and males benefited from faster improvements in mortality compared to other high-income countries, especially from the 1960s, leading to an exceptional increase in life expectancy. However, Italy has not become the leader in longevity. Here, we investigate life expectancy trends in Italy during the period 1960–2015 for both sexes. Additionally, we contribute to the existing literature by complementing life expectancy with an indicator of dispersion in ages at death, also known as lifespan inequality. Lifespan inequality underlies heterogeneity over age in populating health improvements and is a marker of uncertainty in the timing of death. We further quantify the contributions of different age groups and causes of death to recent trends in life expectancy and lifespan inequality. Our findings highlight the contributions of cardiovascular diseases and neoplasms to the recent increase in life expectancy but not necessarily to the decrease in lifespan inequality. Our results also uncover a more recent challenge across Italy: worsening mortality from infectious diseases and mortality at older age.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-26907-3
spellingShingle Andrea Nigri
José Manuel Aburto
Ugofilippo Basellini
Marco Bonetti
Evaluation of age-specific causes of death in the context of the Italian longevity transition
Scientific Reports
title Evaluation of age-specific causes of death in the context of the Italian longevity transition
title_full Evaluation of age-specific causes of death in the context of the Italian longevity transition
title_fullStr Evaluation of age-specific causes of death in the context of the Italian longevity transition
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of age-specific causes of death in the context of the Italian longevity transition
title_short Evaluation of age-specific causes of death in the context of the Italian longevity transition
title_sort evaluation of age specific causes of death in the context of the italian longevity transition
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-26907-3
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