The Impact of Exchange Rate Overshooting on Employment in Agriculture, Industry and Service Sectors in Iran

The employment and access to job is one of the most basic needs of a community so that the increase in employment is seen as one of the indicators of development in societies. Given the importance of the issue, the aim of this study is to evaluate the effect of exchange rate overshooting on employme...

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Main Authors: Vahid Farzam, Fateme Taleghani, Robabeh Khilkordi
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Allameh Tabataba'i University Press 2016-06-01
Series:فصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_7237_a76b5b80a9955f69af8baaba62e45e79.pdf
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author Vahid Farzam
Fateme Taleghani
Robabeh Khilkordi
author_facet Vahid Farzam
Fateme Taleghani
Robabeh Khilkordi
author_sort Vahid Farzam
collection DOAJ
description The employment and access to job is one of the most basic needs of a community so that the increase in employment is seen as one of the indicators of development in societies. Given the importance of the issue, the aim of this study is to evaluate the effect of exchange rate overshooting on employment in agriculture, industry and service sectors in Iran during 1973- 2011 using the seemingly unrelated regression and vector error correction model. The results of vector error correction model indicate that due to expansion in money supply exchange rate increases and divergence from equilibrium path occurs which finally leads to adjustment in the long run. Also, the results of seemingly unrelated regression model show that employment in industry and service sectors is respectively negatively and positively affected by exchange rate overshooting, yet the impact of this overshooting on employment in agriculture sector is not significant. In this regard, the demand of labor in the industry sector compared to service and agriculture sectors was the most sensitive to exchange rate overshooting. In addition, capital stock in industry and service sectors has a positive impact on employment in each sector.
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spelling doaj.art-4c2afd7c9a6747df968cc7c261cb155c2024-01-02T10:29:19ZfasAllameh Tabataba'i University Pressفصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران1726-07282476-64452016-06-0121678311210.22054/ijer.2016.72377237The Impact of Exchange Rate Overshooting on Employment in Agriculture, Industry and Service Sectors in IranVahid Farzam0Fateme Taleghani1Robabeh Khilkordi2عضو هیأت علمی و استادیار گروه اقتصاد دانشگاه ولی‌عصر(ع) رفسنجاندانشجوی دکترای اقتصاد، دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرماندانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد اقتصاد، دانشگاه ولی‌عصر(ع) رفسنجانThe employment and access to job is one of the most basic needs of a community so that the increase in employment is seen as one of the indicators of development in societies. Given the importance of the issue, the aim of this study is to evaluate the effect of exchange rate overshooting on employment in agriculture, industry and service sectors in Iran during 1973- 2011 using the seemingly unrelated regression and vector error correction model. The results of vector error correction model indicate that due to expansion in money supply exchange rate increases and divergence from equilibrium path occurs which finally leads to adjustment in the long run. Also, the results of seemingly unrelated regression model show that employment in industry and service sectors is respectively negatively and positively affected by exchange rate overshooting, yet the impact of this overshooting on employment in agriculture sector is not significant. In this regard, the demand of labor in the industry sector compared to service and agriculture sectors was the most sensitive to exchange rate overshooting. In addition, capital stock in industry and service sectors has a positive impact on employment in each sector.https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_7237_a76b5b80a9955f69af8baaba62e45e79.pdfmonetary exchange rate overshootingemploymentvector error correction modelseemingly unrelated regression model
spellingShingle Vahid Farzam
Fateme Taleghani
Robabeh Khilkordi
The Impact of Exchange Rate Overshooting on Employment in Agriculture, Industry and Service Sectors in Iran
فصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران
monetary exchange rate overshooting
employment
vector error correction model
seemingly unrelated regression model
title The Impact of Exchange Rate Overshooting on Employment in Agriculture, Industry and Service Sectors in Iran
title_full The Impact of Exchange Rate Overshooting on Employment in Agriculture, Industry and Service Sectors in Iran
title_fullStr The Impact of Exchange Rate Overshooting on Employment in Agriculture, Industry and Service Sectors in Iran
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Exchange Rate Overshooting on Employment in Agriculture, Industry and Service Sectors in Iran
title_short The Impact of Exchange Rate Overshooting on Employment in Agriculture, Industry and Service Sectors in Iran
title_sort impact of exchange rate overshooting on employment in agriculture industry and service sectors in iran
topic monetary exchange rate overshooting
employment
vector error correction model
seemingly unrelated regression model
url https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_7237_a76b5b80a9955f69af8baaba62e45e79.pdf
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