Seismic reliability analysis of soil slope based on Newmark sliding block model with representative slip surfaces and response surfaces

Abstract This paper presents a framework combining Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) and the Newmark sliding block model with representative slip surfaces (RSS) (model II) and multiple response surfaces method (MRSM) to conduct seismic reliability analysis and risk assessment of soil slopes. An empirical...

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Main Authors: Guangming Yu, Chunli Li, Liang Li, Hongbiao Yu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-11-01
Series:Engineering Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/eng2.12713
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author Guangming Yu
Chunli Li
Liang Li
Hongbiao Yu
author_facet Guangming Yu
Chunli Li
Liang Li
Hongbiao Yu
author_sort Guangming Yu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This paper presents a framework combining Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) and the Newmark sliding block model with representative slip surfaces (RSS) (model II) and multiple response surfaces method (MRSM) to conduct seismic reliability analysis and risk assessment of soil slopes. An empirical threshold is introduced to define the limit state function to identify the failure samples in MCS and the sliding area and Newmark sliding displacement are multiplied to quantify the failure consequence. The proposed methodology is illustrated through a soil slope with multiple layers. The calculation results demonstrate that traditional Newmark sliding block model (model I) tend to underestimate the variations of yield acceleration. Both the failure probability and landslide risk exhibit decreasing trends with the increase of threshold. Significant discrepancy in failure probability and landslide risk between two models is found even for a small threshold. Therefore, the proposed methodology is highly recommended in seismic reliability analysis and risk assessment. The contributions of RSSs to the failure probability and landslide risk are insensitive to the variation of displacement thresholds.
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spelling doaj.art-4c2b5ae04da04a3cb706c427d5fb3f9f2023-11-08T01:46:21ZengWileyEngineering Reports2577-81962023-11-01511n/an/a10.1002/eng2.12713Seismic reliability analysis of soil slope based on Newmark sliding block model with representative slip surfaces and response surfacesGuangming Yu0Chunli Li1Liang Li2Hongbiao Yu3School of Civil Engineering Qingdao University of Technology Qingdao ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering Qingdao University of Technology Qingdao ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering Qingdao University of Technology Qingdao ChinaTunnel Engineering Company Ltd. China Communications Construction Co. Ltd. Beijing ChinaAbstract This paper presents a framework combining Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) and the Newmark sliding block model with representative slip surfaces (RSS) (model II) and multiple response surfaces method (MRSM) to conduct seismic reliability analysis and risk assessment of soil slopes. An empirical threshold is introduced to define the limit state function to identify the failure samples in MCS and the sliding area and Newmark sliding displacement are multiplied to quantify the failure consequence. The proposed methodology is illustrated through a soil slope with multiple layers. The calculation results demonstrate that traditional Newmark sliding block model (model I) tend to underestimate the variations of yield acceleration. Both the failure probability and landslide risk exhibit decreasing trends with the increase of threshold. Significant discrepancy in failure probability and landslide risk between two models is found even for a small threshold. Therefore, the proposed methodology is highly recommended in seismic reliability analysis and risk assessment. The contributions of RSSs to the failure probability and landslide risk are insensitive to the variation of displacement thresholds.https://doi.org/10.1002/eng2.12713landslide riskmultiple response surfacesNewmark sliding displacementseismic reliability analysis
spellingShingle Guangming Yu
Chunli Li
Liang Li
Hongbiao Yu
Seismic reliability analysis of soil slope based on Newmark sliding block model with representative slip surfaces and response surfaces
Engineering Reports
landslide risk
multiple response surfaces
Newmark sliding displacement
seismic reliability analysis
title Seismic reliability analysis of soil slope based on Newmark sliding block model with representative slip surfaces and response surfaces
title_full Seismic reliability analysis of soil slope based on Newmark sliding block model with representative slip surfaces and response surfaces
title_fullStr Seismic reliability analysis of soil slope based on Newmark sliding block model with representative slip surfaces and response surfaces
title_full_unstemmed Seismic reliability analysis of soil slope based on Newmark sliding block model with representative slip surfaces and response surfaces
title_short Seismic reliability analysis of soil slope based on Newmark sliding block model with representative slip surfaces and response surfaces
title_sort seismic reliability analysis of soil slope based on newmark sliding block model with representative slip surfaces and response surfaces
topic landslide risk
multiple response surfaces
Newmark sliding displacement
seismic reliability analysis
url https://doi.org/10.1002/eng2.12713
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AT chunlili seismicreliabilityanalysisofsoilslopebasedonnewmarkslidingblockmodelwithrepresentativeslipsurfacesandresponsesurfaces
AT liangli seismicreliabilityanalysisofsoilslopebasedonnewmarkslidingblockmodelwithrepresentativeslipsurfacesandresponsesurfaces
AT hongbiaoyu seismicreliabilityanalysisofsoilslopebasedonnewmarkslidingblockmodelwithrepresentativeslipsurfacesandresponsesurfaces