Central bank independence and inflation in Africa: The role of financial systems and institutional quality

The study examines the effects of financial systems and the quality of political institutions on the effectiveness of central bank independence in achieving lower inflation. Drawing from the fiscal theory of price level (FTPL) and political economy of macroeconomic policy (PEMP) literature; we estim...

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Main Authors: Abel Mawuko Agoba, Joshua Abor, Kofi A. Osei, Jarjisu Sa-Aadu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2017-12-01
Series:Central Bank Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1303070117300550
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author Abel Mawuko Agoba
Joshua Abor
Kofi A. Osei
Jarjisu Sa-Aadu
author_facet Abel Mawuko Agoba
Joshua Abor
Kofi A. Osei
Jarjisu Sa-Aadu
author_sort Abel Mawuko Agoba
collection DOAJ
description The study examines the effects of financial systems and the quality of political institutions on the effectiveness of central bank independence in achieving lower inflation. Drawing from the fiscal theory of price level (FTPL) and political economy of macroeconomic policy (PEMP) literature; we estimate a panel regression model, using Two Stage Least Squares instrumental variables procedure, on a sample of 48 African countries over the period 1970–2012. The study finds that central bank independence-inflation nexus is dependent on the model, sample and estimation technique used. After accounting for various control variables and introducing inflation targeting as an additional explanatory variable, the study shows that, unlike in developed countries, CBI is not sufficient in achieving lower inflation in Africa and the developing world. However, common to developed, developing and African countries, is that, higher central bank independence is more effective in lowering inflation in the presence of high levels of banking sector development and institutional quality. The findings of the study also show that while stock market development enhances the effectiveness of CBI in developed and developing countries, it has no significant effect on CBI effectiveness in Africa.
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spelling doaj.art-4c355fdfb8254ee1b3ae2bd8e9c692e72022-12-22T01:42:43ZengElsevierCentral Bank Review1303-07012017-12-0117413114610.1016/j.cbrev.2017.11.001Central bank independence and inflation in Africa: The role of financial systems and institutional qualityAbel Mawuko Agoba0Joshua Abor1Kofi A. Osei2Jarjisu Sa-Aadu3University of Ghana, GhanaUniversity of Ghana, GhanaUniversity of Ghana, GhanaUniversity of Iowa, USAThe study examines the effects of financial systems and the quality of political institutions on the effectiveness of central bank independence in achieving lower inflation. Drawing from the fiscal theory of price level (FTPL) and political economy of macroeconomic policy (PEMP) literature; we estimate a panel regression model, using Two Stage Least Squares instrumental variables procedure, on a sample of 48 African countries over the period 1970–2012. The study finds that central bank independence-inflation nexus is dependent on the model, sample and estimation technique used. After accounting for various control variables and introducing inflation targeting as an additional explanatory variable, the study shows that, unlike in developed countries, CBI is not sufficient in achieving lower inflation in Africa and the developing world. However, common to developed, developing and African countries, is that, higher central bank independence is more effective in lowering inflation in the presence of high levels of banking sector development and institutional quality. The findings of the study also show that while stock market development enhances the effectiveness of CBI in developed and developing countries, it has no significant effect on CBI effectiveness in Africa.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1303070117300550Central bank independenceInflationAfricaFinancial developmentInstitutional quality
spellingShingle Abel Mawuko Agoba
Joshua Abor
Kofi A. Osei
Jarjisu Sa-Aadu
Central bank independence and inflation in Africa: The role of financial systems and institutional quality
Central Bank Review
Central bank independence
Inflation
Africa
Financial development
Institutional quality
title Central bank independence and inflation in Africa: The role of financial systems and institutional quality
title_full Central bank independence and inflation in Africa: The role of financial systems and institutional quality
title_fullStr Central bank independence and inflation in Africa: The role of financial systems and institutional quality
title_full_unstemmed Central bank independence and inflation in Africa: The role of financial systems and institutional quality
title_short Central bank independence and inflation in Africa: The role of financial systems and institutional quality
title_sort central bank independence and inflation in africa the role of financial systems and institutional quality
topic Central bank independence
Inflation
Africa
Financial development
Institutional quality
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1303070117300550
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